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SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Message Board

tracycai 19 posts  |  Last Activity: Dec 19, 2014 11:09 AM Member since: Jun 2, 1999
  • Reply to

    Chen Deserves A...

    by sonickdeathmonkey Dec 19, 2014 10:44 AM
    tracycai tracycai Dec 19, 2014 11:09 AM Flag

    My understanding is that the stock is trading with growth perspective and momentum. Cash flow is not that important in trader's eye. Why would Amazon, a company never made any money, trading at such ridiculous multiple and it is still holding it's $300? Why would APPLE, a company has huge cash were traded at very low price one year ago when Wall Street decided the growth story ended, APPLE only strikes back after iphone6. For Blackberry' story, Chen needs to sell Wall Street the growth will be back, not the cash in his bank. If we are investing in Cash, we can buy HYG, PFF, TLT, to name a few. Even VZ, T. They have more cash in bank and pay good dividend.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • It is no fun to be bullied by one of the richest company in the world. Google re-direct it's frustration over Facebook to Amazon. I guess Larry decided Jeff Bezos is to be trifled with while failed his fight with Mark Zuckerberg. Too bad I am long GOOG, but at least I short AMAZON. Peace!

    Sentiment: Sell

  • If you are fund manager, like The Growth Fund of American ( AGTHX ), what would you do to your fund allocation before year end report? Institutions usually do a large fund swap before year end. Would you sell some AMZN and buy some stocks that has stellar return this year ( i.e. AAPL, YHOO, INTC, MSFT ) so that AMZN will disappear from your top 10 holdings on the annual report you have to sent out to your major clients next Jan? This is the main reason why GOOG kept dropping as well. They don't want GOOG or AMZN on the list. This is why at the end of each year, the outperforms goes up more. They just have to add these, no choice. On the other hand, it does not play in AMZN's favor that it has very little retain investors in it. With retail investors, they are more emotional about particular company or CEO, you will find retail investors steadfastly refuse to sell one share of AMZN just because they love the company and/or the CEO. However, with the institution investors, it is all about getting more clients, all that matters is just one thing, the return rate.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • While competitors KR and SWY were in red for the day. It tells me that the big boys wanted it to stay afloat above $45 key level. It will fluctuate but the trend is upward ( for now ).

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Keep Whole Foods in the matress!

    by georgesickler Nov 6, 2014 10:06 AM
    tracycai tracycai Nov 10, 2014 8:01 PM Flag

    Whole Foods Market® and Instacart Partner to Offer One-Hour Delivery across 15 Major U.S. Cities. This is in time for the upcoming holiday season. This will add to both top and bottom lines for the forth quarter.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    35 Million Shares Short

    by optiondog Nov 7, 2014 2:53 PM
    tracycai tracycai Nov 10, 2014 10:44 AM Flag

    Cold winter helps super market, hurt restaurants.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Trend change

    by tracycai Nov 7, 2014 11:49 AM
    tracycai tracycai Nov 7, 2014 2:32 PM Flag

    I don't know if you were referring to me, if not, my apologies. I shop at WFM at least once a week, the one I visit ( Dedham, MA ) has huge wine selections, they brew their own coffee, amazing salad bar, it is one of my favorite place. I only buy stocks if I love the underlying company, if you don't have faith in the underlying company, you will bail as soon as you hear some bad news and this is what Wall Street big boys want, isn’t it, to play our head. I bought aapl stock in 2003 and I have never sold a share, only add to it. I love AAPL and it’s stock, I only sell them when I stopped liking them, which could happen, but for now, I am sticking to both AAPL and WFM. I used to be a big fan of COH, I like their bags and everything about them, last year, I stopped liking them, the bags gets uglier and quality goes downhill, it is when I sold all my COH stock.

