Search 2014 JD Power wireless ranking and you can download their Network Quality ranking report from March. The next report should be posted end of August.
You are making my point......Sprint's future is dependent on the Network and all the other speculation is just noise.
All the most recent 3rd party rankings (Rootmetrics, Consumer Reports, JD Power) have Sprint a distant 3rd or 4th in network rankings. JD Power will be coming out with an update in August & Consumer Reports in November while the most recent review was Rootmetrics in March. Last years JD Power had Sprint ranked in last place so are you expecting that to be different this year or are we continuing to "Pardon the Dust" as Hesse has said for 4 years.
Thanks for confirming that Whig and Bend are the same person as that makes since.
As for your post, this is a dim light at best. Sprint has been working on Network Vision for 4 years and continues to lag AT&T & VZ (and TMUS in most metrics) so your belief of 150 mps download speed and continued improvement in the network lacks my confidence. As for Spectrum sharing, Dish and Lightsquared aren't exactly my definition of good run companies so I see this as more of a negative than a positive. And Google, they aren't going to bite the hand that feeds them (AT&T & VZ) by establishing a MVNO with Sprint and being in competition.
Your points (other than cost cuts) are outside Sprint's core business and the core business is what's suffering. If the biggest hope for the future is Sprint's Network, which I think it is, they better deliver it soon and it better work as pricing is only going to come down.
Whig...When can we stop separating the US Cell & Clearwire transactions in the metrics? It's been over a year now since Sprint purchased these subscribers.
Sprint lost 245K postpaid (including US Cell & Clearwire transactions), a loss of 619K in prepaid (due to a clean up of the Gov't Assistance program), and gained 530K in wholesale and affiliate. For a total loss of 334K.
And, being that these numbers included a gain of 535K tablets, it all means that ARPU will continue to be under pressure.
Churn was also 2.09% in postpaid and 4.5% in prepaid including the transactions.
Since you are the ultimate bull on Sprint, please tell me (outside of the belief of a TMUS merger), what is the light at the end of the Sprint tunnel?
"In fact, Sprint CEO Dan Hesse said on today’s conference call that he expects to be adding contract customers in the last three months of this calendar year."
This means more subscriber losses in the current quarter.
Also, anyone know why the sudden change from Calendar Year to Fiscal Year? Two Q1's in a row I guess.
No, I'm saying Sprint is completely controlled by Softbank, Paulson, Invesco, Norges, Bank of New York and others. If one of them decides to get out, Sprint drops. If one of them decides to add to their position, Sprint moves higher.
Sprint's shares outstanding: 3.94B
Softbank Owns: 3.148B
Top Insiders, Institutions, and Mutual Funds own: approx. 577M
They control the stock price so earnings, subscribers, and all traditional ways to value a company mean nothing. Earnings could be great or awful tomorrow, but as long as these guys hold, Sprint's stock will hold.
Verizon Q1 approx. 500K subs gains
Sprint Q1 approx. 500K subs lost
Verizon Q2 1.4M sub gains
Simple reasoning suggests that Sprint will report a significant loss in subs and today's latest rate plan announcement and Morgan Stanley's assessment of Sprint having "No competitive positioning" doesn't suggest a turnaround starting in Q3 as indicated.
If you're referring to a company that is growing revenue at 10% to 15%, has $165M in cash (including the $14M that came back from Escrow in April), is the market share leader in its Industry, and is a potential target to be purchased by the likes of Cisco, Google or any Large Cap looking for revenue growth from the projections of IOT.
Then, Yes, I would agree with you that it's just stupid to short a stock like this.
Thanks for your useless response.
How about don't catch a falling knife or don't eat yellow snow or when it rains it pours.
Or, better yet, quoting Trains, Planes, and Automobiles, "How about having a point? "
Sprint (and TMUS for that matter) continue to throw new offers and new gimmicks against the wall of the Wireless Industry to see what sticks. Verizon and AT&T just sit back and watch all the distraction it causes and will occasionally respond, but they just seem to stay focused on their networks and growth. If the Gov't allows Sprint (really Softbank) to buy TMUS, and that's a BIG IF, the distraction will result in a loss of total combined subscribers which will only benefit AT&T & Verizon. And, by the time Sprint with TMUS might ever truly consolidate in 3 to 5 years, I bet Comast or Google or Facebook or someone else joins the Wireless Industry as a new #4 and AT&T & VZ will Still own 70%+ of the subs and Sprint will be a distant #3 once again.
T-Mobile USInc. is making strong demands to be compensated by Sprint Corp. in the event regulators kill a merger of the two carriers, a main factor the companies are working through before agreeing to a deal, people familiar with the matter said.
Deutsche Telekom AG, which owns 67% of T-Mobile, wants a breakup fee of more than $1 billion
Wall Street Journal
This deal should be dead.
Here's an example of why I question Sprint Management when they say they will reverse customer defections starting in Q3 2014.
"Nearly half of current feature phone owners could switch carriers in the next 12 months, and Sprint appears to be in jeopardy of losing a large number of customers."
"Kantar found that 91 percent of Verizon's current smartphone customers have no plans of going elsewhere, followed by 89 percent of T-Mobile customers. AT&T came in third place at 83 percent smartphone customer loyalty. Sprint was last at 74 percent."
"It was an even more concerning story on the feature phone side, with 60 percent of Sprint feature phone customers saying they'd stick with their current carrier. AT&T was tops among its own feature phone customers, with 75 percent loyalty."
First, Today's FreedomPop news was that they are going to add AT&T or T-Mobile as a second carrier alternative to Sprint. Verizon, AT&T, & T-Mobile have gotten more agressive with MVNO agreements in the last year and they see opportunity for growth with Sprint's current MVNO's in going after their 8.6M wholesale subs.
Second, the expectation is sub losses will reverse in the 2nd half of the year. In my opinion, there's no compelling reason for customers, especially business customers, to come back to Sprint especially if they signed a contract or paid for an unsubsidized device in the last 2 years. And, let's say Sprint's Network does come closer to or surpasses that of there competitors, it will take some time to prove it out and even more time for customers to trust it & the brand. All is riding on their network (or a T-Mobile buyout) and I think it's highly unlikely to expect net adds to begin and trend forward in a couple months.
The deal will never be approved as Sprint just helped solidify the case of the US Gov't by dropping prepaid pricing to match T-mobile as they want competition to bring down pricing.
T-Mobile wants to pass up Sprint, not be purchased by them, and their strategy to do so is working. They are on their way to becoming the new #3 as Sprint has 53.6M subs and T-Mobile has 49.1M subs. Sprint postpaid subs are dropping, prepaid is dropping, and wholesale is soon to follow with announcements like the one by FreedomPop today. At the current pace, T-mobile could leap frog into the #3 position in Q4 of this year.
What happen to the days when the news of a buyout or merger was only news after a formal announcement? Sprint can't keep anything private......
Any potential deal is dead on arrival with the US Gov't. The only way a deal happens is if the Gov't fears that the current 4 US carriers are at risk of becoming 2 meaning Sprint & TMUS would have to both be on a course for failure. If that's the case they are going to make, it'll be pretty tough to position themselves as doing well to the investing public and the opposite to the US Gov't.
Like I said, more of the same for Sprint as they've been distracted and making poor decision after poor decision for almost a decade.