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Revolution Lighting Technologies, Inc. Message Board

thatllbetheday1 20 posts  |  Last Activity: Sep 12, 2014 4:09 PM Member since: Mar 14, 2006
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  • Reply to

    New Uptrend Forming ....

    by thatllbetheday1 Sep 5, 2014 3:23 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Sep 12, 2014 4:09 PM Flag

    YES -- volume today was 141,750 -- biggest trading day since July 1 when it was 151,300 ..... lots of volatility today, covering a range of $10.47 to $11.22. No case for profit taking here, so I'd interpret the selling as shorts trying to make a case that the price is really headed down .... but I don't believe it is. When they give up and cover, it will only add fuel to the next uptrend. See you next week ....

  • Reply to

    New Uptrend Forming ....

    by thatllbetheday1 Sep 5, 2014 3:23 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Sep 12, 2014 12:36 PM Flag

    ALSO -- can't help but notice the increased volume today .... in just three hours of trading, already nearly 75K shares traded .... by the close today, likely the biggest volume day since early July .....

  • Reply to

    New Uptrend Forming ....

    by thatllbetheday1 Sep 5, 2014 3:23 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Sep 12, 2014 12:02 PM Flag

    I hope some here took advantage of the buying opportunity on the dip yesterday --- If you picked up shares at $10.60-10.65 toward the end of the day you're already enjoying a sweet 5-6% rise in value. I still see a likely new uptrend coming, perhaps as soon as next week, if we get a close above $11.75 .....

  • thatllbetheday1 by thatllbetheday1 Sep 5, 2014 3:23 PM Flag

    Nice to see PCYG moving up, albeit on very light volume. For me, the critical level will be to rise above $12.00. Why? Because on a Weekly Chart, that is where the price will trip Parabolic SAR to signal a new, longer term uptrend. As I'm writing this the real time price is at $10.89 -- just 10% below that critical threshold. Won't happen today, but possibly next week or the week after. As it approaches that threshold, look for technically minded traders and momentum players to dive back in for a sharp upward tic ..... However, positive news of any new client signings could blast it to $12 and above very quickly. Personally,I don't expect the Conference Call / Earnings announcement on 9/11 to create much stir -- but possibly a down day/ buying opportunity -- the real earnings are in the future.

  • Reply to

    200 Day Moving Average

    by thatllbetheday1 Jul 15, 2014 3:38 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Sep 2, 2014 12:56 PM Flag

    PCYG is floating along sideways now, just above its 200-Day moving average, but to really understand what's going on, try using a chart that allows you to look at its trend on a weekly rather than daily basis, over a 12-16 month time-frame. On a weekly trend basis, it's still in over-sold territory, MACD/ momentum is still negative, and Stochastic signal still at the bottom of the cycle. The most important trend indicator, SAR, is still showing downtrend and coming down slowly, now standing at $12.12. This suggests to me that this 'correction' could go another 3-4 weeks, but any strong positive news could kick it up sharply. Still a good buying opportunity here --- keep some powder dry .....

  • Reply to

    He he he he ha ha ha I shorted this PIG at

    by busthercherry Aug 8, 2014 10:01 AM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Aug 11, 2014 4:21 PM Flag

    Yes -- ANY maker (read: Apple, Samsung, Nike, Fitbit, Amazon ....) who wants to sell a competitive smart phone, tablet, fitness device, gaming device, or wearable device that depend increasingly on accurate position/ movement will have to get the chip from INVN .... and speaking of movements, the shorts will also be having a movement --- it in their shorts ....

  • Reply to

    New High?

    by thatllbetheday1 Aug 11, 2014 2:39 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Aug 11, 2014 3:01 PM Flag

    Low volume today suggests a lot of $ is on the sideline, just watching and waiting, after the profit-taking/ fear selloff July 23-30 .... and the Candle formed yesterday and so far today are classic split-market/ wait & see formations .....

  • Reply to

    New High?

    by thatllbetheday1 Aug 11, 2014 2:39 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Aug 11, 2014 2:52 PM Flag

    Previous high close was $25.61 on 7/23/14 and previous intraday high was $26.78 on 7/24/14 -- so the price right now is just 3.2% away from a new closing high -- and just 7.9% away from a new intraday high. For context, it's already up 2% just today. Either event will be a signal to momentum investors to jump back in ....

  • thatllbetheday1 by thatllbetheday1 Aug 11, 2014 2:39 PM Flag

    The tech charts are suggesting INVN momentum is about to go positive again -- and the P&F charts are suggesting a price target of $43 - $45, based on the supply/demand pattern. A new high may be coming soon. Fundamentalists will fume over the valuation, but that ship has already sailed .....

