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Dynavax Technologies Corporation Message Board

timothysoup 24 posts  |  Last Activity: May 22, 2015 2:41 PM Member since: Feb 3, 2013
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  • Reply to

    This is ready to file Chapter 11

    by falkyou27 May 22, 2015 1:40 PM
    timothysoup timothysoup May 22, 2015 2:41 PM Flag

    I'm thinking you can't even count to 11 with out taking off a shoe!!! AREX will EASILY make it through the glut so sit down and shut up!!!

  • timothysoup timothysoup Apr 10, 2015 8:55 AM Flag

    Can't argue with you on the margin/day trader thing, just commented based on how my broker explained it to me. My point was that you have to have $25000 in your account to day trade. When I made to many trades they changed mine to a day trader account automatically. I did get pattern day trader alerts before they did it though.

  • timothysoup timothysoup Apr 10, 2015 8:31 AM Flag

    Even with a margin account you can't make more than 3 day trades in a 5 day period... or something like that. Can't remember exact days for sure but I do know you are limited to how many day trades you can make or you'll get 90 day restriction (SEC). To have unlimited day trading you have to have $25000 and day trader account which they just give you on request after you deposit the 25000 K. If it is the first time you have had a restriction (SEC VIOLATION) your Broker can take it off but only once.

  • Reply to

    Back into AREX @ 6.2441....

    by keltus1952 Mar 31, 2015 11:31 AM
    timothysoup timothysoup Apr 1, 2015 12:30 AM Flag

    So how do you explain a $20 book value??? Do you know how book value works???

  • timothysoup by timothysoup Mar 30, 2015 8:51 AM Flag

    Not sure how reliable it is but this came from The Street this afternoon...

    Another under-$10 energy player that's starting to trend within range of triggering a big breakout trade is Approach Resources (AREX - Get Report), which focuses on the exploration, development, production and acquisition of unconventional oil and gas reserves in the U.S. This stock has been slammed by the sellers over the last six months, with shares off sharply by 50.4%.

    If you look at the chart for Approach Resources, you'll see that this briefly bounced to the upside on Thursday right off its 50-day moving average of $7.10 a share. Shares of AREX tagged an intraday high of $8.07 a share before pulling back to close at $7.42 a share. Despite that pullback, shares of AREX are still trading inside of an uptrend that started when the stock hit $6.09 a share a few weeks ago. Shares of AREX are now trending within range of triggering a big breakout trade above a key downtrend line that dates back to last November.

    Market players should now look for long-biased trades in AREX if it manages to break out above that key downtrend line that starts at around $8 a share and then above more resistance at $8.34 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average volume of 1.53 million shares. If that breakout materializes soon, then AREX will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $9.15 to $10 a share.

    Traders can look to buy AREX off weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits right below its 50-day moving average of $7.10 a share or near more support at $6.50 a share. One can also buy AREX off strength once it starts to bust above those breakout levels with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.

  • Reply to

    Honest opinions needed... AREX

    by timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 4:32 PM
    timothysoup timothysoup Mar 29, 2015 11:07 AM Flag

    I trust the opinions of the posters more here... if you don't like it DON'T READ IT!!!

  • Reply to

    Honest opinions needed... AREX

    by timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 4:32 PM
    timothysoup timothysoup Mar 27, 2015 11:05 PM Flag

    Not sure how reliable it is but this came from The Street this afternoon...

    Another under-$10 energy player that's starting to trend within range of triggering a big breakout trade is Approach Resources (AREX - Get Report), which focuses on the exploration, development, production and acquisition of unconventional oil and gas reserves in the U.S. This stock has been slammed by the sellers over the last six months, with shares off sharply by 50.4%.

    If you look at the chart for Approach Resources, you'll see that this briefly bounced to the upside on Thursday right off its 50-day moving average of $7.10 a share. Shares of AREX tagged an intraday high of $8.07 a share before pulling back to close at $7.42 a share. Despite that pullback, shares of AREX are still trading inside of an uptrend that started when the stock hit $6.09 a share a few weeks ago. Shares of AREX are now trending within range of triggering a big breakout trade above a key downtrend line that dates back to last November.

    Market players should now look for long-biased trades in AREX if it manages to break out above that key downtrend line that starts at around $8 a share and then above more resistance at $8.34 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average volume of 1.53 million shares. If that breakout materializes soon, then AREX will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at $9.15 to $10 a share.

