I hear it is a great paint remover. Rember that guy from over a yer ago? Always fun to have some of these clowns around.
Or it could burst out and go much higher. It is now slightly above the 20 day and the 20 day just passed over (on top) of the 50 day. It has been creeping up since July 16th. There is a massive short position and we are getting very close to the NDA filing. This event will drive the price higher and it won't be on the filing date. It will move up weeks before that date. The volume is pathetic and this makes it tough for shorts to cover. The institutions seem quite content. Longs such as myself are very content. I just don't see shorting this as a safe bet, but rather a very dangerous one. I play the percentages and stay away from the gambling side of it.
But lets focus on what we do know: Pima will be approved and it will be a blockbuster. Look at the institutional ownership...it is telling you something. Joe, hope is not a strategy. You can post junk all you want, but when this stock moves up it will walk right through you.
I saw this over the weekend. Your post prompted me to check out Jason's twitter reply to raj. Going by memory, It seemed like a strange time of the night for Jason to reply. I immediately thought he had a few and will probably wish he did not reply in that manner.
I like Jason. He turned me on to ACAD and I own a boat load starting at $1.87. He is thorough. I think he is too conservative, but I understand he is in different shoes. I think his comments to another authors SA article about what Uli (ACAD CEO) said about CYNAF was amateur hour though.
I am waiting to see what this "huge" new is. If solid then I will dip my toes into the CYNAF pool. I don't mind being a little late to the party. Good luck!
The original poster gave you all the info needed to validate his/her claim. I did it it 5 seconds on Google. Why don't you try looking? Not trying to be mean, but put a little effort into it. It is not the origianl posters job to hold your hand.
The headline I read states Allergan is interested in Salix, not Acadia. I don't know much about Allergan, but I did not thing they were into CNS. I always thought cosmetic drugs, medical devices and optology. I don't think the partnership eye / pain drugs with Acadia have much to them. Just a hunch.
Finally, I don't mind an offer or bidding war but I suspect it won't be enough for me to bite at this point. I rather wait 18-24 more months for close to full potential.
Agee, 40 percent at $50 is too much. I don't really have any set plan, but given most of my net worth is in this baby then I do have to gradually unwind. Sometying tells me this never sees the $50 range...meaning we skip $50's and gap up big. Just a hunch...and I am wrong more than I am right. Have a good weekend.
If the stock runs up to $50 in the next year or so I could see them gradually unloading at least up to 40 percent of their holding. I would, and will.
I have not seen any feeds from SA over the last two weeks for a variety of stocks. Anybody notice this? I realize in many cases the articles are from amateurs, but the comment section always seems to get one or two solid posts with good info.
Not a lawyer (heck, I'm not much of anything), but you probably want the r/e in a separate LLC from the business. this way if a tenant or someone hurt on property sues you, they can only go after building and not your business. Vice versa, someone sues business and they can't go after the building...pretty basic stuff.
Your janitorial business will sign an arms length lease with your LLC and pay rent, etc just like the other 5 tenants (make sure it is Fair value). If your CPA tells you the rental profits are subject to Obamacare's 3.8 medicair surcharge then let me know. There exists a clause (not the right word) whereby this is not correct. If you need more info on this let me know and I will try to track down this info.
Good luck Buddy!!
above my pay grade, but i will take a crack since the board is so quiet. Regardless of mix (pdp, adp, schizo, sleep) i think we can go with 3.5 times peak sales as long as we are looking at about 7 years on patents which i believe expire in 2027 for US and 2028 foreign (not positive about this).
Forest was bought for 5x their next year earnings.
I will be disappointed if we are not at $120 in 2018.
BioBetter posted on Investor Village indicating Piper thinks Pima will do $2B in 2020 for ADP only (appears to be US only). I can live with the number, but in 5 years? Here is my math with some conservatism built in.
5M x .25 with psychosis x .30 penetration x $6k Acadia selling price per patient/yr = $2.25B
I was hoping they could achieve this in 2018 thru off-label.
there are some who point out that psychosis ocurrs in UP TO 40 percent Of Parkinsons patients and not that 40 percent have psychosis at any given point. In fact, one year ago someone posted this and laid out the math for everyone to see...it came out to 40,000. You van find this math in the Comments section of Brian Nichols Seeking Alpha article from about 9 months ago. The subject was something to the effect Acadia / Pima the Next Blockbuster. EZ Vestor from this board did the forecasting model in that article.
Also in the comments BioBetter refuted the 40,000 claim.
THE BOTTOM LINE: about 50 percent of Parkinsons patients are on anti-psychotics.!!