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Blue Nile Inc. Message Board

stuckinamobile 62 posts  |  Last Activity: 11 hours ago Member since: Dec 31, 2007
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  • Lets compare this company THIS QUARTER to the same quarter last year. All the headlines read is that they matched estimates. What a sham. If I set a goal of fininshing a marathon in two days....Stock analyst would go crazy if I finished it in one day. Revenue was 106 million for the quarter. That is MISERABLE.....They have been discounting like crazy and they can only increase sales by 6 million Q over Q. Sales a year ago were 99 million. This is a not a good sign. BUT LOOK AT INCOME. They can only increase sales if they discount but the discounting is killing NILE. They And the stock surges up 14% on the great news. Income was what....14 cents. Terrible. 1.7 million in profits. A year ago the profits were 2.9 million. Sales up by 6 million.....profit down by over ONE MILLION. And the stock surges 14 %. What justifies the ridicilous premium this insignificant diamond carries? Competition is killing them and the only way they can sell is to discount. 1.7 million in profits for a company with a market cap of 400 million is a joke. Remember when this stock traed at 111.00. I do....It was overpriced then and it is overpriced now. Back then NILE was the industry leader....Now it is just another on line seller of over priced over graded stones. Stock should be at 18 -19 dollars a share. Stock volum today show you that this stock is a loser going forward. BUT IT SURGED 14% TODAY !!!!!

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Looking for breakout

    by tfissber Oct 29, 2014 11:26 AM
    stuckinamobile stuckinamobile Oct 29, 2014 5:35 PM Flag

    43.37.....R i i i i i i i i ght.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Took the stock manipulatore three trading days to move this stock back up after a lowered price target and nothing but bad news for Abercrombie. I see the hype about this stock going to the 40's....Even one analyst said 60. We know better. Declining sales, dams are numbered but it does not stop these institutions from cheating out retail investors out of ver dime they can. Price target of 27 is high but just enough to get some people to sell so they can run the price up. The brand is not relevant in the teen market. Looking at Brandy Melville but not close to me at all. Only 5 US locations but it fills the gap for the skinny bratty females that think they are better then everyone becsaue their parents have money and don't care what they do. This is the old Abercombie and Hollister customer. Good to see they have a replacement for this brand. THe rest of the wanna bees are going to Forever 21, Banana Republic, H & M....and the Gap. I am actually long GPS in a sector I never thought I would go long. But only for THIS quarter. My only positive retailer is not teen or nitch it is M.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • ANF closed October 23 at 33.61. After three downgrades and a GS price target of 27.00 a share, the crooked stock opens October 24th at 32.06 and after over 4 million shares close at 31.69. Retail numbers come in bad, Coach stumbles, Kohls stumbles, retail sector gets downgraded and two trading days later ANF is back up to 33.00. ? Absolutely no good news, no mlisleading presentation of twisted numbers, or a single adjustment down to the estimates and the stock recovers to 33.00. Amazing. THEN.....there is a lame upgraded with a target in the 50's.....based on the fact that Abercrombie has millions of face book followers. Did they check to see that most of the followers are down on Abercrombie ? What a joke......Low 20's is the true target with more store closures and a failure of the Flagship Eurp European idea. That was a huge mistake. The past is GONE for ANF.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • At times the blind pumping of stocks based on hedge fund pressure is obvious. Such is the case with this new upgrade. 53.00 price target? But we need to look at the basis of this off the chart target. Increases sales? NO....Opening stores becasue of sales growth and demand. NO WAY.....Increased profit? NO.....They price target is based on the declaration that ANF has rebuillt what once was a very dominant brand. Really.....This is confirmed after 14 out of 15 quarters of declining sales? The next one is a joke. CS says ANF will go up 65% becasue ANF has 19 million user following ANF on Facebook. Really? Retail sales are driven by Facebook followers??? The price target is just silly. The Credit Suisse analysts also says that share repurchases is positive. Yes it is....for the insiders they are buying them back from. What a manipulated stock. CS says investors now have a much better entry point. Yeah......for continued declines !!!