  • Reply to

    buyout target ? Intel Apple Samsung

    by for_anand Aug 11, 2014 2:29 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Aug 11, 2014 2:34 PM Flag

    If we are to believe Motley Fool, it'd most likely be Apple .... and given what they say, you have to wonder if Apple has some kind of 'first option to buy' .... though it seems that would have to be disclosed ....

  • Reply to

    So far so good

    by marmike80 Aug 11, 2014 12:30 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Aug 11, 2014 2:24 PM Flag

    If one believes in the longer term potential for this stock, it'd be better to just buy it and hold ... focus on the next $20 of gain and not the next $2 of buy ......

  • Reply to

    200 Day Moving Average

    by thatllbetheday1 Jul 15, 2014 3:38 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Jul 17, 2014 6:02 PM Flag

    The 'slow rise' today was not so slow ...... he he he

  • thatllbetheday1 by thatllbetheday1 Jul 15, 2014 3:38 PM Flag

    PCYG is pretty much AT it's 200 Day Moving Average today. Over the past year it has pretty much stayed above that -- the exception being two days when that first really negative article was posted on Seeking Alpha. So if it does drop below, we'll likely see more downside before this correction is over. If it bounces off the 200 Day, then this correction is likely over.

  • thatllbetheday1 by thatllbetheday1 Jul 8, 2014 12:47 PM Flag

    During this correction, PCYG has found enough buyers at $10.50 during 4 of the last 6 trading sessions to hold it that level. It's down about 25% since it's intra-day high of $13.97 on June 18.

    If it holds at or above that level today, it may be heading higher again in coming days.

    If not, it'll likely be heading lower in coming days. If so, I'd be a buyer at those bargain levels.

  • Reply to

    461,000 dumped minutes before closing............

    by lf_2222 Jun 27, 2014 11:17 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Jul 1, 2014 2:21 PM Flag

    The 461K dump could also have been a calculated gamble by a short trader to start an avalanche of selling .... if so, that hasn't yet worked out so well .... not that the price won't go lower from here, but it's certainly not dumpin' down ....

  • Reply to

    Bean Capital $19.00 price target

    by johnsnow_wf Jun 20, 2014 1:21 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Jun 30, 2014 2:47 PM Flag

    duhawk, will you short PCYG now? Or are you already short? If so, you made a nice piece of change, but you may want to cover and take that profit now.

    By the way, have you actually LOOKED at the Insider transactions over the last 6 months? They bought 494,396 shares. And over the past 2 years, 12 insiders have been overwhelmingly buyers, acquiring on the order of 4.7 million shares. Selling is negligible: Randall Fields sold 25K share last January, but still holds 4.2 MILLION shares. Collectively the 12 own 5.7 million shares. I know you think they're cheating on insider transactions -- but what real evidence of that do you have besides your fertile imagination?

  • Reply to

    461,000 dumped minutes before closing............

    by lf_2222 Jun 27, 2014 11:17 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Jun 30, 2014 2:19 PM Flag

    I think the 461K dump was a trader who decided NOT to hold over the weekend -- not likely an insider. Look at a weekly trend chart if you can. The heavy selling was last week. Likely the stock moves back up from here.

  • Reply to

    Bean Capital

    by lf_2222 Jun 25, 2014 10:42 AM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Jun 27, 2014 12:21 PM Flag

    That would be a longer term influence -- not in the Russel index till next week. The small stock index funds would be the buyers that increase the demand and are not likely waiting to pounce on PCYG and may be unaware of it in fact. But when it comes time to re-balance their portfolios that's when they will start buying PCYG. It will happen, but just not on the news IMO. Probably makes this 20% drop even more of a buying opportunity.

  • Reply to

    Bean Capital

    by lf_2222 Jun 25, 2014 10:42 AM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Jun 25, 2014 1:13 PM Flag

    Price targets are longer term -- the stock ran up pretty fast from $9 level and likely we are seeing short-term profit taking, and perhaps also some short traders hoping to make a buck on the run-up.

    I'd be watching for a buying opportunity.

  • Reply to

    Bean Capital $19.00 price target

    by johnsnow_wf Jun 20, 2014 1:21 PM
    thatllbetheday1 thatllbetheday1 Jun 24, 2014 1:46 PM Flag

    The $19 price target is also supported by Point & Figure charts, which are based on relative supply & demand movements of the stock -- they project a price target of from $18 to as high as $23. Ignore at your peril if you are short-minded.

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