I agree Fridays #'s good news is bad news.. Bad news is bad news. We retest last Mondays lows. TVIX WILL GO TO MID $20's..
Google this with todays date
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Google Shares Still Have 20% Upside
Gordon Johnson of Axiom Equity Research cautioned against near-term down to Sunedison, Inc. (NYSE: SUNE), with the stock continuing to decline despite recent evidence that the debt market and equity investors still showing interest in it. Johnson initiated coverage of SunEdison with a Hold rating.
According to the Axiom report, the company needs to prove that it can "sell projects into the third-party merchant market at a double-digit profit margin," as suggested earlier by SunEdison.
Although the company had earlier intended to drop these projects down to TerraForm Power, Inc. (NASDAQ: TERP), SunEdison has "recently begun negotiations to sell these projects into the open market," Johnson reported.
Johnson also believes that the company faces a unique problem, in that it needs to convince investors that "it has profitable dropdowns for "at least" several years-2 years out," without TerraForm Power needing to issue equity.
"[I]f investors cannot grasp the idea of TERP purchasing SUNE drop downs into the distant future and thus growing the dividend… the incremental investor in TERP's shares becomes non-existent," Johnson explained.
In addition, the Axiom report stated that investors are likely to find it difficult to quantify the downside case for SunEdison. Simply put, if TerraForm is unable to buy SunEdison's dropdowns, the latter company will be unable to develop its project backlog. However, the impact of this scenario in terms of shrink in business, opex or cash flow in future is difficult to assess.
"Furthermore, how does SUNE then fund the upkeep necessary to build the sizeable portfolio of projects it currently has under construction that it previously planned on dropping down to TERP," Johnson added.
On the other hand, given the large capital requirement for SunEdison to venture into the rooftop segment, Johnson expects the stock to rally if the company walks away from Vivint Solar, Inc. (NYSE: VSLR).
That is untrue, the 1diot said First Solar was going to 0. He hates FSLR more then Trina if you can believe that. If not for him we might have enjoyed a day like JKS investors did today.
Funny thing is, it says Axioms initiates a Sell, Gordon had a sell on it @ $2.04 in November 2012 when he worked for Axiom . Very Corrupt. China just put 22 Bil in economy last night.