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Adecoagro S.A. Message Board

thugwatch666 2 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 13, 2014 11:13 AM Member since: Jul 2, 2009
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  • Reply to

    MEG is in a free fall back to 10.00

    by herriges2000 Aug 12, 2014 9:22 AM
    thugwatch666 thugwatch666 Aug 13, 2014 11:13 AM Flag

    Step back and survey the big picture.

    Broadcast TV is an obsolete technology, and as sure as the buffalo disappeared from the plains broadcast TV will disappear within a few decades.

    Network affiliates are worth no more than the value of their spectrum which eventually will be sold to wireless companies. The only support is considerable political muscle.

    Think about it- the American public is paying billions and billions in retransmission fees to TV stations that do not produce content save local news and community affairs shows.

    In the long run content providers will bypass local affiliates by selling direct to cable and satellite companies. This will directly lower monthly bills by $10 to $20 dollars.
    ***

    Polls consistently show that 'trust' in Big Bolshevik Media at all time lows- 23% or so. And those 23% are mostly from 60-90 years old.. It will interesting to track political ad spending on TV as buyers of ads consider possible negative effects of the 'traditional' political ad, as in a skeptical public thinking "i don;t believe a word of this s***.".

    Note that Eric Cantor spent $5 mil on TV ads in his 11% primary loss while Dave Brat spent $170,000 during the entire campaign.

    The younger generation overwhelmingly uses the web for 'real information' and as targeted web ads use searches and the website visited with increasing effectiveness, the long term prospects for network TV is less than rosy..

    ***

    Drug advertising--what percentage of total ad dollars are Big Pharma. You pay for that one with Big Pharma pricing and coverage mandated in to Obama care and all insurance plans. Take the new Hep C drug Sovaldi, from Gilead Sciences. $80,000-$100,000 for 12 weeks, but they sell it to India and Egypt for 1% of the US price. Sovaldi is advertised on Network TV. That Americans get gouged in Big Pharma pricing rates as one of the most profitable rackets in world history..

    Bottom line- where in network TV without Big Pharma and political ads

  • thugwatch666 thugwatch666 Jul 15, 2014 10:42 PM Flag

    Zack's is a joke and boilerr room #$%$. Corning(GLW) was $11-$12 for several months in 2012 as multiple Zack's articles rated it #5 Strong Sell-target $10.

    GLW had more cash than debt, was buying back shares and raising the dividend. The best guess is they to shill for shorts or players that need sellers at the bottom allowing Zack's buddies to build larger long positions.

    Sure! AT&T may go down. Sell the 5.1% yield and buy a 10 year note for 2 1/2 % of leave the cash in money market at 0.05%

    The Direct TV exchange rate is based on $38 and change. Below that price the number of T shares Direct TV shareholders get goes up in a linear relationship to the difference between the $38 and change and whatever T trades below the $38 and change at for the 30 days prior to deal completion.

    It is in the interest of AT&T and its big shareholders for the T price to be at or above the $38 and change price.

    Shorts just go burned for the 46cents dividend and in 11 weeks they get burned for another 46 cents and hopefully another buck of two in the share price.

AGRO
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