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Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation Message Board

superbowl6wins 292 posts  |  Last Activity: 10 hours ago Member since: Apr 16, 2011
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  • Reply to

    Found in a SEC Filing - I was right.......

    by superbowl6wins Dec 7, 2014 9:14 AM
    superbowl6wins superbowl6wins 10 hours ago Flag

    I guess you didn't invest with him when he built L-3. Too bad.

    I did own L3 but your hero was only 1/3 of the 3 L's. The other 2 were Frank Lanza who was the CEO and Lehman Brothers. I'am sure the man is smart and very rich but what has he done for you and other investors, NOTHING BUT LOSE MONEY ! He takes care of himself I'am sure.

  • Reply to

    Found in a SEC Filing - I was right.......

    by superbowl6wins Dec 7, 2014 9:14 AM
    superbowl6wins superbowl6wins 13 hours ago Flag

    Considering who's driving this train, I am very optimistic

    Tell that to the people that were buying shares July 23 2013 for $5.20 , almost a year and a half ago, and watching their money disappear in a steady downward trend to todays price of a buck 30. That isn't enough for those that buy into that genius #$%$ and all the B...S that goes with it. The only genius move he makes is the number of people he scams and the lies that are told.

  • Got me why we are down more than a dollar from TODAY'S High. NO News !

  • Reply to

    Projected growth down next year?

    by sealy767 Dec 17, 2014 3:50 PM
    superbowl6wins superbowl6wins Dec 17, 2014 9:00 PM Flag

    Why were you not wondering or worrying when the price went up from $11 to almost $19? Did you not notice that even when they announced what seemed like a spectacular Q3, the stock initially went down and didn't start moving up to the $18 territory until later? Aside from speculation that there is some bad news that isn't public yet (don't think so), there are 3 reasons:

    The PPS going up from 11.95 to 18.42 took 36 trading days. The fall from 18.42 to today's 11.33 took 12 trading 1/3 the time, big difference in the trading pattern and not a normal trading pattern without an negative issue I think there is a "BAD NEWS" reason for that. Give it time, we will find out even if it is too late to do anything about it.

    I agree about the cheap Oil putting pressure on the business. As for Tax Selling maybe, maybe not. Good Luck !

  • Reply to

    what is up

    by centswrth Dec 17, 2014 5:51 PM
    superbowl6wins superbowl6wins Dec 17, 2014 6:15 PM Flag

    nasdaq show substantial extended hours trading. 800 shares at $13.00.

    I wouldn't count on it as a good trade. The Bid is 11.11 and the Ask is 11.90 at 1805hrs.

  • superbowl6wins by superbowl6wins Dec 17, 2014 4:28 PM Flag

    We had people chasing $100 dollars bills blowing in the wind and pennies just laying on the ground. The Big Cap Stocks were the BILLS and small caps like SPCB were the pennies and not picked up. We even had a below average Volume day. Check again tomorrow when people spend those gains on stocks that are bargains !

  • Reply to

    4Q Outlook is good

    by marquiskissel Dec 17, 2014 2:23 PM
    superbowl6wins superbowl6wins Dec 17, 2014 2:41 PM Flag

    We actively monitor news and have regular conversations with management.

    If I may ask, who's "We"? Thank You

  • Reply to

    It Would Be Nice......

    by superbowl6wins Dec 17, 2014 10:44 AM
    superbowl6wins superbowl6wins Dec 17, 2014 2:31 PM Flag

    Checked Zacks again and WLDN was indirectly referenced......
    Fluor currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Better-ranked stocks worth considering in the sector include Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN) and AECOM Technology Corp. (ACM - Analyst Report). Both stocks sport a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).

    That was today.
    I agree something stinks and that is not factored in the ZACKS rating.

  • superbowl6wins by superbowl6wins Dec 17, 2014 10:44 AM Flag

    If their was some comment from WLDN on why the $7.87 PPS drop in 10 days. I know mgmt. has better things to do than to keep us informed about every little PPS movement but this event signals much more than that. That all I'll say.

  • Whose people that were buying on the dip look to make some money on those buys. Good for you, I hope it works out for them.

  • Reply to

    BOUGHT another large chunk at $12.5

    by sophia.leghorn Dec 16, 2014 3:02 PM
    superbowl6wins superbowl6wins Dec 16, 2014 10:30 PM Flag

    Only the participants in the know who were dumping stock on the largest down volume day in the history of the stock know the rumor.

    Checked it out and you are right. This is the largest down day this year by a long shot if not the history. I can't find anything for the reason other than the cheap oil cuts into their business. I even checked the hometown newspaper in Anaheim CA and found nothing. They are hiring so that's a good sign. There where no afterhours trades, that's a good sign. My Zacks account has them as a strong Buy and that will be updated at midnight. Chances are they STILL may be a Strong Buy if Zacks finds nothing wrong and they have better information then we do. The selling may have been overdone and with no afterhours trades, we may get back a quick buck tomorrow. Oil started back up with a strong move at 1550hrs and closed up. TD Ameritrade also shows no sells and several strong buys and buys on their research site. Hopefully we have seen the bottom.

