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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Message Board

techstrategy 1715 posts  |  Last Activity: 21 hours ago Member since: Nov 9, 2010
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  • Reply to

    Gibbering Short Idiots Reach New Crescendo

    by skiidady1 Apr 16, 2014 8:05 PM
    techstrategy techstrategy 21 hours ago Flag

    Skidmark: nothing has changed. If AMZN has a big move up on earnings, I will be pointing out that a 10% move in AMZN could buy 50% of the GLD ETF and end the games forever because unlike futures, GLD short interest is limited and constrained by law.... Scamopoly for cash and gold is the modern alchemy.

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 8:55 PM Flag

    As to your energy glut, you are very wrong. We are experiencing demand destruction. Prices keep rising in spite of quantities falling... Why Sybs? Your statements are so naive as to be inane... You never differentiate types of every (chemical and electrical are different as are liquid gas and solid...). Do you know what the cost of electricity is in USVI? Trust me, solar is competitive there without subsidy... Your blanket statements and assertions might hold sway in a trader's world on a yahoo message board, but I deal in real economics, so I see the intellectual laziness...

    Lecture me on trading all you want. But, if you want to talk real world stuff, bring some rigor.

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 8:31 PM Flag

    Good stuff Sybs. I hope you saw my post that I respect those doing it with and risking their own coin. Not how I choose to make my money, but I respect taking real risk and suffering the consequences... Part of the reason I push here is to encourage diversity of thought, which is the kind of diversity that really matters. When everyone thinks the same way, we and the systems around us become fragile and vulnerable. Everyone is a technical trader these days. And all who've played that game with skill have done well. But, it has led to a world where financial assets are meaningless because they have no grounding in reality... (Replacement cost or cash flows). We will have a reset. Unless Lloyd and the GS Central Bankers want to be buried alive, it will be from inflating real assets instead of deflating financial ones. Nonetheless, domestic consumption plays will get hammered...

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 7:47 PM Flag

    Sybs, let me be clear. I respect individual traders who are riding their own capital. That takes guts and winning requires skill since the game is rigged... It's like be able to count cards at the casino... Not the skill I would choose or have chosen to develop, but a skill nonetheless.

    I say all these things simply to help people see the bigger picture and why we have to invest in the real economy...

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 7:16 PM Flag

    Tell yourself whatever you need to Sybs... Wasn't you that explained the people really losing were they average Joe's invested in "FMR 2050 Aggresive Growth Fund"... Logically speaking, you are, according to your own pronouncements, simply riding alongside those transferring the wealth from the many to the few... But, its fine with you so long as you are one who benefits...

    That is the new United States of America. Very few give a chyt how the make their money and all they really care about is themselves... To be clear, I'm not in favor of a dependent state (would abolish welfare and make it WPA or equivalent so that society gets value from its taking care of those in need and so that people get the dignity of earning it...). But, when most of the money is being made in zero sum games at other's expense that's when real growth goes to zero and societal stability starts to become perilous.

    I know my views are wildly unpopular on what amounts to a traders's forum. So keep throwing darts. I'm not in this for popularity. I don't care. I do hope people will wake up and realize that the financial scorecard ain't gonna mean chyt when TSHTF. The only real investment is in one's ability to create an ongoing flow of value in the real economy. Whatever stock of financial assets you think you have will not matter much...

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 2:40 PM Flag

    I haven't attacked you in any of this Sybs... Yet, you have attacked me (read your title or your last sentence...).

    I'm not interested in commercializing technology that depends upon government subsidies. I figure out where the math works and those are the applications/environments we target. We aren't building massive plants like KiOR that depend upon advanced cellulosic RIN credits, we are pursuing a much more efficient and disruptive approach.

    Interesting... Glad to hear you are redeploying financial assets (AMZNopoly derived money) into real and productive assets. That's great. I hope others are as well. If my posts even accomplish a little introspection by all on the board (and consideration of redeploying financial assets to real assets/investments), that is progress...

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 2:25 PM Flag

    You are awfully sensitive Sybil... I didn't insult you. I congratulated you on "winning"... I am merely pointing out the very fundamental and important structural issues that will come to a head. The current imbalance between the financial economy and the real economy cannot be maintained. In our efforts to preserve nominal asset values (because of the almost quadrillion in derivative bets layered on nominal prices), we are destroying the real economy... Path dependence matters. The longer we play these games, the worse it will be. There is 1 and only 1 semi stable path to simultaneously addressing all of the imbalances (financial/real, trade/CA, etc)...

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 1:47 PM Flag

    So what do your private businesses do Sybs? Please, do tell...

    I am a firm believer in competition, markets and capitalism. They've served this nation well until the last 30 years when we implemented the American version of central planning (Greenspan/Bernanke/Yellen monetary policy) his distorted market pricing and created artificial winners and losers.

