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Diamond Foods, Inc. (DMND) Message Board

tsunamidec2004 93 posts  |  Last Activity: Jul 8, 2014 9:30 PM Member since: Dec 31, 2004
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  • Reply to

    wow

    by tsunamidec2004 Jul 8, 2014 7:40 PM
    tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jul 8, 2014 9:30 PM Flag

    Ha ha. I covered my shorts and bought Jan 16 $20 calls.Germany was anyway going to beat Brazil. Its just the margin on defeat and how it was delivered that was shocking. Dilma's rating takes hit, some street troubles start soon. Eventually, if Dilma loses - this stock gaps up.Wall street vultures are circling on Dilma's presidency. Now, it gets very interesting. The company management is still #$%$. But its a good trading stock now.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • tsunamidec2004 by tsunamidec2004 Jul 8, 2014 7:40 PM Flag

    I feel really sad for Brazil. Germany demolished them at home. I hope, the nation takes some clues from this defeat.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    for the record Tsun

    by matrixtrade123 Jul 3, 2014 4:40 PM
    tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jul 7, 2014 4:15 PM Flag

    I know opinions can be different but there will be only one set of truth.
    1. YTD - SPY 7%, PBR - 5%
    2. 1Y - SPY 21% PBR - 18%
    3. 5Y SPY - 110% PBR - -64%
    Now, you say - PBR was ahead of SPY on Jun 18th so nothing else matters or on Dec 31st PBR is going to be ahead of SPY so nothing counts. That BS.
    Hey Chicago Cubs are going to have a great season bcos there is law of averages. They are poised to do better too!!!

    FYI : weeklies don't have much money. The spread kills you. Short on July monthly calls at 16 & 17. They are doing pretty good. No short position for Aug.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    for the record Tsun

    by matrixtrade123 Jul 3, 2014 4:40 PM
    tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jul 7, 2014 10:24 AM Flag

    Benj - Don't know where you are pulling the numbers. S&P is ahead of PBR for the year, for the q, for the 1,2,3,4,5, years. Also, look at the emerging market and Brazil is way behind India. The only market it may be ahead is russia. So, don't make up stuff.
    Matrix - ha ha ha. The stock is still down and will remain down. Worry about the currency my boy. Hey, a hint for you - Options expiration is next week.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    for the record Tsun

    by matrixtrade123 Jul 3, 2014 4:40 PM
    tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jul 3, 2014 11:39 PM Flag

    So, you are going to take YTD numbers and show me how Brazil is the place to be in? How dumb What do you think I am? Did you know what S&P 500 did last year? Just putting your money in Dodge and Cox gave over 35% in 2013 and where was EWZ and PBR then?
    I am not that naive. I don't need stupid computer to tell me which way the wind is blowing. Even in so called spectacular year (after a horrendous 2013 or 5 year downturn, its not the best performing BRIC market.

    And I can tell you I am not the worse options trader. Even in PBR, i can spot the option activity better than you. OK, here is the challenge, I will make more money in PBR than you. I am far better hedged than what you could dream about.

    Can you tell me why the stock was down today? and why on monday over 5K 7/3 options were traded at 1% of of stock value?
    Ha Ha Ha.. I am not mucho.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Good News for Petrobras

    by tsunamidec2004 Jul 3, 2014 8:45 AM
    tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jul 3, 2014 1:03 PM Flag

    Oh Ya. There are weeklies. But who cares about it? Its the monthly where the volume is. Go check the open interest. Weekly is for suckers. It has spread of 30-40%. Is that too much counting for genius?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • tsunamidec2004 by tsunamidec2004 Jul 3, 2014 8:45 AM Flag

    1. Its only down 25 cents today morning.
    2. Its only going to touch $14 today.
    3. By options expiration, it should be solid $12.

