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Pacific Ethanol, Inc. (PEIX) Message Board

wellhellrex 104 posts  |  Last Activity: Aug 20, 2014 8:40 PM Member since: Jan 26, 2010
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  • Approximately 1.32 - 1.85% in three days. Now that's what I call a continuing uptrend.

    Director Prince probably just wanted to cash in his annual bonus shares so I caught a lucky break, and I don't need to worry because I am playing with Raylene's "short -PEIX- it -will- never - go - over- $5" money (and I have A LOT of his money). I guess you could call it chump change.....

    Watch for a break at $25 on it's way to $35-$40.

    I am buying at EVERY good opportunity, just like the Institutional Buyers JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, State Street and Credit Suisse, because I know that

    Ethanol is GLOBAL and IN DEMAND

  • wellhellrex wellhellrex Aug 20, 2014 10:40 AM Flag

    Wednesday in Iowa: 2 out 3 stops over 200 bpa.
    229 bpa, 236 bpa, and 184 bpa. Nice.

  • This year's surprisingly good overseas demand has diminished the importance of EPA's long-awaited mandate announcement for the Renewable Fuel Standard and is being reflected in higher ethanol prices. September ethanol has been trading above its 200-day average since mid-February and on Wednesday, Aug. 13, closed at a new contract high, a fresh sign of bullish price behavior. Among investors, CFTC data shows that ethanol bulls outnumber bears by a factor of four to one, a strong bullish outlook.

    On Aug. 6, the U.S. Census Bureau said U.S. exports of ethanol totaled 416.5 million gallons in the first six months of 2014, up a whopping 52% from a year ago. Nearly two-thirds of the exports went to three countries: Canada, Brazil, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). At first blush, Brazil and the UAE may seem like unlikely buyers as Brazil has plenty of sugar and UAE has plenty of oil. However, both have bought ethanol from the U.S. before and have become legitimate customers.

    Ethanol is GLOBAL and IN DEMAND

  • wellhellrex wellhellrex Aug 19, 2014 11:26 PM Flag

    Scouts on the eastern leg of the Pro Farmer Midwest Crop Tour saw a crop that grew larger as they moved west from Indiana into Illinois on Tuesday.

    Indiana's corn yields, while variable, averaged 185 bushels per acre, compared to 167.4 last year and the 141.2 bpa three-year average.

    Scouts on the western tour saw a Nebraska corn yield that was great in some places and average in others. The state's average yield, including irrigated and non-irrigated land, was 163.7 bpa, a Nebraska record. Last year, the average was 154.9 bpa. The three-year average was 146.8 bpa.

  • as the corn yields are averaging over 170 bushels per acre. good news for ethanol producers.

    Ethanol is GLOBAL and IN DEMAND

  • With the money I took from you and your disastrous trading strategies, I bought my mom a sweet new Cadillac and I just ordered myself a smoking Range Rover Sport SVR. Please continue your flawed investment strategy as I would like to buy a few more rides for family members. More rides = more ethanol needed = more money for PEIX investors. See Raylene, it's all good and don't forget

    Ethanol is GLOBAL and IN DEMAND

  • Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicates a Bullish Trend.
    Chart pattern indicates a Strong Upward Trend.
    Relative Strength is Bullish.
    Up/Down volume pattern indicates that the stock is under Accumulation.
    The 50 day Moving Average is rising which is Bullish.
    The 200 day Moving Average is rising which is Bullish.

  • The Street raised their target price for PEIX to $27.31 on August 17, 2014 and continues their BUY rating.

  • The analyst group "ResearchTeam" with Markit On Demand on TD Ameritrade initiates coverage with an Accumulate rating on 8/15/2014.

    We strive to be the most competitive and comprehensive resource for our clients’ technology needs. Our capabilities evolve continuously as market trends change, putting us ahead of the curve
    and providing our clients with the most innovative and compelling solutions.
    One of these solutions is ResearchTeam, which draws on our expertise in the areas of research data aggregation and analysis. ResearchTeam allows our clients to find the top performing research
    providers, use them in combination, measure performance using various performance methodologies and strategies, and easily integrate analysis results through detailed reports, lists, stock screeners, and rating change alerts for their end users.

  • The 13f filings identified that the BIG institutional investors have bought and are buying heavily into the PEIX story. Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse, JP Morgan, Blackstone and State Street are just a few of the names dedicating tens of million toward PEIX common stock.

    The EIA data confirmed that the ethanol demand continues to grow both domestically and internationally, with US refiners using more ethanol and ethanol exports increasing on a weekly basis. Production is outstripping supply, in other words the ethanol producers can't make it fast enough, as is documented by the increasing ethanol prices and margins.