    The imbalance between the real economy and financial assets (what do we have now, something approaching a quadrillion in financial assets including derivatives which are subject to AUM and churn fees?) has artificially inflated the rents captured from financial intermediation and trading versus working in the "real economy" (non financial goods and services).

    Financial trading is essentially a zero sum game. Competition in the real economy isn't... Having said that, in either venue, the goal is to win... Much as it may not seem like it, I will win big as the financial economy again normalizes to historical tenable % of GDP.

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 11:38 AM Flag

    Sybs. You don't invest. You trade. You gradually extract wealth from volatility in asset prices. Congrats, I'm happy for you. But there is no connection between what you do and the actual value created from any of the underlying assets and no meaningful signal that encourages new productive investment.

    The problem is that smart people like you and cash "invest" all your time in trading, which creates no value... It is a microcosm of the problem the US faces on a broader scale... Financialization has basically taken all the economic rents from producers of goods and services and transferred rents to "producers" of money and those closest to them... We now have a self reinforcing situation where the financial elite and intellectual elite are one and the same, capturing a completely unsustainable share of the economic value and still seeking to grow that pie... Some folks (you and Cash, though in different ways) recognize the problems... But, you simply join in instead...

    Financial sector share of GDP is 50% higher than the roaring 20's. More than double that of 30 years ago and close triple that of the median share of the past century. Financial assets and the financial sector are the bubble. There is only one semi stable path to bring the financial economy back in balance with the real one and failure to do so will lead to social instability that will do it in less pleasant ways (cash's revolutionary scenario).

    Until we stop focusing on financial assets and instead focus on real productivity, we are all hosed... In the long run, financial assets come back into balance with the real economy. The longer we play these games, the more the real economy decays...

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 10:57 AM Flag

    And my point is that investors can change the dynamics from the bottom up if they simply have the courage to ignore badly painted technicals and focus on fundamentals. The path that has been followed cannot work. There is only one semi stable path.

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 10:51 AM Flag

    Firm believer in markets and capitalism... The kind that aren't rigged / manipulated first by the Fed and TBTF and then amplified by an order of magnitude by casino collusion in float jams. The real economy and noon financial markets are simply responding to distorted price signals from blunt central planning tools of the financial sector...

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 10:13 AM Flag

    My community work is getting the LONG investors who haven't been concentrated in float jams to realize that the Capn and crew / casino have stolen from them (via AUM fees and bonuses) and their shareholders in the 18 month float jam ETF stuffing via rebalancing.... I have no love for the short funds. They are equally collusive and are often responsible for the more extreme rallies to kill retail shorts and puts. None of these games create any value. In fact, all of them destroy value...

    As to "similar nonsense", I will see the Cap'n and his crew taken down. This is the Enron of this decade, but most of the malfeasance lies in the financial sector outside the company... It is important that people understand how a small crew of collusive longs and quants manipulated the market to stuff ETFs with #$%$ so when those ETFs and the stocks implode, they know where to go hunting...

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 9:37 AM Flag

    See email.

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 12:16 AM Flag

    This autocorrect is almost as stupid as you are... The captain, crew and SS AMZN are going down. Please stay on the ship and keep trying to bale water...

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 18, 2014 12:13 AM Flag

    Geegee, actually, you should apologize for being a waste of perfectly good cl carbon that could have otherwise had done real value to the world. The future will such fit you and those that have paid for your pathetic existence. You'll be better off if you just jump...

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 17, 2014 10:46 PM Flag

    We will see... I'll be adding to shorts as well... The CMG experience is likely to be systematically replicated... Once earnings premium is gone, institutions will unload scams. By end of Q2, all float scams will be down hard and float scam operators facing HEAVY redemptions of what is left...

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 17, 2014 9:18 PM Flag

    I continually say raise cash and buy gold. Not saying USD is going away. Just saying gold in USD terms must d skyrocket to avoid cascading defaults.

  • Nice propaganda piece. Perfect that they should quote the guy who is at RBC because of the Facebook IPO issues. Mark is the epitome of the Scamalysts... I only wish he were obligated to buy according to his price targets so that his own wealth would be at risk...

  • techstrategy techstrategy Apr 17, 2014 7:19 PM Flag

    Nope. I'll love it at 2000 within 12 months. Until all the scamopoly money is gone, gold will have huge support. Plus, the end state guarantees either gold much higher or all your financial assets (including gains from shorting these scams) will be essentially worthless.

  • Reply to


    by techstrategy Apr 17, 2014 5:22 PM
    techstrategy techstrategy Apr 17, 2014 7:02 PM Flag

    What if casino wasn't behind the CMG takedown? What if the funds who effectively had AUM (and shareholder money) taken from them via the ETF stuffing / quant growth long collusion pain trade have realized how the float scam has hurry them and have decided to get payback? That's all LC tech INVESTORS have to do here to ensure that justice is done... Don't need the SEC or DOJ. Hit Stevie and the rest of the casino crooks where it really hurts...

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