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Herman Miller Inc. Message Board

vinny_950 24 posts  |  Last Activity: Oct 28, 2013 4:28 PM Member since: Feb 24, 2010
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  • Reply to

    RVBD on Fire to upside: count 17 tomorrow

    by vinny_950 Oct 28, 2013 4:08 PM
    vinny_950 vinny_950 Oct 28, 2013 4:28 PM Flag

    Just go ahead and buy now. count 17 tomorrow. It is rVBD. sentiment point to 17 tommorrow. Dont be caaried away by afterhour action. MM wants to rinse your hands

  • Reply to

    RVBD on Fire to upside: count 17 tomorrow

    by vinny_950 Oct 28, 2013 4:08 PM
    vinny_950 vinny_950 Oct 28, 2013 4:17 PM Flag

    dont be carried away by after hour action. Sentiment is buy now and count 17 tomorrow. i have been trading RVBD for the past 4 years and when they miss it goes down big the following day, when they beat, it goes like 2 dollar up the following day. take advantage to buy under 15 now. Thank me tomorrow

  • Reply to

    RVBD on Fire to upside: count 17 tomorrow

    by vinny_950 Oct 28, 2013 4:08 PM
    vinny_950 vinny_950 Oct 28, 2013 4:12 PM Flag

    $1 for me is big I have 200 options strike 13 expiring DEC. Count 17 tomorrow

  • all systems go

  • And 200 day moving average is also at 463.50.golden cross hit officially and I am 80 % optimistic a long term bull flag has been triggered. Expect 515 before the end of the month

  • 8:48 EDT - In the face of multiple analyst downgrades this morning and a 4% premarket stock drop, Apple (AAPL) is producing a long-term bullish "golden cross" pattern as the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day. Technicians sees such a pattern as marking the spot a short-term rally transitions into a longer-term uptrend. AAPL's last golden cross appeared on May 13, 2009, coincidentally after AAPL pulled back 7.8% in 2 days. The stock today is building on Tuesday's 2.3% yesterday, but the 50-day MA is at $463.50 while the 200-day is at $463.48

  • Predictions
    Prediction:In April 2011, Misek said Apple was going to launch a “far reaching” video service to disrupt traditional TV businesses. Misek’s main argument was that Apple’s new data centers are too big to be just for music, so they have to be for a new video service.
    Reality: Apple launched iCloud in October 2011 along with iTunes Match in November 2011.
    Prediction: In September 2011, Misek claimed that Apple threw away a million units of a product called the “iPad 2 HD”" and would simply launch the iPad 3 in January.
    Reality: Apple launched the iPad with Retina in March. There has never been any evidence to suggest they made a million iPad 2 HDs.
    Prediction: In March 2012, Misek claimed the Apple HDTV would launch in Q4 of 2012.
    Reality: The Apple HDTV is still not on the horizon.
    Prediction: A month later, in April 2012, Misek said the Apple HDTV would be called the “iPanel” and start production in May 2012 for a December launch.
    Reality: The Apple HDTV is still not on the horizon, and there is no evidence it is in production.
    Prediction: Feeling the heat in June 2012, Misek claimed Apple would unveil their HDTV at WWDC.
    Reality: The only hardware Apple announced were new MacBook Pros along with a preview of iOS 6 and Mountain Lion.
    Prediction: In August 2012, Misek claimed that Apple’s HDTV is in full production and that Apple is going to sell them with a subsidy through Verizon and AT&T starting in early 2013.
    Reality: Verizon and AT&T both have their own TV services, but Apple isn’t attached in any way.
    Prediction: In December 2012 – Peter cited “supply chain source” to claim that iPhone 5 part orders have been cut drastically.
    Reality: Tim Cook personally shut down Misek’s rumor and said you can’t get a handle on Apple by look at one or two points in Apple’s huge supply chain.
    Prediction: Today(!), Misek claimed that Apple would throw an Apple HDTV related event in March.
    Reality: The Loop’s Jim Dalrymple — who, unlike Misek, actually does have relia

  • Ever since Elop joined Nokia he's been steering the Nokia ship to Microsoft waters. Now he's docked it at the Microsoft port.

  • Reply to

    52.5 Call Options worth how much?

    by thegorbals Aug 29, 2013 9:43 PM
    vinny_950 vinny_950 Aug 30, 2013 12:57 AM Flag

    i have the same option sept expiration. i bought at $1.25. if splk open at 53 tomorrow i think the option is wordth around 2.80 to 3.20

  • Enjoy your dinner bulls

  • Reply to

    Breaking: JCP to open at 14.90 on Monday

    by vinny_950 Aug 23, 2013 3:18 PM
    vinny_950 vinny_950 Aug 23, 2013 3:31 PM Flag

    Breaking: Price open upped to 15.15 on monday. Insider stuffs

  • Insider stuffs

  • I'm going to launch a new long-short hedge fund called Remarc (REMC). It's the reverse spelling of Cramer's name and the reverse of his advice as well, buying long positions in stocks Cramer says to sell and shorting any stocks Cramer calls a buy. If the odds also reverse, this fund will make the Powerball jackpot look like spare change I found between my couch cushions. So forget about "Mad Money" and jump on Remarc, it would be mad to miss out on this action.

