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Silver Wheaton Corp. Message Board

sugarsail42 210 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 15, 2014 5:10 PM Member since: Oct 17, 2013
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  • Reply to

    Dead Money

    by theguywho2 Feb 12, 2014 9:50 PM
    sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 13, 2014 12:58 AM Flag

    dead money who's SP varies between 30 to 50% on a quarterly basis and pays 4% premiums on options plus a divvy....you mean that kind of dead money because, man that's my kind of dead money. I wish every stock I owned was that dead.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    I bet they warn on earnings tomorrow????

    by starkmanben Feb 4, 2014 6:52 PM
    sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 4, 2014 7:14 PM Flag

    Had the same price action last three earnings, and I thought the same thing then it rallied 30% to 50% into earnings. Relax and buy.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Jan 30, 2014 8:30 PM Flag

    getting kicked out of a major index has had no discernible effect on other companies in the past. This is a false risk. Look at AA , HPQ and BOA ...price didn't move when news hit that they were dropped by the Dow, and then AA actually went up 50% soon after being kicked out of the Dow. All of these stocks are up since then.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    From the Criminals (My Opinion) at Morgan Stanley:

    by jcbrowns Feb 20, 2014 8:39 PM
    sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 20, 2014 8:48 PM Flag

    well if morgan stanley keeps coming up with these low ball price targets, you know they're some of the ones shorting this thing. Similar happened with gold last year...GS said "going to 1000" while they were securing Venezuela's gold inventory...now that it's secured...gold is headed to 1400+

    Sentiment: Hold

  • sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 25, 2014 3:51 PM Flag

    Wasn't this supposed to hit $11? and wasn't Denver supposed to win the Superbowl too?

    by ohtaegun • Jan 30, 2014 1:17 PM
    "you guys need to go take a class in stocks. this one has $15 (pray that 9 YEAR triple bottom holds) written all over it. if not, $11."
    ohtaegun • Feb 2, 2014 5:56 PM
    "I've got Denver and $18.10"

    Let's expose the idiots for who they are indeed. LOL

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    CLF will soar

    by makingmoneyfastandslow Mar 20, 2014 5:18 PM
    sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Mar 20, 2014 5:36 PM Flag

    just shorts playing their game as usual...down grade now, so more covering before earnings then two weeks before earnings...stock will inch up. Until the shorts stop colluding with the media to play this stock it wont go back into a reasonable trading range $28-$40. I'm not prone to conspiracy theories but this one seems pretty obvious.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 4, 2014 8:49 PM Flag

    Let's look how "right" ohtaegun's been....on Oct 8th just before CLF rallied from $20 to $29 he said:

    Good old junk broke it's upward trend, now clinging to support.
    by ohtaegun • Oct 8, 2013 3:45 PM
    I lost count of the $30 by earnings calls. $20 maybe if the market holds.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 4, 2014 8:52 PM Flag

    And when CLF was trading near $15 and rallied to over $25 in a month's time it was:

    bull's / longs: no ammo left. it's trading $12
    by ohtaegun • Jun 18, 2013 9:42 AM

    enough said. #$%$ $12.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    7500 shares shorted....

    by lovemoney100 Feb 5, 2014 7:54 PM
    sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 7, 2014 7:05 PM Flag

    keep shorting, would love to get back in at $10 by selling puts!

    Sentiment: Buy

  • sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 25, 2014 8:06 PM Flag

    sorry the facts refute your constant pessimistic bloviations. You were wrong on CLF AND DENVER..never hit $15 or $11. I imagine the expression on your face while you trade is much like Manning when he missed the hike in the open of the game and Seattle got a safety...derp derp..rookie time, always dropping the ball and missing the play wondering what happened after the fact. I have no problems with someone posting near-term price predictions and have posted several myself. I do have problems with people constantly calling people stupid idiots when their own price predictions have been consistently off by at least as much if not more than the people you are calling stupid. You have some serious sense of self deficits as is evidenced by your need to always be "right" despite all the copious amount of evidence on this board to the contrary. Get over yourself.