    Now tell me how much funny money are they going to do in this new deal?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jul 2, 2014 2:45 PM Flag

    Don't give us too much credit. Despite our not so rosy comments on this board, we don't move the stock. The problem with this company are not that it will not have more production than last year. The problem is - Government that's killing this company or pampering the public. And using PBR to meet their goals.
    Many investors had bought shares in this company at much higher price in 2010. They were burnt pretty bad. Wall street had pumped this POS pretty high. Once they dumped the shares, all bad news started pouring.
    This company will always trade at deep discount. It was bloated at $10 and its serverly bloated now.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    we will be $30 soon

    by bensadri Jul 1, 2014 3:00 PM
    tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jul 2, 2014 2:36 PM Flag

    Let it first hold $14. The way its going, option expiration will kill it next week. If it has any chances of going to 20, i will know it before you.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    we will be $30 soon

    by bensadri Jul 1, 2014 3:00 PM
    tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jul 1, 2014 7:35 PM Flag

    No Cycle. Wall street had been waiting at Japan for last 25 years. They have more money locked in Japan.
    What a stpid logic. Cycle my sss.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    we will be $30 soon

    by bensadri Jul 1, 2014 3:00 PM
    tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jul 1, 2014 7:33 PM Flag

    DUUUUMB YES. ha ha ha. You are so funny. How many reverse split are we talking here?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • tsunamidec2004 by tsunamidec2004 Jul 1, 2014 11:11 AM Flag

    Hey Maxi, Benny boy
    If the deal is so good why is the stock going down? oh yes. Its a rigged market. The analysts are biased. They want to buy low. Ha Ha Ha.
    Did you see what's happening in Brazil? They are getting deeper in deficit. Having more inflation, With No growth. They pulled their last money from piggybank called PBR. There is no money left in the piggybank.
    Even the few faithful funds are pulling out. They don't like what they see
    And that's why the stock is down 8%. Will it be down 28% soon? You bet.

    Keep pumping.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • tsunamidec2004 by tsunamidec2004 Jul 1, 2014 10:23 AM Flag

    The stock dropped from 1/2% up to 1/2% down, Looks like analysts have no reason to trust PBR management. They are just puppets in hands of a socialist govt.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jun 30, 2014 6:55 AM Flag

    What do we know Jillian? The world cup is ending before this expiration. May be someone is seeing something there. Also, the earning season will kick off then. The production numbers, economic activity details etc. too many unknowns.
    I looked at that trade, it happened on Thu (not friday as Yahoo still shows) and it was a sell @ 2 or 3 cents. So, it cost 60K-90K. That's chump change for a fund/big brokerage house. They can make it just by shorting the stock in one day.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jun 29, 2014 9:23 PM Flag

    That trade was just a hedge against short positions. It crossed in one big txn at Bid. In past, such a huge option transactions indicated downward pressure on stock. Remember last year, Dr J was bullish on PBR based on option volume? and then it all went downhill.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    Morgan Stanley

    by jillian.scott Jun 25, 2014 10:50 AM
    tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jun 26, 2014 1:04 AM Flag

    First, you guessed it right, i had shorted calls for July and they have been good. But, I am not a big player. Just few 100 calls.Again, don't think it was not hedged with long calls.
    Don't even dream about Chevron touching this company with 15 feet pole. This stock should be lucky to see $15. There are so many things that can go wrong. We are in knockout phase of copa. If Brazil loses and riots start, it could get ugly. Inflation, political #$%$, rig fires, downtimes etc etc.
    The only good news could be production being up. What are the odds? and don't even think about price hike, it ain't happening.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • The stock has been in penalty box for last few years. But, it was never about PBR and its potential. It was always about Brazil. Yesterday's events proved that skeptics were right.
    If the deal was so good, why did they not bring it to board or even shareholders. Why this mad rush to get it done during world cup, before election etc etc.
    When you look at Argentina and its finances, Market is absolutely right in punishing PBR and it still has shown a lot of sympathy. I am surprised this stock is not $10 by now.
    When it comes to delivering results for shareholders this company has always come up short. The tide seemed to be turning for last 3 months. But yesterday, it again changed.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    End of quarter manipulation, nothing else

    by opusbc1 Jun 25, 2014 3:50 PM
    tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jun 25, 2014 6:32 PM Flag

    still 4 days for Qend. Its not Qend manipulation. Do you even know when Q ends?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    PBR going down?

    by john.arnovich Jun 22, 2014 10:31 PM
    tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jun 25, 2014 8:20 AM Flag

    Hey smartypants, you need to remove that zero from price target. its heading to $3. Now, go and smack your chickens.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

  • Reply to

    PBR has 4x as much oil

    by matrixtrade123 Jun 25, 2014 8:12 AM
    tsunamidec2004 tsunamidec2004 Jun 25, 2014 8:16 AM Flag

    Can PBR monetize it? NO. so what's your point? BP & EXXON don't want to deal with either PBR or Brazil.

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

DMND
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