    Traders can look to buy AREX off weakness to anticipate that breakout and simply use a stop that sits right below its 50-day moving average of $7.10 a share or near more support at $6.50 a share. One can also buy AREX off strength once it starts to bust above those breakout levels with volume and then simply use a stop that sits a comfortable percentage from your entry point.

  • timothysoup by timothysoup Mar 26, 2015 8:25 AM Flag

    TA and current events both say oil has bottomed and will start trending upward. With 32% of the float short once AREX does take off it's going to move fast!!!

  • timothysoup timothysoup Mar 26, 2015 8:11 AM Flag

    Your about to lose your profit if you haven't already... SHUT UP AND COVER!!!

  • Reply to

    Honest opinions needed... AREX

    by timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 4:32 PM
    timothysoup timothysoup Mar 25, 2015 10:20 PM Flag

    So givin the jump today what do you think the knew low will be? Decided I'm going to get in just need to know a price to jump in at. Great call by the way, held 7.03 and jumped with in 4 cents of your call!!! It sucks that I was at work and missed it.

  • Reply to

    Honest opinions needed... AREX

    by timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 4:32 PM
    timothysoup timothysoup Mar 25, 2015 10:07 PM Flag

    Went back to work today and missed it... dang. Hopefully it pulls back at least a little so I can get in.

  • Reply to

    Honest opinions needed... AREX

    by timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 4:32 PM
    timothysoup timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 9:39 PM Flag

    With 32% of the float short on one hand I wonder what they see that I don't yet I would also love to get in before they start covering.

  • Reply to

    Honest opinions needed... AREX

    by timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 4:32 PM
    timothysoup timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 9:36 PM Flag

    Think I'll wait a few more days and see what oil does. I'm still wondering if oil is at new highs for the next couple of months or if it bottomed at 42 and is ready to slowly start climbing back up.
    Thanks for the input.

  • Reply to

    Honest opinions needed... AREX

    by timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 4:32 PM
    timothysoup timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 9:30 PM Flag

    Not that it would happen but wouldn't book value have a lot to do with a buy out price or credit rating if they do need more cash? I will look at the conference calls and check on their acreage. I do think oil will head back up as E&P's get consolidated or go under. I, as I'm sure many do, want to try to find a couple of little guys that have the best chance of surviving the next couple of years or have a good chance of getting bought out at a decent premium.
    I've tried the day trading thing and have figured out I SUCK at it so I'm changing strategies.
    Thanks for your reply and advice.

  • Reply to

    Honest opinions needed... AREX

    by timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 4:32 PM
    timothysoup timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 5:10 PM Flag

    I've been looking for a good buy in the oil and gas sector that will survive the lows. I kinda figure they will have a dip in revenue for Q1 and probably Q2 but thinking as long as there is no realistic chance of BK they could be a good buy at these prices. And considering their asset to debt ratio and book value a buyout would come long before BK. Just wondering if I'm on the right track or missing something. Thanks for the feed back!

  • Reply to

    Honest opinions needed... AREX

    by timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 4:32 PM
    timothysoup timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 4:38 PM Flag

    And 32% of the float is shorted... could this be setting up for a squeeze?

  • 1,4 BILLION in assets and 627 million in liabilities = $20 per share book value
    180 million in operating cash flow, 21% profit margin
    They are currently trading around $7
    Am I missing something here???
    Trying to regain some loss's but can't decide what to pull the trigger on.
    I know there are some pretty knowledgeable people here when it comes to oil and gas company's.

  • Reply to

    If WLL needs to raise capital....

    by realinvestmentstrategies Mar 23, 2015 8:05 PM
    timothysoup timothysoup Mar 24, 2015 4:20 PM Flag

    1.4 BILLION in assets and only 627 million in liability = $20 per share book value!!!
    IF they do need funding they could add 500 million to there debt and still have a book value of $11 per share and that's if they don't increase their assets with any of the 500 million which would raise their book value above $11 per share.

  • timothysoup timothysoup Mar 18, 2015 4:27 PM Flag

    Don't know why it happened but oil inventory was up more than twice as much as estimates yet instead of oil dropping it shot up over 2.50 a barrel in about 45 minutes. I'm guessing a lot of shorts got screwed a little thinking oil would drop below 40 a barrel with the inventory going that much higher. Computers got confused??? Took oil stocks with up oil??? Shorts covering to help the jump up???

  • timothysoup timothysoup Mar 18, 2015 3:33 PM Flag

    He, he, he... sooo... how does your foot taste???

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