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ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. Message Board

termi0209 7 posts  |  Last Activity: Jan 25, 2016 11:03 AM Member since: Dec 25, 2010
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  • Reply to

    Mar 18´16, 4 Call

    by termi0209 Jan 25, 2016 11:02 AM
    termi0209 termi0209 Jan 25, 2016 11:03 AM Flag

    feb 4 call, not 3

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • termi0209 by termi0209 Jan 25, 2016 11:02 AM Flag

    Today 1001 at 0,50.
    A few days ago 2330 at 0,10 in Feb19, 3 call...

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • termi0209 termi0209 Jan 23, 2016 6:26 PM Flag

    From Q1 2015 , C.C:

    "The clinical results of our previous Phase I-IIa study for the treatment of patients with liver metastatic disease using HIFU were recently published in the peer-reviewed scientific journal PLOS ONE. The study using HIFU as non-invasive tool in a often surgery procedure concluded that this new more powerful HIFU device was able to safely and effectively ablate large volumes of liver tissue in a short period of time, and with a precession of one millimeter or two millimeters and the real-time ultrasound monitoring. These results are very promising and we now plan to move forward into the Phase 2b of this clinical study in an effort to further establish HIFU’s benefits for the treatment of liver tumors."

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Revenues ( in m euros) :2013= 24,1 // 2014= 26,8 // 2015 = about 28 without hifu sales in USA.
    In 2016 without hifu sales in USA about 31 . Just in Q1 edap has about +1 m only in litho business + we should see some increase in hifu revenue due to the RPP.
    With hifu sales in USA
    2015: 31-32
    2016: 45 . = 50 m USD
    According with hifu planet there are 188 hifu centres around the world, the question is how many machines can they sell in USA?? We know that they had sold at least 5 in half quarter , so if they sell 5 machines/ quarter,( we have 45 m eur, if they can´t get at least these numbers...bad , bad , bad..

    A reasonable valuation for a company is : M.K = x5, x6 times revenues.,
    so with 50 m usd x ONLY 3,50 or 4 times revenues= 175 -200 m m.k= 7 or 8$
    So considering that edap will be profitable in 2016, I think that edap will double this year.

    4,13?? why? Obviously we had tax loss selling like we saw on thursday, someone was trying to sell 10 k at 4,22, finnally he sold at 4,16 near to the close..but i think that the main reason it´s because we had bad results in Q3. What did happen with edap in last 2 years after reults?? Just see what happened after 5,6 weeks ( not 2-3 days later).
    Q1 14= good results, +78%
    Q2 14= bad, -27%
    Q3= good +50% before Canada approval.
    Q4=bad -22%
    Q1 15= except this q. +10%. bad results compared with q1 14 ( but that q was ecellent)
    Q2=good +65%
    Q3= bad -24%
    q4= good ..
    If after a few quarters they announced the backlog in last C.C, a preannounce of the results in january it´s a real possibility.+ tax loss selling in dec; rsi at 35, ma (200) at 3,95..., m.k= only 3 times revenues,...I bought another 4 k on thursday , i will buy more on monday....

    Feliz año socios!!!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Response to the warrant issue

    by joemarket123456789 Nov 16, 2015 9:28 AM
    termi0209 termi0209 Nov 18, 2015 4:04 AM Flag

    Whether we like it or not, you are right. Big net loss due to the warrants.
    If I´m not wrong the record revenue in a quarter is 9,4 m euros, so
    Revenue = 9,4 m eur + operating profit= + 0,8 m euros, it would be fantastic .

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Reply to

    Strong revenue coming in Q3

    by termi0209 Nov 8, 2015 1:53 PM
    termi0209 termi0209 Nov 15, 2015 11:32 AM Flag

    In the chubby´s post

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Not only due to the HIFU division , (If Edap didn´t have a strong revenue, the P.R at the end of the quarter has no sense.)
    In litho business after a few quarters Edap finally had a very good revenue in Q2, and we can´t forget that the new product was launched in may..from Q4 CC.

    "And as far the question is on when can we start generating sales, that we did a prelaunch of that laser and our complete range of stone solutions at the EAU in Madrid and the official commercialization launch will be at AUA in mid-May.
    So we might be able to start generating revenues in Q2 of this year or in Q3 sorry, after June."

    So finally Edap above 6$ very soon it is a real possibility, from 6$ to 7$ it´s only 1-3 sessions....

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

ACAD
19.36-0.93(-4.58%)Feb 5 4:00 PMEST