  • Reply to

    Trend change

    by tracycai Nov 7, 2014 11:49 AM
    tracycai tracycai Nov 7, 2014 2:05 PM Flag

    The same as SBUX uses K-cup and Keurig machine for catalyst. I agree with you that people shop at Whole Foods for experience, however, it doesn't change the fact that offer online shopping will enhance the experience by giving people more convenience. Next year, they will start to offer reward program, similar to SBUX's, I believe they are doing what has worked for SBUX.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Trend change

    by tracycai Nov 7, 2014 11:49 AM
    tracycai tracycai Nov 7, 2014 12:57 PM Flag

    I believe in old days, WFM is grossly overpriced. But in the last few years, especially since last year, they have marked down their prices significantly due to fierce competition. With that said, it is not necessarily a good thing to stock price, it hurt their bottom line.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Trend change

    by tracycai Nov 7, 2014 11:49 AM
    tracycai tracycai Nov 7, 2014 12:53 PM Flag

    I would never buy WFM if I have never been there. My trading rule is never buy a stock that you don't know about.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Trend change

    by tracycai Nov 7, 2014 11:49 AM
    tracycai tracycai Nov 7, 2014 12:49 PM Flag

    I don't know where you shop but in Boston area, the only decent place that is much cheaper than WFM is Trader Joe's, as much as I love TJ, I can not do one stop shop there. The major competitors like Wagman's, Stop and Shop, their organic products are not much cheaper than WFM, for example, organic apple, when WFM on sale, you can get $2.50 per lb, wild caught salmon, scallops, etc. If you read through their ER, the main reason their margin is only 6% ( same as safeways ) is because they are aggressively doing promotions, especially fruit and veggies. Yes, you can always find ridiculously priced items like olive oil, cheese, etc, but all in all, I don't see being ripped off by WFM as vs their competitors like Wagman's. I have heard more people complain about Wagman's than WFM.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • tracycai tracycai Nov 6, 2014 2:22 PM Flag

    Alibaba Launches ShopRunner U.S. Retail Partnership. http://news.investors.com/110614-725273-shoprunner-joins-with-baba-alipay-epass.htm?ven=yahoocp&src=aurlled&ven=yahoo. Jeff might be the darling of Wall Street, but Jack Ma is the darling of all darlings this year.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • I am actually surprised. Usually he shorts mid cap or small cap like UA, LULU. People like him don't go on TV and announce they short one particular large cap well known company.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Reply to

    What happens when it stops growing 20%

    by kenhenriksen Oct 25, 2014 3:50 PM
    tracycai tracycai Oct 27, 2014 11:07 AM Flag

    Thanks for the analysis. You are spot on.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Reply to

    What happens when it stops growing 20%

    by kenhenriksen Oct 25, 2014 3:50 PM
    tracycai tracycai Oct 26, 2014 11:41 PM Flag

    They are asking the retail investors buy on the dip. I guess what they meant is please buy my shares so I can get out before it crashes more. I don't know what is under Jeff's magic sleeve right now. People kept questioning Apple, what is their next big thing, can they keep coming up new products, at least we know each iphone sold, apple makes money. I am 100% positive that soon they will come up some theory that AMZN will have good catalyst, or some fancy idea and push the share up 10% or something, they did that again and again, but eventually the price will drop.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Reply to

    I see $305 next week.

    by geegenjar Oct 24, 2014 3:07 PM
    tracycai tracycai Oct 24, 2014 4:57 PM Flag

    Yes, and for the shorts that makes good profit, they don't want to pay tax this year so they will cover next year, since this pos will not fly and they are safe from their profits.

    Sentiment: Sell

  • Reply to

    I see $305 next week.

    by geegenjar Oct 24, 2014 3:07 PM
    tracycai tracycai Oct 24, 2014 4:26 PM Flag

    It might bounce up and down within the range but the trend is going down until next Jan. I see no catalyst except maybe some funds trying to hold the resistant line so that the lost is contained. The only hope is the holiday sales is robust but then you will need to wait until next Jan. Yes, NFLX bounced back, but they dropped nearly 30% and there are talk about a takeover which will not happen to AMZN.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    I see $305 next week.

    by geegenjar Oct 24, 2014 3:07 PM
    tracycai tracycai Oct 24, 2014 4:22 PM Flag

    If you are doing a quick trade, maybe trade for a bounce, but I wouldn't hold on to it until year end, you know the big funds have to sell the loser stocks to make it look nice on their year end balance sheet that they sent out to their clients, they certainly don't want AMZN on the list as their clients might fire them over it.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • The ones who are defending AMZN now will have to sell before year end, they surely don't want their clients see AMZN on their holdings, because their clients will get upset that for all the good stocks that they can own ( AAPL, BABA, FB, YHOO, etc ), they are wasting their capital on AMZN, so in order to keep their clients for coming years, it is high competition for high net assets clients, they will have to sell AMZN and buy something else so the list of top holdings look decent.

    Sentiment: Sell

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