With a name like that, you expect to be taken seriously? Yawn
Because 70% of the time they'll be right (according to their odds). Nevermind the fact the other 30% will leave you kicking yourself for the rest of your life...
Well, there you have it. Solid proof provided by someone named vopenwide on an anonymous message board. I think I might just sell now....
I have both - huge call position and huge put position. If it goes past the 17th, I am SOL.
Years ago, EMCOR was doing rollups in my business arena. I said no thanks. Just because there is activity dooesn't mean they are for sale.
Ok. So while you are boldly proclaiming no stop for succes, I am boldly calculating what the stock is worth. Under YOUR own pricing scenario, it's worth 20%*$175+80%*$30.
$59 per share
Weren't you the guy proclaiming only a 20% chance of success? Tell me, oh guru - what is the stock price the day after success or no success. $250 or $25 sound about right?
You pays your money and you takes your chances. The market somewhat agrees with you but the market is mispricing the odds of success and the payoff if the odds hit. So 6 times out of ten you will be back to smugly proclaim 'I was right'.....but the other 4 times you are a broke dog slinking off with your tail between your legs hoping nobody throws a shoe at you on the way out...
Why would Nlnk sell out for anything less than all the money. Would take a $500+ per share offer to get to the table if you ask me