    My guess is CLF will pause and consolidate at low-19 level at which point I may be selling Mar 19 puts, probably by Friday. Watching RSI and MACD on the daily chart and trading accordingly...timing is more important price points.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 24, 2014 1:11 PM Flag

    not if the union is acting as a monopoly, it's no different than a company that sells labor and if the UAW is the only union in town then it's effectively a labor monopoly. The company will atrophy as the tick of unionization slowly bullies its way into draining the quality and economic strength out of the company and renders it uncompetitive on the international stage.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    CLF...Wonderful!!

    by vipinkot47 Feb 3, 2014 12:45 PM
    sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 3, 2014 2:07 PM Flag

    bought calls today. C'mon...lets see a nice run up before earnings here...coming down to the wire.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    what are CLF debt payments the next 3 years?

    by ohtaegun Jan 23, 2014 2:55 PM
    sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Jan 23, 2014 4:33 PM Flag

    I have a problem with this notion that China is "stuck in first gear". It is absurd...sustained economic growth rates in the high single digits are staggeringly high by any historical standard in any economy including 1950's US. They are more like downshifting from overdrive into 4th to get up a small hill. And on top of that their economy is just reaching the level of the US and they have three times as many people so this growth is likely to sustain itself for a LONG time if Chinese people per capita want to enjoy a quality of life anywhere near the West. I've worked in China, it has a long long way to go to get the quality of life up to Western standards and they want it bad, and it will require iron. The low I/O estimates don't take inflation or demand growth in Western markets into account either, which is Cliffs primary market. These are the same guys that said I/O was going below $100 in 2013 too....they do not have a good predictive track record.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Jan 23, 2014 12:56 PM Flag

    this will be 25+ bucks in three weeks. Then you'll really want that bullet if you sell.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Shorts working overtime,,,,scared stiff

    by ricanlobo Feb 18, 2014 6:47 PM
    sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 18, 2014 7:31 PM Flag

    because this stock is being manipulated by some very big players. Has little to do with fundamentals for the moment. Look at the last few quarters same EXACT price action for no reason....huge sell off, then pre-earnings rally, then little short squeeze after earnings and then short sell-off again....if I'm right, there will be a little short squeeze very soon, maybe up to 26 or even higher.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    People are buying puts

    by dow50000 Feb 10, 2014 12:02 PM
    sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 10, 2014 2:38 PM Flag

    keep in mind writing OTM puts with short expiration here would be a fairly conservative bet too as pre-earnings premiums are usually quite high...if stock goes up ...easy money, if down, pick up shares for much lower. Someone who is bearish CLF and wants to short the stock using puts is not likely to buy a put with such a short expiry and OTM since the value of the put is entirely extrinsic and will decay very rapid even if they get the direction right. They would be better off buying an ATM or even ITM put with April expiry.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Amazing how people become negative so fast.

    by mtay515 Jan 23, 2014 5:37 PM
    sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Jan 23, 2014 9:24 PM Flag

    yep, also why it's important to understand human psychology as much or more than doing a financial analysis of fundamentals. The important thing to remember is that when you buy shares, you've lost 100% of your money right then and there, but you've gained shares...the share price can go down, but you've lost nothing you hadn't already lost when you bought the stock, you've lost nothing but liquidity of your wealth, but then, that's what investment is, so if you can't handle watching the price go down, you shouldn't be investing.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 18, 2014 3:52 PM Flag

    FYI, patience, this stock did similar price action last earnings...had a red day two days after earnings and then rallied from 24 to 29 the week after. Similar the quarter before that too. $23 is a sticky spot

    Sentiment: Hold

  • sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Feb 10, 2014 7:32 PM Flag

    Nice job, I did the same...the volatility of GMCR after Einhorn opened his mouth made the puts worth 18% of the underlying, that's insane high premiums...had to ride it out for a bit till it came back, but it was a good trade.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • sugarsail42 sugarsail42 Mar 11, 2014 7:52 PM Flag

    Yes, gold and war have deeply psychological roots. War is often a sign that the governments involved failed to keep its citizens fat and happy, failed at foreign policy, or simply failed to keep law and order. As a result people lose faith in those governments and those government's "stock" (their fiat currency) value declines....think of government fiat as a country's stock if you will. When war breaks out, their "stock" goes down so people holding it will seek other assets and gold is one of the assets people seek as its buying power is relatively immune from government shenanigans in the long term.

    Sentiment: Hold

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