Keef, I'm wondering if the Australian Design Rules are different from the US regarding brake light operation. I know that in the US, it used to be illegal to illuminate the brake light unless the brake pedal was being pressed. Apparently that rule has changed.
Are you referring to Iridium satellite phone?
"without Tesla, all of those cars would have sold 50%+ less"
And without the availability of Tesla's ZEV credits, there would be thousands more on the road.
For what it's worth, there aren't nearly the number of forum posts for order confirmations that we usually see at the end of the quarter.
Breaking it down by quarter, we saw:
Q1: 9273 VIN's, 7535 built
Q2: 9403 VIN's, 8763 built
Q3: 10122 VIN's, 7200 built
Q4: 12216 VIN's, 11627 built
As you can see, thousands of Q3 VIN's were either abandoned or became inventory cars when the DWD was announced.
I don't mind Americans, Germans, or Japanese. It's the Saffers I dislike. Did you see how they treated the Irish yesterday? That was simply disrespectful.
When they say the Beta prototype is complete, are they referring to the Beta car build or the Beta design phase? Typically, the Beta phase is where the bulk of the design validation takes place. And it's where the bulk of the engineering dollars are spent. The phase will typically continue 6 months after the vehicle build. There needs to be time in the schedule to make design adjustments prior to PPAP submission which is typically 6 months before start of production. As a result, the Beta build is typically done 12-18 months before start of production. Obviously, Tesla is not your typical company.
And they said the same thing to Waverley when he showed up in his electric car..... and we all know how that turned out .............
I think that small-battery (i.e. non-plug-in) hybrids will increase in popularity if you can drive the cost down to where they pay for themselves in 3 years. Essentially, you can get "Highway MPG" all the time regardless of how you drive. It would probably save 25% on gas cost. If you drive an SUV, the savings can be huge.
I strongly agree with Dr. Denner's assessment. A couple of comments:
Assuming that proposed CAFE standards remain in effect, I think that 15% by 2025 is conservative. If you look at today's hybrid cars versus non-hybrid equivalents, the difference in City MPG is remarkable. There's no other ICE technology on the horizon that can offer that kind of improvement.
Secondly, I believe his prediction of “batteries will deliver twice as much energy density for half the present cost,” is based on current prismatic technology. The cylindrical cells that Tesla uses are already much farther down the learning curve. Even Tesla is predicting only a 30% cost improvement from the GF.
JTF, I agree with your numbers if you do not have off-peak rates on weekends and holidays. If you do, then the annual savings would be in the $50-55 range.
I figured a new topic made sense.
Here's a scenario with a wider rate spread: Peak 20% (26 cents/kWh), Shoulder 16% (16 cents/kWh), Off-Peak 64% (6 cents/kWh). This scenario would save you 33% on your monthly bill if you could purchase everything off-peak.
Notes: the usage percentages above are typical for an Ontario Hydro residential customer; weekends and holidays are off-peak. If you have an EV, you are already charging it off-peak so the savings percentage will be less. If you have solar panels, you are already avoiding a large percentage of the peak rate. So again, your savings percentage will be less.
Does anyone have a scenario where the savings would be enough to cover the cost of the home energy storage system?
JTF, to estimate the value of a home energy storage system, just calculate your monthly bill assuming that all of the kWh are purchased at the lowest off-peak rate and compare to what you are paying now. In Ontario, the peak rate is 14 cents and the off-peak is 7.7 cents. Given that the average consumer already purchases 64% of their energy off-peak (weekends and holidays are off-peak), the potential savings are only about 20%. About $15/month savings in my case. A no-brainer for sure.
If you want to calculate for your own scenario, these are Ontario Hydro's typical usage percentages and rates:
Peak 20% (14 cents/kWh), Shoulder 16% (11.4 cents/kWh), Off-Peak 64% (7.7 cents/kWh).
That's just further proof that the climate is changing because of too many gas-guzzling SUV's. Don't even get me started about the great lakes freezing over. Again.