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    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Traveled to one of the upscale malls that still have the ANF triple. That is a mall containing Abercrombie and Fitch, Hollister, and Abercrombie Kids. Slow night and especially for ANF. There were a few customers in Abercrombie and Fitch. Once again, I have no idea how they are able to maintain high margins with all the markdowns I saw. I do not think this A and F was following the 25% lower cologne spray rules as the plast stunk to high heaven. The Abercrombie Kids store was completly empty so I used the opportunity to talk to the employees that were standing around. Markdowns were everywhere, one room was completly 1/2 off and many of those items were all ready marked down. Hollister was just as dead as Abercrombie Kids. I think Hollister brand is even less significant then Abercrombie. I saw t-shirts for $12.00. I remember when you cold ot find a shirt for under 45.00 about 7 years ago when ANF was a significant teen retailer. And I remember actually paying that amount. Now they can't sell the junk for $12.00 but maintain margins....Riiiiiiight. Michael Kohrs is everwhere and seems to want to be significant and Gap and Banana Republic are up there. Forever 21 which is right next door to the smelly Abercrombie and Fitch was all lit up and had customers. This Abercrombie must be one that is not going to be upgraded and lit up prior to being closed for good. I am more confident that ever that ANF will not survive in this economy and with current teen trends.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • How this stock was able to be positive today is beyond me.....I though it would lose another 3 - 4 % today based on all the bad news and the downgrade parade. i am shocked about the downgrades because analysts work together with hedge funds and institutions to manipulate the market and stock so that they can move stocks in their financial favor. It is surprising to see a stock move up the day after it was given a price target way below the price the hedge funds had manipulated it to.....which is about 10 bucks above fair value of this lead baloon.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Let me understand the theory........GS downgrades ANF not on valuation, not on terrible declining sales, not on the failed foreigh FLAGSHIP store concept that is 10 years past, on on terrible results from China, not on its clueless CEO, not on lawsuits and bad employment records, not on a failed brand, not on changing teen tastes and spending habits, not on closing stores, and not on only being able to sell the brand at steep discounts .......GS downgraded ANF to 27 so that they can buy this company cheap?!?!?!?

    A 27 dollar price target is very generous given that every single measurement of this stock IS DOWN. I know the analyst say that going LOGO-LESS is great for the company, but if that is the only positive, I think the 27.00 Gold Sack price target is very generous. 22 to 24 is my target

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Boy oh boy......sometimes you just have to shake your head. First $60 and now GS comes in at $27.00. Still too high but you have to wonder why they are doing this. This is very rare for one of the members of the inside trade group to put in a downgrade. I am concerned. What are they up to? But it is nice to see them say what I have been saying all along......

    We (GS) believe ANF could miss estimates due to deterioration in the high margin European business, persistent weakness in the US, evidenced by seven consecutive quarters of negative same store sales growth, and unfavorable currency movements negatively impacting 3Q and 4Q international sales on a year-over-year basis by 2% and 5%, respectively. We lower our 6-month price target to $27, which represents -18% downside and compares with +2% average upside for the group.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • stuckinamobile stuckinamobile Oct 24, 2014 11:36 AM Flag

    Here is a health observation for you .....This stock is sick and the company is ill.

  • Wow.....There is actually one analyst firm that is not on the hedge fund take? SHOCKING. Granted, I am not that familiar with B M O.....But who cares......Rarely do firms downgrade terrible stocks because it is not cool....You just don't rock the boat when so may firms are involved in pumping and churning of stocks such as this institutionally controlled loser. The second downgrade of course come from me. I have lowered my consensus on ANF stock from really lousy to absolutely terrible.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • I have to believe that the smart retail investory does not buy stocks and especially ANF on days that they exergrate economic numbers and try to tell you that Catipillar is leading the economy into recovery land. Low positive volume supports my theory. It is hedge funds churning on market momentum that they use to pump this inflated stocks. Look at the down days when the volume is heavier then up days. Smart investors and insiders (which there are many in ANF) use those days to dump overvalued overhyped stocks. ANF is a poster child in this group.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Interest rates and gas prices are lower as is the official unemployment rate. That means consumers should take all the extra money they have (from lower interest rates???) and spend it on clothing. Everything is always positive. Analyst only make money by takeing your and hyping hede fund stocks. CAT is able to magically squeeze out a positive quarter and THE MARKET TAKES OFF?? It is all hpye. Interest rates do not effect the consumer. It may effect the home buyer.....But who can afford a home. They hype the market ever chance they can, but truth is most of the building permits the governbment puts in for a big housing start count.....Never actually get started. Gas prices are lower. That is true.....near $3.00. But the truth is....only the very low end consumer feels the positive effect of lower gase prices. For the typical american driving a foreign made BMW or Mercedes......20 a week is just one more martini at lunch. The unemployment rate? That is the biggest farce. Most of the new hires these days are low paying PART TIME and season jobs. Government numbers are adjusted and people are not counted so they can hit the administration bench makrs. Truth is.....wages are going down and deflation is going to happen. People are not running to ANF to get the latest in logo-less overprice non american made junk. They are going to Forever 21, H and M, TJ Max, and paying less then half for the same thing. ANF is toadt my friends.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • On October 17, 2014, Abercrombie & Fitch Co. entered into indemnification agreements with each of its directors. It appears that the board is protecting itself. Why my previous message on this topic was deleted is unknown. It is my opinion that the board fears lawsuits from following Jeffries orders in the past sine he previouldy put most of the board in place to approve his ridicilous compensation package and personal use of ANF assest and private plane. There is evidence that Jeffies policies and offensive statements have been very damaging to the brand and to the company. Since his contol as CEO was absolute and loyality was blind, I bet some of the directors fear being sued for following his terrible management directions which is leading to the demise of ANF.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • They want you to actually believe that Abercrombie & Fitch has started to rebuild what once was but no longer is, a very dominant brand. OH....and that is WITHOUT the logo. They say the popularity is proven by ANF's 19 million user following on Facebook. But facebook is like unemployment numbers. They still count all the kids that have left the brand cold. Jefferies, a hedge fund paid pumper cites continuing share repurchases, leaner inventory, improving fashion offerings and much easier teen comparisons as catalysts that will drive earnings, and the stock, higher soon.