  • superbowl6wins by superbowl6wins Dec 16, 2014 5:36 PM Flag

    48% of third quarter revenues were from the "Energy Efficiency" business, and I fear cheap oil energy could slow down the overall urgency in all energy sectors. If nothing else, the sheer easy availability of renewable and clean energy financing could start to dry up.

    Next you have seasonality in this current fourth quarter. Brisbin warned,


    "The thing that hits us in the fourth quarter on the seasonality, Thanksgiving, Christmas and New Year's and I'm selling energy efficiency in Manhattan, it does get hit. And there's a few other holidays in there along the way. So we've ramped up very, very quickly, but we do have holidays in the fourth quarter."

    Last but not least during the Q&A session it was mentioned WLDN should experience a 40% income tax rate going forward. That adjusted $0.34 of last quarter would actually be more like $0.20 on a taxed basis. That puts the last quarter's annualized P/E ratio at 23, but since we have been warned about the slow seasonality in the fourth quarter annualizing the third quarter isn't even necessarily a good metric."

    All that being said WLDN has 22 job postings and some of the single posted openings have more than one opening since they end in "S", like technicians or inspectors.
    Seems business must be good if they are hiring on their web site even with the cheap oil.

  • But OIL turned positive the last 10 minutes so tomorrow is another day !

  • Reply to

    BOUGHT another large chunk at $12.5

    by sophia.leghorn Dec 16, 2014 3:02 PM
    superbowl6wins superbowl6wins Dec 16, 2014 3:53 PM Flag

    Another 20% off. I almost back to a full position...one more large chunk

    Hey it's your money but you are not one of the ones in the KNOW. You don't know the reason for a 40% drop in the last several days. Stocks do drop 75% and NEVER RECOVER. ICLD was $19.39 THIS YEAR and today it's $2.85 and there are many others like that. Something illegal or some wrong doing is going on and the news will come out after all the damage is done.

  • Reply to

    From $18.42 To $12.87 In 10 Days........

    by superbowl6wins Dec 16, 2014 12:47 PM
    superbowl6wins superbowl6wins Dec 16, 2014 2:09 PM Flag

    . No fair disclosure here and when the news does come the lawsuits will start. Of course, hard earned money will already be lost and never will it be fully recoverable. What a crime. Less

    You are dead right ! I've been there before. I know the drill.

  • And NO NEWS ! Give me a Break. The shareholders are being taken and it's not just the H funds, something illegal is being done. The lawsuits should being coming as soon as today, you can count on it !

  • We have volume over 80K in the first hour and that's about half of the average days volume. The big drop was the first 9 min. of the open and that might be a combination of Margin Calls and stop-loss selling. When I get a "call", and I do, I believe in high leverage trading if you know what your doing, then I use an ACH from the bank to meet the call or I look for stocks that I really like but haven't moved much so I have a better chance of getting back in them after the Market turns up.
    The "stop-loss" and the "calls" are done for the day and I believe we will end the day in the GREEN after the Fed Minutes at 1400hrs. Now that's just a guess on my part just for fun and the fact that "Oil" seems to be forming a bottom today. Good Luck Longs !

  • Reply to

    Not impressed

    by zappa.bull Dec 15, 2014 8:23 PM
    superbowl6wins superbowl6wins Dec 15, 2014 11:05 PM Flag

    Own it at $12 for some time now and still have not realized a profit.

    Well there's a lot of us that own this stock at 4 or 4.50 and that was THIS YEAR ! I'll take a 2 to 3 bagger anytime. If you do hold on you will find this stock moves in big steps on the "news". It's a "small cap" that gets "Hot" and then cools off for a short time bouncing up and down in a small window before the next move up. Besides, you know as soon as YOU SELL IT, SPCB will go sky high ! Good Luck !

  • Reply to

    WHAT???????????????????

    by betting_freddy Dec 14, 2014 7:10 PM
    superbowl6wins superbowl6wins Dec 14, 2014 11:43 PM Flag

    as long as the Patriots get to go to the Superbowl!!!


    Let me know when the Pats get SIX Superbowl WINS like the Steeler's ( or as we call them Stillers), or even 5 for that matter. NOBODY else has 6 SB Wins !

  • superbowl6wins by superbowl6wins Dec 13, 2014 10:54 PM Flag

    The rank on this stock is very high with ZACKS rating it a Strong Buy #1 and TD Ameritrade shows 3 Strong buys, 2 Buys, and 4 holds. Just 7 trading days on Dec 5 the close was $18.08 and Dec. 12 it closed at $15.35 for a drop of $2.74 or about 20% on no good reason. If the estimated earnings come true they will be 6X last years earnings! The estimated earnings have been increased for this quarter.
    Seems to me this stock is oversold and nobody is looking at it. Good Luck Longs !

SWHC
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