arna retail s/h, arna corp, eisai corp..........3 groups..........do they have same objectives and same timelines to meet their objectives ...........any conflicting interests.............I think this would make 4 interesting discussion.
arna retail s/h are very dependent,now, upon actions taken or not taken by eisai corp. also eisai timeline to take certain actions may/may not align with arna or arna retail s/h.
eisai has extended product line. arna s/h banking, now, only on belviq, for now I reiterate.
we are dealing with ventures that have yet to be carried out , namely unconventional fracking on north slope on shore land. add into this mixture the fact that royl and rampart are not deep pockets nor highly equipped corps . the wherewithal to pull this off is vastly different than for example exxon/mobil trying to successfully pull off this unconventional fracking in ak. but if royl /rtd can move forward........then it will likely attract add on 3rd and 4th party partnerships to develop the royl acreage. the hosmers will happily and profitably give away pieces of the pie in return for partners that can in fact effectuate results.
lastly,,,, the recent downward price action, imo, was done with very small trading volume and I consider that price action to be a total farce........an illusion. I expect upward price action in 2014. - early 2014. clearly obvious is the manipulation of royl pps........as evidenced by the wicked spikes that are taken back to neutral starting point........all within a nanosecond. that's simply fast machine big $$ boutique skimming money, imo. or some other force that is playing the spikes in ways retail s/h cannot possibly compete. oftentimes the bid/ask size and bid/ask prices are computer instigated and before any retail player can act on that data........the hft machines can erase those bids and asks which are really illusory. it gives illusion of liquidity but once a retail guy tries to make a play,,,,,, the entire published bids/asks are dramatically altered ...effectively negating any retail attempt at a play.
folks who assert they are trading royl successfully........ I don't buy that storyline........ unless referring to small quantities of stock.
royl was drilling in Q3/2013 and drilling in Q4/2013 as well (my recollection) and to date, we have not been notified by royl of the finality of the wells drilled & cased in sacramentobasin. I expect some final nat gas well results t/b published very soon (betw today and first week January) and then I expect the most recent drillings Q4/2014 sac basin to bear press release progress/interim reports/final nat gas data before Q4/2013 earnings report date for royale corp.
if rtd gets its loan in Alaska based on the new ak tax law .........that will be huge upside catalyst
hiring announcement of seismic contractor is an unside catalyst
hopefully new sac basin gas wells with prolific reserves will be announced &a that will be upside catalyst as nat gas recently close to $4.40 and possibly rising prices thruout winter.
the seismic survey final analysis could be a behemoth in terms of elevating the value of royales Alaskan acreage.
if any other oil corps make positive developments in north slope.....that will almost certainly be an upside catalyst w/r to royl Alaskan acreage.
keep in mind, royl/rtd ptrship only includes 50 % of royales total north slope acreage. leaves lot of appreciation in value , solely, to royl corp.
any external improvements/ new facilities, more rigs available, more year round roads, for ex.......made upon north slope........should be an upside catalyst for royl Alaskan acreage.
its exploration & drilling with economically feasible gas or oil finds.
I could care less about maintaining any website at this pt in time.
the royl press releases are published on global newswire service and are on this very yahoo mb page bottom right , just click on headlines. then read all SEC filings and read the prolific up to date rampart website pdf files.
keep your eye on the prize, as one of our posters always says;
1) we want and expect to hear about the results of the recently drilled wells in sacramento basin, calif.
2) we want a declaration that royale has entered into contract w/ one or more contractors to perform the seismic 3D survey in the Alaskan north slope ( to be paid for by rampart)(we are told total survey cost is approx. 10 million.)
1 & 2 are expected imminently, as far I as can interpret all the press releases & filings with regulatory agencies in both usa and Australia.
3) the survey, we are told (by rtd I recall) s/b completed in approx. april 2014 (my recollection) and then the analysis of the survey probably finalized (my guess) end of 2014 ...
4) survey results will be large factor (I assume) in rampart finding a deep pocket farm-in 3rd party oil company partner. the survey analysis/results will be pivotal in so many ways for this north slope venture partnership.
5) supposedly, the royale rig in sac basin has started new drill sites during Q4/2013 that I assume will yield press releases in Q1/2014.
6) rampart, to date, has fulfilled all its obligations owed to royale, as of this date, under the partnership contract . however, if the seismic contractor is not hired by 12/31/13 then I will have concerns. however, both royale & rampart have filed info with their respective reg. securities agencies stating on 4 separate occasions that the seismic contractor is in fact reaching closure and rtd completed yet another recent share placemet.