  • I examined two strong sell recommendations Cramer made about six months ago and assigned a statistical probability to the accuracy of these predictions.
    Specifically, on Nov. 20, 2012, Jim Cramer's urgent message was to exit two stocks immediately -- Hewlett Packard (HPQ) and Best Buy (BBY). Fast forward six months and three days through May 23, 2013, and how did these two stocks do? Well, considering Hewlett Packard was up 115.62 percent, while Best Buy gained 124.64 percent in total return, you be the judge.
    I asked the folks at S&P Dow Jones Indices where the performance of HP and Best Buy ranked in the S&P 500. Though they responded that they didn't have the data readily available, the folks at Wilshire Associates did on their large cap index. Of the 749 stocks in the Wilshire U.S. Large-Cap Index, since Cramer's urgent sell message, Best Buy ranked the 3rd best performer while Hewlett Packard came in 4th. I ran some numbers and the probability of being wrong enough to get two of the four best performers was 1 in 35,062.

    As a side note, in Cramer's book "Getting Back to Even," Hewlett Packard was one of 12 stocks highlighted in his chapter on how to invest for the recovery. Between the Oct. 13, 2009, publish date of his book recommending Hewlett Packard, and his Nov. 20, 2012, sell immediately recommendation, Hewlett Packard's total return was a loss of 73.83 percent. In other words, investors who listened to Cramer, and acted upon his advice, would have first lost nearly three quarters of their investment and then missed out on more than doubling it.
    Wilshire was kind enough to provide the top four stock performers over the roughly six month period. They were:
    Netflix: NFLX is #1 with 174.49 percent
    Green Mountain Coffee: GMCR is #2 with 161.68 percent
    Best Buy: BBY is #3 with 124.64 percent
    Hewlett Packard: HPQ is #4 with 115.62 percent
    Now I'd give Cramer the benefit of the doubt if he had recommended buying either Netflix or Green Mountain Coffee. As it tur

  • As a side note, in Cramer's book "Getting Back to Even," Hewlett Packard was one of 12 stocks highlighted in his chapter on how to invest for the recovery. Between the Oct. 13, 2009, publish date of his book recommending Hewlett Packard, and his Nov. 20, 2012, sell immediately recommendation, Hewlett Packard's total return was a loss of 73.83 percent. In other words, investors who listened to Cramer, and acted upon his advice, would have first lost nearly three quarters of their investment and then missed out on more than doubling it.

    Wilshire was kind enough to provide the top four stock performers over the roughly six month period. They were:

    Netflix: NFLX is #1 with 174.49 percent

    Green Mountain Coffee: GMCR is #2 with 161.68 percent

    Best Buy: BBY is #3 with 124.64 percent

    Hewlett Packard: HPQ is #4 with 115.62 percent

    Now I'd give Cramer the benefit of the doubt if he had recommended buying either Netflix or Green Mountain Coffee. As it turned out, however, Cramer advised selling Netflix on Nov. 2, 2012, and selling Green Mountain on Sept. 20, 2012. Yikes.

    By now I'm guessing you won't be surprised to know that by April 23, after Netflix gained 182 percent, Cramer was recommending buying Netflix. Though he noted that Netflix performed in a way that Wall Street didn't expect, he made no mention of his own stated expectations.

    Being a numbers guy, I couldn't resist calculating the odds of making four sell recommendations on what ends up being the four best performers out of 749 different stocks. Can we have a drum roll? The odds are 1 in 13.1 billion. By comparison, the odds of winning the Powerball jackpot are much better at 1 in 175 million, or 75 times more likely to happen than picking four stocks that poorly. Thus, picking the four best performers as stocks to sell is the next closest thing to being statistically impossible.

    My Take

    Admittedly, Cramer came up with other sell recommendations and I didn't do a thorough search to see what those stocks

  • get in boys and girls. Dont forget to package it with PHM

  • vinny_950 vinny_950 Aug 19, 2013 3:04 PM Flag

    those were different times pal. gdp at that time was -6 and now 1.7 u are making apples and oranges comp[arison. just was jcp in january will be 24

  • Whether it goes up or down after earnings, I guarantee 20 end of year baby. Go down-load the truck, Go up -load even more

  • I expect 11.20 today

  • Reply to

    What the? News anyone?

    by scootr1971 Aug 6, 2013 10:01 AM
    vinny_950 vinny_950 Aug 6, 2013 10:06 AM Flag

    the news is stock too cheap and worth at least 16

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