risky stock for trading. It's a speculative stock for either holding or trading.
You are implying that DVAX is a great trading stock because it is $20 some odd dollars per share.
You had to submit to a divide by 10 of your shares to get to that price. BUT basically it is still the same $2-$3 stock and company that it was in the early Autumn of 2012.
It still has no products.
It still has no revenues.
The company is taking loans or selling shares or "ATM-ing" their way from quarter to quarter to keep the impression of normal business.
Another positive trial outcome doesn't create sales revenue (except for sale of shares).
Any honest, forthright, professional, financial advocate would (truly) steer their client away from actively something like this, UNLESS that person were wealthy enough that this were "pure risk monies" to be burned.
Sheerly having a pps in the $20 range doesn't make this a great trading stock.
With the complications of oil, china and the propensity of many analysts calling for a global recession every 5 minutes, the conditions are tough enough for trading. But YOU KNOW what the outcome would be for significant bad news here. You have LIVED through it. It could happen again easily.
I understand that everyone's tolerance for risk is different, and that is fine. Each to his own.
But, not withstanding, having a higher risk appetite doesn't necessarily make this a "great trading stock" either.
Not by a long shot.
Caveat Emptor, my friend.
"l love DVAX but.......I have seen this show before."
Just THAT LINE ALONE, I have said to myself many times before also.
Listen to that voice, Sir. Listen to what that voice is telling you. You've been around for awhile, you know better. That voice is your moment of clarity.
Hope you made some money in the pop; you're smart not buying it back.
Right now, there is a "hugh gap" (not "hugh gains") between where it is now going down to $21.41. Should fill that gap. Take that as a gift if you like, but remember YOUR OWN WORDS, "I have seen this show before".
If the "future is so bright" for this thing, why is the market throwing it away with both hands. (You know the answer. It's that "small voice").
NO ONE has showed up to buy this thing in YEARS. NO one is going to; current up to Shire yesterday.
Why is that ALWAYS the case? Again, the answer is "the small voice".
In my own case, I wish I would have smartened up and walked away sooner. But, like so many, I was always salivating for that approval that was, "sure to come" (but still isn't here today).
Remember...... "that small voice",......... Good luck to you Dnb.
Isn;t it just "funny" how, if a company has several hundred million dollars (or billions) to spend, they DON'T spend it HERE?
You NEVER ask yourself that question??? You MUST KNOW what the reason is.
Who is fooling whom here?
"So sorry, Mr. Earle Grey; but it looks like this line went dead", says the receptionist.........
(Personally, I doubt that Shire was EVER on the line ;-) )
AFFX was another company which I mentioned here as an alternative.
When a good company has something worth buying-out, it goes, plain and straight.
Where's your buyout today? You didn't get one did'ya?
I hear ya' got some safety issues that started showing up today.
Well, that didn't take long.........
Well how did it go last time?
You KNOW how it went last time.
And if you don't know how it went, then you SHOULD.
There is probably just as much "monied interest" in seeing Helpless-slob fail as there is to your arguement's side. FDA has the last say. What does their history look like?
An dats da DVAX troof.....(Pbbbbbbbbbbllllllllllffffff ! ) (raspberrry)
Well that's great, the wine is fermenting.
Here jack; add this to the wine (below). It oughta make for and "interesting" vintage. ;-)
Don't worry about those "slight concerns", they'll most assuredly grow much bigger during the BLA review period. You know the history of the FDA on safety concerns regarding Helpless-slob.
Hope you enjoyed your day yesterday. :-)
RBC Capital Markets analyst Simos Simeonidis was also positive on approval prospects but expressed slight concern about safety.
"(The) autoimmune debate/overhang (was) not completely put to rest," Simeonidis wrote in his research note. "There was an imbalance of new-onset autoimmune events in the trial: 8 in Heplisav arm vs. 1 in Engerix arm. Management mentioned that in the overall safety dataset, this imbalance is not there."
That is ABSOLUTELY right.
But that is okay, let them lullaby themselves off to sleep with dreams of buyouts and $100 stock prices.......
Because that is where the MM's stopped it. And dats da troof. Pbbbbblblbllblblblblbllf! (Raspberry)
OF COURSE you and other kool-aide kiddies thought that it should be $50+++++++.
That is called, "irrational exuberance". Christmas can't be everyday, there Elmo.
Here is a better question for you.
Why didn't it ever make it back to the pre-2012 highs of $5+ (no-split adjusted)???
Simple, because "damaged goods" amongst the market place. People don't trust it. Get it?
And there you have it.
The trials and results were only a problem for DVAX (and helpless-slob) once. PIII from back in 2007-2008 stopped for the Wegners trial-hold. The problems are getting it to the finish line. Climbing the wall of the FDA and getting all of the safety issues tucked in.
Hey, you had a victory. Great. That's happened here before. Honestly, you should take it and run.
Because there will come defeats also. That is why this little company is still little at least 7-8 years later.
I'd suggest that you enjoy your big day, pocket your winnings and dream your buyout lottery dreams; because with every step forward there are 2 steps back just waiting in the wings.
And that is the voice of my own experiences where you are RIGHT NOW. And no matter what all of those long, long, long term holders say.........why they have had the EXACT same experiences in the past 7 odd years as well.
There is no shame in quitting after a win. And looking backwards towards, "You know I should have...." really sucks.
Think seriously about it. And good for you today. :-)
No. that will never happen again.
No more companies with NO PRODUCTS.
That is "cardinal sin #1", right there. :-)
No one noticed it?
Left shoulder formed: Beginning of March 2015 until the end of April.
Head formed: Between July and September 2015.
Right shoulder formed: November until the end of the year.
Now it's kick-in time.
Usually, the longer any pattern takes to form the more pronounced the effect.
Bad time for a head and shoulders; wouldn't you say? Right before you little victory party?
Funny how that is. ALMOST like they planned it that way. "Uh oh, have I been had" (you're asking yourself).
A little too late now.......
Don't try bank on me too much, there chuckie-cheesie-oh. It probably won't work for you.
I neither short nor buy this thing.
I simply show up and state the obvious, and maybe ask a few rhetorical questions.
Ya know, like a weathervane?
Unlike many of the others here, I think that I have been to this particular picture show before.
(spoiler): I've already seen how it ended back in 2012-2013.
Yay! Hooray! Keep that sort of thing up! :-)
-7% before the big JP Morgoons dog and pony show???!!! Whaaaaaa?
-7% before the big trial results report????!!! UH OH!!! Could that mean trouble????
Is this DVAX big investors backing their way out slowly before the real bomb goes off?????!!!
Looks like trouble to me.........
See any of that going on with your measly vaccine? Nope.
Gilead gets FDA priority review of Hepatitis C combo drug
Published: Jan 4, 2016 6:52 p.m. ET
Why not $100, 10 minutes from now???
Let's really get those pipe dreams moving........
You dummies should be celebrating!
Go look at your 1 year chart!
There are MANY charts out there that look MUCH worse.
You sheep were given a gift this year for pay-back of all the dismal performance since 2012.
You'd be smart to take your gains and run; because there will most likely be some give back ahead.
Let's see what 2016 brings, eh? Any false moves in Hapless-slob and it will be "boom and down went the stock". Just that quick. Look at the history of this thing. Borrowed time.
Take your good fortune and look for better out there. There is a veritable UNIVERSE of better socks to choose from.
If you hang around expecting the party to go on forever, you'll eventually wish you hadn't. Best of luck to you on making wiser decisions.