Just my opinion - the stock is dirt cheap, but I have a bit of a conspiracy theory that there will be news on the REIT or some other type of restructuring/ sale. I don't understand why this company is public anymore - the P/E ratio used to be a lot higher, which made the stock good for acquisitions but now that the stock is so cheap, it may pay for someone to take all or part of the company private, or sell or spinoff the real estate. I think that the main reason the REIT is taking so long is because management may have other options. I mean, if some private equity firm offered Eric Langan $200 million, he should take it. I believe that the company is worth $18-22 per share, it is a question of extracting the value, and an outright sale might be a better route.
If it got back below 2.25 I'd buy back in. Sold almost all of mine in the $2.75 range and didn't have a reason, just felt nervous about the market. I think the next big move will come when the earnings come out - and they should be good. Maybe the stock will sell off into earnings and then pop on the news. Either way, I think that it was a bit extended at 2.80 and that might be the reason it sold off. I don't own it right now, but I am watching.
I personally don't think that a reverse stock split is a bad idea. Still thinking that the stock is a little ahead of itself and sold most of my stock, but I'd love to buy back if it pulled back some.
On Friday I sold most of my TCX at around $2.75. Maybe I sold too soon. But I think that it "should" run up into earnings then sell off. Ideally, I would like to re enter the stock at around $2.50 but that might not happen. I was just a bit surprised by the magnitude and speed of the most recent move and decided to take profits in TCX and MSFT on Friday.
In my opinion, if RICK can go out and find a good use for the money, then the issue of the convertible is a non event. The stock is beginning to get more coverage and deservedly so - it is one of the cheapest stocks out there relative to its growth rate, and it is the dominant publicly traded topless club (are there any others to speak of?) Anyway, I keep thinking that we will be at 13 1/2 or better by year end, so this latest small pullback allowed me to buy more shares.
And I would like to point out that the market is down 90 points today, most stocks are down and RICK is up about .20 . I think we are going to have a nice little run in the very short term assuming all of this debt ceiling BS gets resolved. I think we can get to $13.50 before the next earnings report.
I don't think there has to be any news. I mean I think that they announced that they are opening a new club today, but the stock is still under 1x sales, very low p/e, projected growth of 20-30%. Can't really find much better than that. I am personally looking for $13.50 in the relatively near term.
I have noticed that this stock really only moves around the earnings reports.... My guess is that you will see a nice runup into the next earnings announcement. Hopefully, if the news is good, we will get the follow through as well. These guys seem to be pointing toward a turn in the coming quarter. If they deliver, I think the stock is headed to $2.60-2.80.
Well, I am glad to see this breakout, the shorts are getting killed, but this does not seem like the blowoff top/ spike. I mean we are at 250,000 shares, which is decent, but I think we'd need a lot more than that for me to think that we were blowing off - maybe 750000- 1 million shares. I still think we are heading to the $13-14 area before the end of the year, but it could happen a lot sooner. We are only $1.25 away now and the stock is not backing off.
I don't own Blackberry - I own MSFT and owned Nokia up until they sold the handset division and then I sold everything. I believe that MSFT will buy Blackberry at some kind of fire sale price. Blackberry is all about the enterprise and so is Microsoft. Blackberry has over $5 a share in cash, so its not like MSFT would be paying a lot anyway, and I am guessing they could use their overseas cash and save the 30+% in taxes by not repatriating the money. I am sure Blackberry has some very valuable patents and design features like their keyboard which could be very useful. Like I said, I have no position, but can't see any of the Android vendors or Apple doing anything, so MSFT is a good fit.