    REALLY ??? 10 consecutive quarters of declining sales. !4 of last 15 quarters NEGATIVE. Wait....Is it because the logo's are gone. Is it that simple. Remove logos and saies WILL DOUBLE????

    YES DOUBLE.....Because that is what their price target calls for....From 33 to $60.00 is almost a DOUBLE in price. Jefferies price target is off the chart at $60. So in honor of stupidity, I am officially dropping my price target to 16.50. If they can say declining store counts, 70% off sales, lower overall and same store sales, failing international flag ship efforts, will double the price of ANF, I will say that the logo-less effort will cut the price of the stock in half. My price target is not as crazy as 60 bucks becasue ANF is all ready overpriced carrying a PE near 70.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Interesting Survey from Piper Jaff

    by stuckinamobile Oct 20, 2014 4:47 PM
    stuckinamobile stuckinamobile Oct 21, 2014 10:07 AM Flag

    I think this is one of the more important factors that lead to the continuing decline in domestic sales. Potential customers and the kids participating in the survey are not buying Abercrombie and Hollister and foreign sales are also declining. Declining sales, damaged brand, poor management are just some of the reasons why sales, margins and profits will continue to decline. These factors should continue to push the stock price down. With nothing positive in the logo-less future of this company the stock price should continue to decline to the low 20's. Currently, with the PE is near 70 and the stock price is inflated by the stock trade manipulation of the hedge funds and institutions that control the bid/ask trade. This inflated price can not continue much longer as sales both domestic and especially foreign tank.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • stuckinamobile by stuckinamobile Oct 20, 2014 4:47 PM Flag

    This was a different survey. Pier Jaffray asked teens to list the BRANDS THEY NO LONGER WEAR. You can find the results in Business Insider.....For Spring, 2013, Fall, 2013,and Spring, 2014 Aeropostale was first in each period and both Abercrombie and Hollister were either second and third. I find that significant. Kids are RUNNING from these brands. For Abercrombie the percentage no longer wearing the brand were 10%.....22% and 19%. Hollister was 17% 15% and 16% respectively. 22% of kids say they are no longer wearing the Abercrombie brand. Brands and logos no longer define cool. The CEO said forever that the Abercrombie brand defined cool. Now....on the turn of a dime, he says they are removing the logo. And the market calls this a genius decision. An article faults Abercrombie selling 75 dollar jeans becasue you can get the similiar jeans at FOREVER 21 for around 10 dollars. If you still do not beleive me understand that kids want to spend their money on electronics, entertainment and eating out. Keep thinking that ANF will recover and understand that ANF is currently priced as if it all ready has selling at a ridicilous PE and valuation. ANF is out of favor and will never recover the competitive pricing in this sector.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • stuckinamobile stuckinamobile Oct 16, 2014 8:08 AM Flag

    So this is just about SPAM for a web sight you are pumping. Good to know. Can put you on ignore. Call options up 30%? RIIIIIIIGHT. And ever time I go to the casino I win !!!!! SPAM SPAM SPAM

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • I follow the retail number and reports. Should be no surprise with my position in ANF and my long with Macy's. Electronics up, clothing down. And the critical point is people are spending less overall. While the administration manipulates the price of gasoline to stimulate the economy ....it will most benefit the LOW end of the retailers, which is not where Hollister and Abercrombie are at in the food chain. Overall, clothing is down and shoppers are going to lower end stores TJ MAX, Kohl's and the like. The high end is in big trouble. But how does ANF avoid reality in this picture? Because of institutional ownership and bid ask manipulation. You had to see the panic recovery this stock made this AM even after the retail numbers gave ANF the kiss of death for this holiday season. How much longer can the hedge funds churn ANF money to take out the sellers? As the market declines, this manipulation will become more difficult for them to pull off.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • stuckinamobile stuckinamobile Oct 15, 2014 11:27 AM Flag

    I sure do !!!!! No pictures though. Too creepy. And I no longer have to take a flashlight or wear ear plugs when I am in an Abercrombie dungeon. I am so excited that bother Hollister and Abercrombie had to close in one of the most upscale shopping areas in the state !!!! This is good news for me. SHORT.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

NILE
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