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Lifeway Foods Inc. Message Board

wooglin_kai 352 posts  |  Last Activity: Jan 23, 2015 4:10 PM Member since: Apr 3, 1999
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  • Reply to

    Question

    by westorange1945 Jan 21, 2015 10:16 PM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 4:10 PM Flag

    Hey westorange,
    I've been long the three major tower companies for 10+ years and for the most part, their message boards have been extremely quiet. I'm surprised there is not more retail interest in something just about everyone is quite aware of and that they use daily.
    Cheers

  • Reply to

    Shift in the order

    by ralphemerson387 Jan 23, 2015 9:53 AM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 3:50 PM Flag

    You're catching on!

  • Reply to

    Rich Kinder and his Boots

    by wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 9:23 AM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 3:08 PM Flag

    "scam_from_day_one • 15 hours ago Flag
    • 1users liked this postsusers disliked this posts1
    • Reply
    Which brings us to the point that the Canucks have been hauling it by train or rail since the mid 1970s now with no significant mishaps at all.

    mpaidtopump2001 • 14 hours ago Flag
    • 1users liked this postsusers disliked this posts0
    • Reply
    I am a bit of a railroad buff, so good luck finding anyone leaving a train of that size completely unattended with hardly any brakes set, eight miles uphill from a populated junction town?

    And if that had been Alberta dilbit, there would have been no explosion, period. You would about have to dilute it another 30 percent with gasoline to achieve such a result. So I stand by my earlier statement that the Canadians have been hauling it by truck or rail for 40 years now with no mishaps."

    I find anyone who, for whatever reason, feels compelled to post under multiple #$%$ to be disingenuous.
    What is your take?

    Oftentimes, there are rail v pipeline posts on this board. Perhaps I should have started a new thread and then there wouldn't be any conspiracy to investigate. I find it crazy for you (and "scam from day one) to "think" there have not been any significant rail mishaps in Canada. (Lac-Megantic derailment was due to some sort of technicality of yours???)

    You seem to be quite the avid viewer of Fox, otherwise, how could you have such a strong opinion?
    Hey! If you have any questions about BloombergTV, fire away (but I won't answer--see below), since that is what is on at work all day.

    You portray yourself as a person who is knowledgeable on the transport subject and that's great; I am sure you know much more than I. I do not feel that I need to know "everything". I invested in KMI, perhaps foolishly, based on my own metrics and I am content to hold.

    This will be my last post with you.

    Good bye.

  • Reply to

    Shift in the order

    by ralphemerson387 Jan 23, 2015 9:53 AM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 2:53 PM Flag

    "...the articles on Yahoo finance predict a big crash almost every week."

    Then don't read them! A lot of investors feel as if they must do something (buy/sell), oftentimes due to the tsunami of media stories. Usually they make moves right around the wrong time!
    I've been investing for some time and started way before market info was readily available. When I wanted to know, I'd find out how a stock I owned performed by seeing its closing price in the next day newspaper. Fund NAVs? Maybe weekly! Back then, most people only knew how their portfolios were performing by looking at their monthly/quarterly statement that had been delivered by mail!

    Try to avoid the hype and stick with BASIC investment concepts.

    While index funds seem to be "hot" these days, I've been invested in VTSAX (earlier sister fund VTSMX) for over 22 years (and have reinvested almost every div and have made substantial periodic investments) and I have never sold a share. I recommend you check out VTSAX and consider using it as a foundation of your portfolio. You won't beat the market, but you won't do any worse; how many retail investors and how many fund managers CONSISTENTLY beat the market? Exactly. Added bonus: VTSAX is very tax efficient. Index constituents don't change much, hence there is rarely a taxable capital gain.

    For perspective, Total Market funds represent 27.6% of all my holdings A/O 12/31/14 and that figure will be increasing substantially this year.

    Good luck

  • Reply to

    Rich Kinder and his Boots

    by wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 9:23 AM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 1:56 PM Flag

    Hey! I was just humored when I realized the dudette was posting with multiple (and in the same vein) #$%$. I'm not a fan of conspiracies, but what's up with using multiple IDs?

  • wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 1:52 PM Flag

    thewzrdaz,
    You beat me to it; what a contradiction in that poster's posts!
    Loved your earlier statement: "Usually if something looks like it's wrong in the market, you'll find out what by looking in a mirror."
    You consistently write great posts--Cheers.

  • Reply to

    Rich Kinder and his Boots

    by wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 9:23 AM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 12:22 PM Flag

    Where's your alter ego "scam_from_day_one?
    No, I feel only the need to apologize for my transgressions, not those perhaps made by a news outlet. Guess what? I have NEVER watched Fox news. Here's another one for you: I never check the box on my 1040 to donate 3 bucks or whatever to political parties or whatever it is...Regarding politics, I have donated funds only once and that was for Bernie's re-election a few years back; my incentive? A free "Bernie" T Shirt.

  • Reply to

    Ny post today

    by billwcoln Jan 21, 2015 3:30 PM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 12:13 PM Flag

    "With a $310 million market cap, the company is trading at a rich multiple of more than 40 times earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization."

    LWAY does appear a tad expensive, but perhaps a potential suitor that is more proficient in running a business may appreciate the POTENTIAL lil LWAY has and be willing to pay up. I'm not holding my breath given what I have written for some time: The Family has a GREAT thing going on. Hopefully the "new" diary along with more favorable milk prices will factor into better earnings--there's always "hope", right?

  • Reply to

    CL overvalued

    by ajmthe Nov 27, 2014 11:43 AM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 11:38 AM Flag

    jwp's post made sense to me relative to the original post.
    IMO, the original post was "an inane comment"!!!

  • Of course, haters are going to hate, but I have to imagine most PG shareholders are thankful for the estimated $3.2M value of additional exposure Gillette received during Bill and then Tom's press conferences yesterday!

  • Reply to

    Ny post today

    by billwcoln Jan 21, 2015 3:30 PM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 11:33 AM Flag

    bill, nice catch and thanks for sharing. Hence the jump in volume to a "massive" 60,500 shares changing hands on the 20th. Although you had posted the text, I searched for the article. Hit below The Post link was a Jan 8, 2014 piece on huffingtonpost:
    "People Are Going Crazy For a Fermented Milk Drink No One Can Pronounce"
    Good read. A couple quotes:
    "But kefir's perennial problem persists: Most Americans get tongue-tied when they try to read its name.
    Kuh-FEER? KEFF-eer? KEE-fur?"

    ""People always ask, 'How do you pronounce it?'" said Julie Smolyansky, CEO of the Chicago-based Lifeway Foods Inc., by far the country's largest supplier of the dairy drink. "That's probably one of the biggest challenges.""

    ""I would foresee strong growth in the next few years because it ties into the health and wellness trends," Lee said." (analyst at Euromonitor)

    "Asked what hurdles kefir still faces, Lee quickly replied: "The pronunciation. I would say the pronunciation is a big one.""

    Hey Julie!!! Here's an idea for a television commercial: Just film a handful of people who profile your demographic in various positive settings who are pronouncing "kefir" in different ways. Tagline: "No matter how you pronounce it, kefir tastes great and it's good for you too!" Okay, that took me about twenty seconds; it can be tweaked.

    A positive I took from the huffpost piece: There are 77 comments and most are emphatically positive about kefir. One poster stated they preferred Lassi (LWAY's Lassi perhaps? LOL)

    The huffpost piece mentioned the upcoming Golden Globes; kudos to lil LWAY's marketing person for presumably prompting the piece.

    Cheers

  • Reply to

    Hiland value at just $248M......RK paid 6 times value

    by divikmi Jan 22, 2015 11:18 PM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 10:48 AM Flag

    "It is just plain pathetic that you would think that RK doesn't know what he is buying."
    Particularly when one considers his track record!