Seems to me like the inflection point as far as opinion on the stock was reached during the last conference call. After being stagnant for several years, it is changing to a 20-30% grower. The question is the 2014 estimates. I believe that RICK could get to a market multiple (somewhat below its growth rate because it is a sin stock). So in the longer term, I think that this is a 20-30 dollar stock. In the short term, I think we can go up 50% from where it broke out before it corrects - there is not a lot of stock out there, the shorts are getting squeezed every day and fundamentally, the stock is still trading at less than 1x sales. I am looking for another few bucks on the upside before I even think of doing anything.
nice move up today - it seems like RICK wants to go a lot higher - didn't back off much even as the rest of the market sold off. I am wondering - if we get a nice blowoff rally with 1 million shares traded, if we could hit 13 1/2 - 14 over the next few months?
I am having a hard time figuring out what will happen, but investing in stubs (like what remains of VOD) could be a great bet. Its confusing why the shares only closed at 32 1/2 - we will know a lot more tomorrow when they open in the US.
Despite this #$%$ market, it looks like 11 is not going to be a problem. Rick's used to make these huge upward moves, and honestly the volume isn't that big today even though the price move is great. Who knows, maybe a blowoff rally with over a million shares could take us to 14 in short order. Still, I am going to be patient until I see something excessive. Barking dog - if you are short, the market is going against you. The stock is seriously undervalued and even though it would be very extended at 14 technically, the valuation would still be dirt cheap. Look back on the 10 year chart to see the kinds of volatility this thing can have on the upside.
really surprised that we are pushing 11 on a day like to today (mostly a down day).... seems like could head to the 12 - 14 range. Blow out all of the shorts. I agree with the $18-20 call some time in 2014. If that happens, I may blow in my shorts.
I think that the stock and the company has turned the corner. There is resistance at 11 or so but I think we will head toward that number in the short term. Over the next year, as RICK returns to its projected 20-30% growth rate, I believe that this stock has a very good shot at getting to $18-20 per share at some point in 2014. I think that as the economy improves, more people will go to clubs - it's like taking a vacation from listening to idiots all day. You just sit there, drink and socialize with half naked women. I think it will take a few quarters of solid numbers and the stock will start running to 12 then 14 then my target range of 18-20.
This move is long overdue, but I think it is due to the general idea that the worst is behind RICK and that going forward the growth rate will be 20-30%. There are also a lot of expenses that won't be there this quarter as opposed to last. Would love to see the stock punch through 12 - after that, we could be on our way to 17. As a long term shareholder, I think that RICK has turned the corner, however it will always have a sin stock multiple. Still, even if the stock doubled, it would be a little more than half of what any other non-sin stock would be with these kinds of numbers and growth. I used to own Phillip Morris - when things start to look really good and it gets close to a non- sin stock valuation, sell. When it gets to a ridiculous discount (like now) buy. The valuation will never be "fair".
This latest Move in TCX reminds me of the move that happened when they did the dutch auctions and the stock went from around 1.40 to 2.20. Except we punched through 2.20 this time - who knows, with the stock up .16 on a #$%$ day like today, I could see high 2s low 3s. The stock seems to have these long periods of consolidation followed by massive spikes higher. We know that the next major earnings report is several months away, and it SHOULD be a great quarter. That is what I am basing my bullishness on. However, if there is something that we are not aware of yet, like the company going private, that would also explain it. I don't know, but I don't sell stocks when they are up 7% on days like today. It seems like the stock is going to move quite a bit higher on this move (over the next few months). I didn't think it would happen this quickly.
I think that MSFT should buy Nokia and have Stephen Elop run it now that Ballmer is retiring. Nokia is recovering nicely, and MSFT needs to do something with all of that overseas cash. Elop is familiar with MSFT, and now that NOK took control of NSN from Siemens, all they have to do is spin that off or sell it and then what is left can be sold to MSFT for cash or stock or both. By that time, Nokia will be profitable and not a drag on MSFT earnings. Also, by that time, Intel will have its new chips out, so you could see a bunch of inexpensive phones and tablets running intel chips and Windows. I own both NOK and MSFT, but I think that in the long term, NOK shareholders will benefit from MSFT's improvement more than MSFT shareholders since it is hard to move the needle on a 300 billion dollar company.