7)rtd using AK new tax law to obtain line of credit/loan(?)
would suggest that price action is not isolated on arna....... of course 3 days does not a proper sample size make.
certainly no new news..........except that yesterdays congressional discussions on obesity logically should be an upside catalyst to fda approved weight loss drug companies. IM NOT FALLING FOR THIS ILLUSORY PRICE ACTION. ADDING SHARES TODAY .......SO FAR SOME SHARES BETW 2.60 - 2.62.......
getting ready to add couple thou shares...... waiting 4 script # verification.........
THE OPERATIVE ELEMENT IS JOHN..........WHAT IS YOUR CURRENT POSITION IN ARNA CORP ?? "will that be the basis for the content of your "panic button" post ? lol
POSTER JOHNEZTOO also would like folks to "cross at the green and not in between"............
and also please remember that "this is your brain on drugs..........and this is your brain when its not on drugs"
I LUV PUBLIC SERVICE ANNOUNCEMENTS BY JOHNEZTOO...............
funny you should reference the us revolutionary flag bearing a coiled snake ready to strike imminently.....................the 'DONT TREAD ON ME USA FLAG"...........
NICE METAPHOR FOR SHORTIE @ 65 MILLION SHARES.........WALKING RIGHT INTO THE COILED SNAKE /ARNA............
its a metaphor............... its johneztoo posters subconscious worry ........coming to the tip of his keyboard fingers as he unwittingly posted his innermost fear............
THANKS 4 UR INSIGHT JOHNEZTOO ...........
I know folks cite dee //r/field........but ive heard & read too much about goldee sax to NOT be suspicious.
and they got money that can buy & sell arna corp on a daily basis.......for years...
first of all,,,,,,,,we've been assuming that the subscribers to IMS obain the data early morn,,,,,,,before anyone can release the data to the general nonpaying public. so , we must assume well funded LONGS also subscribe to IMS and then the question becomes why would not they release the data to the nonpaying retail public............. so im unsure how IMS can hold the data from its paying clientele until late in trading day, Friday.
the big $ shorts are not and have not been covering to any notable extent..........unless perhaps by utilizing options to some degree ...........is this pursuant to shortie thesis or pursuant to shortie being trapped or another reason.
the fundamental game changer in this dynamic is Eisai and its willingness to spend more than adequate funds on this DTC campaign. and is Eisai hiring the top tier talent contractors to make the DTC campaign result in script growth. and lastly, are Eisai's goals and timeline for attaining such goals.....in exact conformity with arena corps( and arna retail s/h) goals for belviq and timeline to attain such goals.
I would tend to think mostly yes.........but im not positive. Eisai invested too much present and future capital into belviq so the only issue I can possibly entertain is that Eisai timeline for belviq success might differ from arna corp/arna retail s/h timeline for belviq success. (this issue , im thinking could involve Eisai wanting to own arna corp) ( I would think arna mgmt. could successfully defeat that)( I ultimately don't think such scenario is highly likely that Eisai is holding its foot on the brakes w/r to belviq growth)
my issue is this; assuming orex/takeda gets fda approved they will spend $$ on growth thru advertising.
so I wonder in such scenario......why Eisai does not take advantage of the time in which orex/contrive cannot be advertised nor sold.......... to heavily & repeatedly advertise belviq. it would seem this time period of exclusive right for belviq to advertise and contrive having zero rights......WOULD BE AN ADVANTAGEOUS opportunity for Eisai. So. I don't know why that advantage is not being exploited. but I do acknowledge Eisai knows better than I do, as to how to optimalize the growth of a new drug . i'd be interested to hear Eisai's thoughts on such issue. perhaps studies indicate my thinking is incorrec
holding close to $9.50 /sh for all this time.........rising from the ashes of $6 ish(?) is very encouraging. the consecutive reduction in short interest backs up that encouraging profile. and all this on no new news prior to the other days nda filing........... now the nda filing is a net positive event despite any rationale to the contrary.
not necessary that sppi mkt cap rises "on cue" with the nda filing announcement. too early to tell if nda announcement will move pps notably. the big $$ keeps retail off guard with price action behavior.
nda is merely submission of application so who in right mind is expecting any significant mkt cap move up.
nonetheless its a step closer to fda decision. all good.
to fashion a caption that "pps action is not encouraging" is waaayyyy below your/charger intellect and that raises red flags. that's an unfair caption........its a big stretch....... its arguably flawed logic unsubstantiated by empirical data/history. charger...... posts such as this one decrease your credibility. wreaks of some slight form of desperation to lower sppi pps. again.......its atypically beneath your other higher quality posts.
anyway......... if u are a legit retail player.........good luck to you. perhaps you want to get entry back at $6 OR $7;SHARE.......I don't know but its one possibility (lot of sideliners got caught on the upswing to mid 9's.