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Metabolix, Inc. Message Board

to200andbeyond 3 posts  |  Last Activity: Mar 23, 2016 4:17 PM Member since: Dec 13, 2002
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  • Reply to

    Rumors and some facts

    by masterwallstreet Mar 23, 2016 1:18 PM
    to200andbeyond to200andbeyond Mar 23, 2016 4:17 PM Flag

    It's trading at 12 month highs on events that may not pay off for 12 months. I don't short stocks but I also try not to overpay when I buy stocks. This one feels like it's out of control on anticipation of VR that's not going to roll out nearly quick enough to justify the current level of enthusiasm. Anticipation rarely lasts long enough to overcome reality. The reality is that the playstation does not ship until the end of the year and everything else won't be mainstream (due to price). Then again, it's a pretty in expensive bet if you think it will be. The loudest folks here are probably gamblers instead of investors. In the case of a gamble the house almost always wins...

  • Reply to

    Rumors and some facts

    by masterwallstreet Mar 23, 2016 1:18 PM
    to200andbeyond to200andbeyond Mar 23, 2016 1:34 PM Flag

    The current price has nothing to do with value. The price of the stock less than 30 days ago was a value. The price now is 50% higher and that takes into account both the potential and the risks. The potential is from possible upside sales and licensing. The risks come from monthly loss and a huge pile of debt. The potential comes from the upcoming VR market. The risks come from the high price of entry and the potential for slow adoption rates due to the high cost. The potential comes from possible demand from great buzz. I believe the risks are very right now and the price holds plenty of potential for those willing to wait for it, but it wouldn't surprise me to see this drop significantly before it runs significantly. As you pointed out, the Sony playstation is coming but you neglected to mention that it won't be here until q4 and that's assuming we don't see more delays. This company needs to start making significant income asap and it's unclear that early VR adoption rates will be fast enough. Personally I hope they are, but it's too early to tell. Regardless, good luck with your investment.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    schizoids, take your money and run while you can

    by cashback_7 Feb 25, 2016 9:48 PM
    to200andbeyond to200andbeyond Mar 8, 2016 3:15 PM Flag

    Ha Ha !!!

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