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SIGA Technologies, Inc. Message Board

toobig2failagain 9 posts  |  Last Activity: Apr 1, 2014 2:21 PM Member since: Jan 29, 2013
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  • toobig2failagain by toobig2failagain Mar 10, 2014 8:17 PM Flag

    Obviously, SIGA chose to defer recognition of the revenue until next fiscal quarter, which is the 1st quarter of the new fiscal year.

    SIGA now has reported $140.225 million ($30.5 million of which is invoiced to BARDA but as yet not received) in deferred revenue (and currently counted as cash in bank and offset by a deferred revenue account). While this new quarter, most likely delivered in May 2014, will result in another 250,000 courses of Arestvyr delivered to the U.S. Strategic National Stockpile. This additional revenue of $29.8 million revenue at $119.24 per avg unit revenue (cost per unit includes the free doses averaged) will be accounted for in Q3.

    Even if the margin costs per unit are amortized to be 35 percent of the cost per unit, that would mean that as of today, that mean SIGA has thus far earned $91 million in net income yet to be reported in future quarters.

    Assuming SIGA remains at 53 million shares outstanding, that means earnings of $1.72 per share will be reported next quarter, and about $19.37 million per quarter (or $0.365 / share per quarter) thereafter, assuming no new contracts are signed.

    Carrying this calculation forward for the following two quarters, that means in the coming fiscal year (of which we are already 1/5 through), SIGA will make $1.72 Q1 + $0.365 Q2 + $0.365 Q3 + $0.365 Q4 = $2.82 / share FY 2015 Ending 3/2015.

    PIP's most likely outcome will be to get 50 percent of all revenue streams in the future, but possibly not current or past earnings steams. Even if PIP were to get 50 percent of the deferred revenue and earnings, SIGA would retain rights to license Arestvyr (while PIP may also retain equal rights to license), SIGA will make at a minimum $1.41 / share in FY2015. The best case scenario will be for SIGA to get to keep most of its pre-earned revenue, and therefore will make $2.82 / share in FY 2015.

    So, right now, SIGA sits at a future PE of 2.41 in the worst case scenario, and a PE of 1.2 in the best case.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • All solars are substantially oversold. JKS with about $5 in forward earnings will rebound nicely tomorrow -- $3 - $7 up tomorrow.

    Hedge funds accumulating and manipulating for the next run up. May close green today, and head up substantially tomorrow.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • toobig2failagain by toobig2failagain Apr 1, 2014 2:21 PM Flag

    SOL is trading at 1/5 its annual sales in terms of market capitalization. Turning profitable. Manipulation last week was to set the company up for a buyout.

    Should be bought out in the $5 - $8 range very soon by the likes of Trina Solar, JKS, or CSIQ. Each of these companies can double to triple their revenue and introduce efficiencies that would catapult their stocks up with the increased sales and profits.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Crooks!

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • toobig2failagain by toobig2failagain Mar 13, 2014 3:06 PM Flag

    Chines solar company JinkoSolar (JKS) delivered stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter results.

    JinkoSolar’s revenue came in at $361 million, higher than the street consensus of $347 million. Gross margin was 24.7%, over 4 percentage points higher than the consensus 20.4%. As a result, non-GAAP EPS ended up $1.28 versus $0.71 expected by the street.

    JinkoSolar had a bright outlook for 2014, according to Roth Capital Partners analysts Philip Shen, Matt Koranda, and Matthew Riley:

    Management expects Q1’14 module shipments of 440-470MW (vs. prior ROTHe of 425MW) and full year shipments of 2.3-2.5GW (vs. prior ROTHe of 2.1GW). Additionally, management sees 400MW of project development activity in 2014, with 300MW expected to be completed by YE’14 and another 100MW expected to reach the construction phase.

    The 2014 outlook means JinkoSolar will have to ramp up capacity to meet its own guidance. Well, the company plans to add capacity by buying from bankrupt competitors. Phew, that is better than adding new capacity.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • Earning substantially more than First Solar and best of the top tier solar companies.

    Crooks in the banking industry with hedge funds artifically holder her down to steal shares from retail investors. SEC is investigating the hedge funds buying illegal info from MarkIT on Demand.

    Crooks need to be punished and they will be soon.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • toobig2failagain toobig2failagain Mar 4, 2014 1:00 AM Flag

    Theft from retail investors using technology similar to that used by the NSA. Illegal if everyone knew how they do it. Jail time should be imminent for these folks.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • toobig2failagain by toobig2failagain Mar 27, 2014 9:48 AM Flag

    SOL is about to get an offer from another solar company because it is returning to profitability.

    Buying company accumulating shares before the official offer. Rumor has it.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • toobig2failagain by toobig2failagain Mar 27, 2014 3:22 PM Flag

    Collusion with MarkIT On Demand out of Boulder, CO. Margin Fraud Scheme.

    The thieves just keep stealing....

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

SIGA
2.80+0.01(+0.36%)Apr 16 4:00 PMEDT

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