    And the cherry on the top is the RECORD corn crop that has already started coming in, as documented by 250 bushel per acre yields in the south. The cheap corn price is continuing to trend downward and some cash corn prices actually dropped to $2.50 a bushel this week. The annual crop tour starts next week so there will be better indicators identifying just how large the crop is in the different states which will help set the corn prices going into 2015.

    If you have already set your core position, enjoy the ride up and don't sell too soon as the projections show the share price rising to the mid 30's -40's. If you are thinking about buying in, due your due diligence on ethanol demand, corn prices, and rising exports. And always remember that the message boards are full of fools and misinformation and that

    Ethanol is GLOBAL and IN DEMAND.

  • Reply to

    Ethanol is GLOBAL And Demand IS GROWING

    by wellhellrex Aug 15, 2014 9:29 AM
    wellhellrex wellhellrex Aug 15, 2014 9:37 AM Flag

    Institutional investors in PEIX know. Blackrock, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Credit Suisse, State Street and many, many others are in for the upcoming ride.

  • Japan has the potential to import 459 million gallons of U.S. ethanol in the 2014/2015 marketing year, which would account for 11 percent of global demand for U.S. ethanol, if the fuel is purchased to fulfill a 3 percent fuel blend limit at the same rate as gasoline imports. Mexico has the potential to import 236 million gallons of U.S. ethanol and the Philippines could import 90 million gallons.

    These three markets have the potential to represent almost 20 percent of global demand for U.S. ethanol and will all be explored in depth by the Council’s assessment activities in the remainder of 2014.

  • Reply to

    biff aka whitesand

    by ragin_cajun21 Aug 14, 2014 3:30 PM
    wellhellrex wellhellrex Aug 14, 2014 4:12 PM Flag

    Biff, my mother is not looking for a Pixie situation, but she is looking for an E85 station to fill up her new Cadillac that I bought for her with the money I took from that board fool Raylene! Mom says it's a sweet ride, just like PEIX.

    Ethanol is GLOBAL and IN DEMAND

  • wellhellrex wellhellrex Aug 14, 2014 12:43 PM Flag

    13f filings

  • wellhellrex wellhellrex Aug 14, 2014 12:42 PM Flag

    Good volume and action today. cinch it down tight.

  • Reply to

    Price Targets

    by yeahbabyxyz Aug 14, 2014 1:15 AM
    wellhellrex wellhellrex Aug 14, 2014 10:53 AM Flag

    If you follow the P&F charts: short term target $27, intermediate term target $35, long term target $58

    Goldman Sachs position is worth $30 million so maybe they read the charts too?

    Ethanol is GLOBAL and IN DEMAND

  • It looks like the PEIX ethanol secret is no longer a secret. Hang on for the ride of your life as the P&F charts are showing this goes to $35 before leveling off.

    Ethanol is GLOBAL and IN DEMAND

  • as of 6/30/2014. The Big Boys are in!

    They know that:

    Ethanol is GLOBAL and IN DEMAND

  • All while literally and figuratively crushing it with fantastic margins. The west-coast margins continue to out-perform.

    But wait there's more. Corn harvest totals will be at record levels with corn prices stabilizing around $3 a bushel and ethanol exports will exceed 1 billion gallons. Hmmmm, can you say cash-flow is king? I knew you could.

    If you want your investments to make money don't ever forget that

    Ethanol is GLOBAL and IN DEMAND

  • Nice analysis on farmdocdaily site about the RFS.

    The evidence is overwhelming that the EPA is going to roll back the cuts to the renewable (ethanol) mandate in the final 2014 RFS rulemaking. The really interesting question at this point is the size of the rollback, or equivalently, the absolute level of the renewable mandate for 2014. Reports in the trade press in recent months suggest the final 2014 renewable mandate will be between 13.4 and 13.8 billion gallons. Some information on this question can be inferred from the relationship between D6 ethanol and D4 biodiesel RINs prices and the projected size of the "renewable gap" relative to the available stock of RINs. A key fact is that the ratio of D6 to D4 RINs prices has averaged 0.93 since mid-June 2014. This is the longest sustained period of the ratio being above 0.90 since early July 2013. This fact suggests that the RINs market is pricing in a renewable mandate that is higher than 13.8 billion gallons. This may be due to new information about the likely final level of the renewable mandate in 2014 or accounting for the possibility that a court decision eventually restores the renewable mandate to its full statutory level of 14.4 billion gallons in 2014 and 15 billion gallons thereafter.

PEIX
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