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Pfizer Inc. Message Board

xquestor 491 posts  |  Last Activity: 21 hours ago Member since: Feb 19, 2008
  • Reply to

    OP this week raised back to 22

    by steaknsteak Apr 10, 2014 9:47 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 10, 2014 5:33 PM Flag

    info;

    It did drop to $21.50 the other day and by this morning it moved back up to $22. I will not know until it is recalculated.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    XP, what are your thoughts on OP for 4-11-14?

    by jerryleebear Apr 10, 2014 3:05 PM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 10, 2014 3:11 PM Flag

    I believe from what I am looking at we will close under $22. Probably $21.90 area. The OP for next week is $22 and the 4-25 is $21. Unless the option tree changes for the better that is the direction we will head in. MU will move up and down in a trading range. JMHO

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • NCT and CCG Both pay a nice divy and come recommended by Brad Thomas. A REIT expert.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    OP this week raised back to 22

    by steaknsteak Apr 10, 2014 9:47 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 10, 2014 1:48 PM Flag

    cautious;

    U Tube Mark Biltz. What he has to say is interesting.
    Also U Tube Angel saves man from truck.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    OP this week raised back to 22

    by steaknsteak Apr 10, 2014 9:47 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 10, 2014 1:45 PM Flag

    sagit1;
    I would look at selling the JAN 2016 $17 and / or $20 puts. I would wait until we are closer to the 25th of April. OP for that date is $21.
    How did you do on that other option trade?

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    OP this week raised back to 22

    by steaknsteak Apr 10, 2014 9:47 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 10, 2014 1:37 PM Flag

    F40; Thanks for the offer; but for it to be a blessing for me, it must also be a blessing for you. So If you chose to, please pass the blessing to someone or to an animal rescue group in your area. God gave the same breath of life to both man and animal.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    OP this week raised back to 22

    by steaknsteak Apr 10, 2014 9:47 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 10, 2014 12:43 PM Flag

    If you want to do something, give to your local food bank and or an animal rescue group. You cannot be blessed if nothing is given.

    Best Regards
    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    OP this week raised back to 22

    by steaknsteak Apr 10, 2014 9:47 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 10, 2014 12:36 PM Flag

    Fear makes people do crazy things. If you sell short it should be when the stocks RSI and MACD are in clear overbought territory. Now if you are Carl I you can screw up and still come out smelling like a rose patch.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    OP this week raised back to 22

    by steaknsteak Apr 10, 2014 9:47 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 10, 2014 10:34 AM Flag

    OP for this week is at $22.00 and its upside resistance appears to be the 10 DMA for the last 3 days. It still looks to me that MU could drop to $21.90 by close Friday. The option tree is lopsided with more calls then puts. JMHO

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Yahoo at work!

    by xquestor Apr 9, 2014 1:56 PM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 10, 2014 1:20 AM Flag

    Look at all the extra storage space YHOO has to pay for every time a spam message is created.

    XQ.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    OP for 4-11-14 has dropped to $21.50

    by xquestor Apr 9, 2014 11:19 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 10, 2014 1:17 AM Flag

    I understand what you are saying. In the calculation of the final total value of all the options for one expiration period; one would have to go back and calculate the initial value of all options sold minus or plus the value of the option contracts terminated or closed out prior to expiration and then at expiration calculate the true value of the option contracts that expired. Over the time frame of the existence of a certain group of options; there will be an amount of money that is extracted by the sellers of the options prior to expiration which would alter the
    option pain price and the value of the remaining call versus puts. Over the total spectrum of options sold and bought for any expiration date; for every dollar put into the trade a dollar will eventually come out. Money just shifts from one pot to another pot, which makes it a zero sum game.

    It is impossible to have more money come out of a group of options that all have the same expiration; that was placed into the same group of options. It is like a game of monopoly, there is a certain amount of money in the game at the beginning and the same still exists at the end. It just changes hands over the course of the game.