  • Reply to

    Shift in the order

    by ralphemerson387 Jan 23, 2015 9:53 AM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 10:06 AM Flag

    ralph, you need to chill.
    Guess what? The biotech sector will not always be in favor and it won't always have performance numbers as it has in the past few years. That is why it makes sense to own different sectors and or stocks. I've been in the sector for 10+ years and you know what?, although my entry timing was terrible, from point A to B, my return has beaten the overall market; that's a win. Dollar amounts invested are irrelevant, but I'm curious what percent weight your FBIOX holding is relative to all your investments. You just bought shares and now you're posting buyer remorse type posts. Could biotech be topping out? Yes, no, maybe. Re-read swanstedt's excellent post. Mutual funds are for long term investing.
    There's no need to either micro manage individual holdings as some are prone to do, nor look at a fund's daily NAV...doing so will drive you crazy, unless you are already there.
    Again, chill

  • wooglin_kai by wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 9:29 AM Flag

    Bloomberg composite (Moody's, S&P, Fitch and a couple others; all effective 11/20/14 or more recently):
    BBB-

    We use RapidRatings at work (if you watch BloombergTV or CNBC you may be familiar). RR's latest rating was 10/1/14: 54 out of 100.

  • wooglin_kai by wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 9:23 AM Flag

    I love the fact that Kinder insists that he won't sell any of his KMI shares, but here's some perspective:
    KMI's quarterly dividend was increased by a penny. Based on Kinder's KMI holdings A/O 12/2/14, that one penny increase equals an additional $2,448,460 into Rich's hands! Total quarterly payment to Rich: $110,181,100. Although KMI represents most of Rich's wealth and it is prudent to be diversified, when one is at the level of wealth such as Rich, diversification may be a moot point given he must have a few hundred million bucks in cash type holdings or other investments. The only meaningful downside if KMI were to disappear is that the recipients of his estate will receive less.
    Well done, Rich!

  • wooglin_kai by wooglin_kai Jan 23, 2015 9:04 AM Flag

    "just one question for you ... how do you compare cvx with xom .. i'm looking
    at those 2 for a producer in my portfolio .. i want to pick up a producer and
    a midstream company to compliment my dividend portfolio"

    I'm long both; XOM (MOB) for decades and CVX just the past five years or so, although I had owed TX for years before they ultimately got gobbled by CVX.
    Over the real long term, CVX has outperformed XOM, but of course, past results may not be indicative of future performance. CVX has a better yield, so that in itself could be the deciding factor. I don't really have much to add.
    Cheers.

  • wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 22, 2015 5:37 PM Flag

    Sorry, I interpreted the poster generically using "Keystone XL spill" for pipelines in general.

    Unfortunately the Lac-Megantic rail accident was related to rail crude transport; this negligent accident shows that rail transport of crude can have devastating results. Yes, pipelines can as well; perspective!
    I imagine "if the cargo was cotton or duck feathers" and the train ran away and derailed that there would have been a fraction of the loss of life, if any, and much less damage.

    "At least 30 buildings were destroyed in the centre of town, including the town's library, a historic former bank, and other businesses and houses.[86] A hundred and fifteen businesses were destroyed, displaced, or rendered inaccessible."

  • wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 22, 2015 5:27 PM Flag

    "Which brings us to the point that the Canucks have been hauling it by train or rail since the mid 1970s now with no significant mishaps at all. "

    You are swiftly losing credibility; Google "Canadian rail explosion"

  • Reply to

    Kinder's Bakken Play: Trouble Ahead

    by sbrown101750 Jan 22, 2015 3:50 PM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 22, 2015 5:25 PM Flag

    garce,

    I hope you saw my thread that responded to your confusion re how the share price is adjusted on ex day; if not, see topic "iamgarce Re Dividends"

    BTW, on the CVX board (I'm long CVX) you wrote: "like when do oil bonds get repriced"
    All liquid bonds get repriced throughout the trading day!

    Cheers

  • Reply to

    WRONG!!!

    by mrmowman1 Jan 22, 2015 12:09 PM
    wooglin_kai wooglin_kai Jan 22, 2015 5:18 PM Flag

    "$0.0030 is possible it could happen on Monday"
    But not tomorrow???
    Most of your previous forecasts have not been accurate.
    Nice to see the market cap moved back to slightly over one million dollars!!!

LWAY
18.07+0.20(+1.12%)Jan 23 4:00 PMEST

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