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Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Message Board

tomiczekpete 37 posts  |  Last Activity: Mar 23, 2015 2:26 PM Member since: Sep 9, 2011
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  • Reply to

    I bought 100000 more@3.82

    by greenbagmoose Mar 23, 2015 2:05 PM
    tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Mar 23, 2015 2:26 PM Flag

    I bought one case of beer @ 22.25. I hope my investment is gone before yours is!

  • tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Mar 10, 2015 3:51 PM Flag

    I believe you will end up the idiot!

  • tomiczekpete by tomiczekpete Mar 10, 2015 3:49 PM Flag

    New high coming tomorrow! Just have to get past $4.41 . This little bump up has been way to steady and orderly to be over. Nobody is feeling any pain or elation yet!

  • tomiczekpete by tomiczekpete Mar 10, 2015 1:17 PM Flag

    What is the float on this thing? Got to love the massive volume!

  • Reply to

    MOVING UP ON NO NEWS!

    by tomiczekpete Mar 9, 2015 2:50 PM
    tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Mar 9, 2015 3:00 PM Flag

    Amazing how a buyout of a company with a promising cancer drug can affect the perception of GERN and its cancer drug IMET! Here's to hoping for a blockbuster with many indications!

  • tomiczekpete by tomiczekpete Mar 9, 2015 2:50 PM Flag

    Got a love it! Not sure what it means other than the shorts are nervous and folks are accumulating! You gotta have balls of steel to be short this thing now. Only those on the inside know what really is going on, but we may not have to wait as long as I thought, to start to see some of the value of this company unlocked in the share price!

  • tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Mar 9, 2015 10:20 AM Flag

    you are right! My bad on that! Still wacko koko, I need u to answer me. What event does it take to get these shorts to cover?

  • tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Mar 8, 2015 1:59 PM Flag

    You did not answer my question. WHAT IS IT GOING TO TAKE FOR THE SHORTS TO COVER? Do we have to hear a buyout announced? Do we need the phase two data announced? You see, the more we get no news, the longer this BS goes on! Also, as already pointed out, we got the partnership with Jansen and the stock made a small move and then retrenched! So even good solid news has not moved this thing!

  • tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Mar 8, 2015 12:59 PM Flag

    Hey KoKo, what exactly is it going to take for these shorts to cover? How many positive developments do we need before they get scared and cover? I like your thesis, but why hasn't the stock recovered? This is potentially a big deal, a promising drug that has caused remissions in cancer! Big Pharma needs drugs like IMET to improve their struggling pipelines. With PCYC getting bought recently, looks like some of the shorts got nervous. But, when you short a 3 dollar stock, you are betting on failure, because all you can get on the downside is the 3 bills while if you don't cover, you can lose everything if it breaks to the upside. Seems to me that , the risk of being short now is over the top, yet here we go down again, Looks like another short position taken up at $3.78 . I am a reasonable man and I sure as hell would not be short right now. Maybe, just maybe, you should consider what black is saying. Something just does not add up here. I am long with just a few thousand wrapped up in this thing, but I would not want to be all in on this either, because something is rotten. This stock should trade right now at 7-8 dollars simply based on what is known!

  • tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Mar 8, 2015 12:35 PM Flag

    This might actually happen! However, you have no idea when. You might be waiting a few years!

  • Reply to

    JNJ would recover a billion in a $20 BO

    by woofs_a_lot Mar 6, 2015 11:20 AM
    tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Mar 6, 2015 12:36 PM Flag

    There business model is in fact to partner so as to minimize risk. I think they would like to have more data on IMET before they would make their next move. That said, what got the ball rolling yesterday was the fact that the big dog Abbvie came in and bought out Pharmacyclics taking it from Jansen before they had a chance to secure a deal.

    Maybe they didn't want Pharmacyclics, but what is relevant is even if they did, they did not act quickly enough. It is this fact, that has given Geron a boost. This drug(IMET) could be a huge winner, when and if they are convinced of that, do you think they will allow some other big dog to come in and swallow up the little fish that they put a lot of time and money in, so that when it is time to reap the reward, Jansen will be left with nothing!

    The happenings of yesterday, make it far less unlikely that they sit on their hands and do nothing! Big Pharma needs help with their pipelines ASAP. They are going to start gambling on promising drugs! You can bet that as soon as Jansen gets enough confirmation that IMET is going to be a big deal with multiple indications, they will be moving quickly to buy Geron and its telomerase technology at a nice premium!