    The option pain price is calculated prior to the open every day. On the final day of expiration the OP price can change during the day and could end up being higher or lower. If one could recalculate the OP price say every 5 min., you would see variations in pennies, nickles and dimes from the prices of the option strikes listed.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    OP for 4-11-14 has dropped to $21.50

    by xquestor Apr 9, 2014 11:19 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 9, 2014 9:54 PM Flag

    You have to remember that most of the loss is to the actual put and call option buyers. The MM's pay out very little in comparison to what they have collected in premiums. The options are devalued by time and fluctuations in price which the MM's control. Search how stock options work.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    OP for 4-11-14 has dropped to $21.50

    by xquestor Apr 9, 2014 11:19 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 9, 2014 5:19 PM Flag

    Well, there is an answer! the $23 puts dropped in price by .44 cents and will drop more tomorrow.. What is interesting is the volume on the $22.50 and THE $22. It seems that MU has almost always held true to the OP price and I believe that will be the case again this Friday. The MM's do not mind paying some money out as long as they have made a whole lot more on the other option positions.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    OP for 4-11-14 has dropped to $21.50

    by xquestor Apr 9, 2014 11:19 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 9, 2014 2:01 PM Flag

    The 10 DMA has dropped below the 50 DMA and appears that it has tested the 10. This failure to go above leads me to believe we are truly going to go back down to the $20.65 area.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • xquestor by xquestor Apr 9, 2014 1:56 PM Flag

    ACAS message board still under attack by automated web-bot auto-taggin "abuse" so that Yahoo removes

    Since Yahoo has enacted a threshold for automatic removal of messages when they get a certain number of thumbs-down or abuse reports, the previous annoying web-bot attacking the ACAS message board has been promoted to a message-board killer.

    This web-bot is capable of tagging every message up to 1,000 times, with either abuse or thumbs-down (using unique IDs). Since Yahoo put the auto-remove thresholds in, Yahoo has removed all new messages since the new year AND the web-bot has continued back in history.

    At this time, Yahoo has removed all messages back to Oct-2012.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    OP for 4-11-14 has dropped to $21.50

    by xquestor Apr 9, 2014 11:19 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 9, 2014 1:15 PM Flag

    The MM"s play a zero sum game. They only will pay out the smallest amount possible. They do not lose money because they make so much more on the options that expire worthless. Everyone else on that plays; usually only play one option strike at a time. It is really nuts because when you play in so close the premiums are degraded and the risk is so high. That is why I sell put options so far out. I can define the risk so much better. I know that the options that I play will degrade in value by about 70% by the time they approach expiration. I do not have to try and play short term and hope that I am on the right side of the trade. In effect; If I have multiple option trades outstanding on different stocks, my chances of being right is almost 100%. Remember that put and call option buyers lose money 90% of the time. So I have the odds that I will win 90% of the time, plus I have the ability to adjust positions so that I can pick up the other 10%. I have never been caught on the wrong side of a put option trade.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    OP for 4-11-14 has dropped to $21.50

    by xquestor Apr 9, 2014 11:19 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 9, 2014 12:38 PM Flag

    Today's stock price rise has more to do with making the 4-11-14, 4-19 and 4-25 put options worth less. So after this little run up the stock price should be brought back down by Friday.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Looks like they are shooting for that $21 number on 4-25.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    April 8, 2014 2:47pm

    by xquestor Apr 8, 2014 2:53 PM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 9, 2014 11:13 AM Flag

    The ultimate goal is to make options worthless! That is why it is called option pain (r). The price of the stock is worked up and down creating confusion; but ultimately put and call buyers lose.
    Have you noticed that there are a new slew of ID's on the MU board pumping the stock ? There also has been a shift on the news stories posted.

    XQ.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • xquestor xquestor Apr 9, 2014 1:00 AM Flag

    cautious;
    See my other post to you.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

PFE
30.25+0.16(+0.53%)Apr 17 4:00 PMEDT

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