    What is best about this whole thing is that it could happen as soon as tomorrow!

  • tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Mar 5, 2015 4:07 PM Flag

    Got that right! Greed always comes to the forefront! Those in control got tired of making money in small increments. So they finally let it go! Problem is, they could run it to 5 or more tomorrow only to sell it back to $3 next week! Ugly manipulation, you have to stay on the right side of the trade or all the big boys will take your money and leave you holding the proverbial empty bag!

  • tomiczekpete by tomiczekpete Mar 5, 2015 3:48 PM Flag

    here is the thing! Barron's has said that they see IMET as a billion dollar drug with multiple indications down the road! (not until the 2020's). What would GERN stand to profit given the deal in place? More importantly however, is, If data continues to come in strong, what would big companies be willing to pay to add a billion dollar drug to their pipeline? How much would Jansen(J&J) pay to protect this drug? If they are sure it is a big winner why would they not buy out GERN right now so they don't lose this drug to the likes of abbvie of some other large player who just stole pharmacyclics from them!

  • Reply to

    Believe me it will be a BO

    by iam_yrdsty_blime Mar 5, 2015 3:23 PM
    tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Mar 5, 2015 3:35 PM Flag

    not sure how far this can run in the next day or two but I sure hope it is up over $4!

  • Reply to

    I own a lot of biotech

    by buy_n_hold_2001 Feb 24, 2015 9:03 AM
    tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Feb 24, 2015 9:45 AM Flag

    Good points, Smiggy!

  • tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Feb 24, 2015 9:43 AM Flag

    stop babbling! everyone already knows this. Once again, just another non-event. Do you really think that one analyst changing his forecast based on the 35 mil received is going to move this? Do not be a simpleton, hold for the real news. Not sure when it comes, but it will come! Might not be till next year even, but it will come! Maybe, it will be great news, and all your babbling will become true!

  • Reply to

    Plain & Simple

    by mruyog Feb 23, 2015 4:00 PM
    tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Feb 24, 2015 9:39 AM Flag

    you have it exactly right! be patient my friend!

  • Reply to

    its all a game

    by cpatrader2001 Feb 23, 2015 9:25 AM
    tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Feb 23, 2015 12:58 PM Flag

    A game indeed! The longer we go without news, they are preying on people's lack of patience! They hope that each day that goes by, and the price remains low, more and more longs will panic out as they inch it lower. I admit that it is tough to sit through this period, and I have a hard time believing we get any new information soon. You just have to ask yourself, is this going to be a good story in the end? If the answer is yes, just hold and ignore all the noise!

  • Reply to

    Veil of Silence

    by blackmarango Feb 18, 2015 4:53 PM
    tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Feb 19, 2015 12:22 PM Flag

    If I may use a little poker analogy, I will try to give some clarity. Jansen, first off, is holding the cards. They are looking into their hand and have a winner. However, they could have say, 5of hearts, 6of hearts, 7 of hearts, and 8 of hearts, they are using this time right now, to see if they have a red 9, and if so, is it the 9 of hearts? The odds of a red nine are good(IMET will be a winner). The odds of the 9 of hearts i am not sure of, but, we know there is a chance(IMET is a blockbuster that has many indications for cancer).Bottom line, nobody gets to know until they see their card, and even after they see it, they may take a while to finally play the hand. We are hostage to what Jansen decides, but our odds of liking their decision and profiting from it are good. If, however, they get the 9 of hearts, some years down the road, we will all be very, very happy. Just, sit tight and hold your shares! If you are expecting some immanent news, good luck.

  • Reply to

    Geron Corporation Price Target Update

    by fauxkew Feb 18, 2015 2:59 PM
    tomiczekpete tomiczekpete Feb 18, 2015 3:53 PM Flag

    Wonder when the last time either of these analysts or any other for that matter, have spoken to chippy or anyone from J&J to get anything to base these targets on. It is so hush-hush out there, that the longer the silence stays in place, the more likely this old dog will come blasting off this low $3 level to maybe 2 or 3 times that! One of these days the silence will come to an end and I am hoping on that day that the longs will be very happy and the shorts will be bailing hard. Analysts price targets are more meaningless now than ever with Geron.

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