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OWENS CORNING SERIES B EXPIRIN Message Board

xquestor 478 posts  |  Last Activity: 2 minutes 56 seconds ago Member since: Feb 19, 2008
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  • Reply to

    DIVERSITY

    by xquestor 22 hours ago
    xquestor xquestor 2 minutes 56 seconds ago Flag

    confident;
    I posted a trade that I just did above. Look at the stock chart, MACD, RSI, Forward MOP prices, Articles written, Option prices and theo values. Notice that it is a dividend payer which is what stock investors like. It takes me about 30 minuets and by that time, I will know if I want to sell put options. I do not find trades every day; but I am always looking. Sometimes I will take profits before options expiration. My goal is to make at least 70 % of the premium paid to me. I have made $20,000 in a month and some times I make zero. I have never lost money on a put option trade. I have never had the stock put to me. I like to structure safe trades. I never go all in on one trade. I keep cash in the account to back all my trades. I made a 56% return last year and expect to do the same this year. The possibilities are there; people just have to learn. I do not do bonds!!!
    Not yet as the timing is not right.
    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • xquestor xquestor 24 minutes ago Flag

    machine;
    The MU stock price appears to have been affected by the SNDK earnings report. From my experience MOP is pretty accurate the majority of the time. I have posted before that news and other things can be a influence and that is what happened. The 4-25 MOP number is now 22. If everything settles down then $21.90 area should be a target. It could occur this week or next or the MM's could try to run MU up some more in order to sell call options at higher prices.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    DIVERSITY

    by xquestor 22 hours ago
    xquestor xquestor 1 hour 57 minutes ago Flag

    confid;
    If you are a seller of put options you want to sell options where the Theo is less then the bid and ask price. In other words as a put option seller you are selling an overpriced put. In time the market will bring the bid / ask price down and you start showing a profit. Also as time decay and the value of the stock moves up; the option price moves down.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • xquestor xquestor 2 hours 4 minutes ago Flag

    jerry;
    The MM's do not lose money. Sometimes they just do not make as much. And I still trust the OP numbers as an indicator. The game has not changed. Call and Put option buyers will still lose 90% of the time.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • xquestor xquestor 2 hours 52 minutes ago Flag

    jerry;
    The numbers above look right.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    DIVERSITY

    by xquestor 22 hours ago
    xquestor xquestor 2 hours 59 minutes ago Flag

    confid;
    I use Charles Schwab and I find that I can leverage my cash in the account on a 1 for 2 ratio. I heard that TD Ameritrade has a liberal leverage policy.

    MU Jan 2016 Strike 20 Put Ask 2.71 Bid 2.81 Theo 2.69 Still not that good. The $15 options are priced better at Ask 1.02 Bid 1.18 Theo .847. Once again, put option should be sold when the stock price has dropped and the MACD and RSI have a confirmed bottom. If MU drops back down again as suggested by the OP number, that will be the time to sell puts. Timing is everything in making the most return.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    DIVERSITY

    by xquestor 22 hours ago

    confid;
    Options Express for the above Bid .20 Ask .22 Theo Value .17 In this case the option is overvalued , but not by much. This is not something that I would want to chase. Options that are really overvalued have a greater tendency to drop in price quicker and therefore become more profitable. Most of the time these options are of a longer duration.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • How many time have you gone to bed?
    How many times have you got out of bed?
    How many times have you ate a meal?
    How many times have you brushed your teeth and hair?
    How many times have you driven to work?
    How may times have you looked at the sun, moon and stars?
    How many times have you watched TV or listened to the radio?
    How many times have you gone shopping?

    At least 1000 time each! Right!

    If you can do these things day in and day out then you should be able to do this!!!

    Make 1000 trades that earn you 1000 DOLLARS and you will have made a million.!!!!!!!

    Learn to make the right trades and you will!!!!!!

    XQ.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    DIVERSITY

    by xquestor 22 hours ago
    xquestor xquestor 18 hours ago Flag

    conf;

    Options Express has a Pricer Program. Use it every time to see if the price of the option is over valued or under valued. I have found it to be spot on all the time. Options Express is a part of Charles Schwab.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    DIVERSITY

    by xquestor 22 hours ago
    xquestor xquestor 21 hours ago Flag

    jerry;

    MU closed yesterday at $22.48 and gaped up today. The MOP number should update by tomorrow morning. I believe that MU will retrace its it price jump and fill in the gap next week. When you go to short a stock; always do it when the stock is confirmed over bought and not oversold. Always check the MACD and RSI indicators on the stock chart. Scottrade has excellent charts if you have an account with them.. News and earnings can always affect a stock price.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    DIVERSITY

    by xquestor 22 hours ago
    xquestor xquestor 21 hours ago Flag

    new;
    NO; but thy do pay a nice divy of $ 3.92 or 11.90%. on the stock. I will wait to see if I want to buy the stock. If the stock were put to me at $20 less the $1.35 premium would I be happy. Yes. Check the options table and you will see a trade for 10 contracts and open interest of 113.
    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • It is of utmost importance to have a diverse portfolio of stocks and options. I like to keep at least 30 different stock positions and 30 different long term put positions. When I close a position out, I replace it with another. I like stocks that pay a dividend and long term put options, where the theoretical value is less then the option premium. Today I have MPW put options that expire worthless for a 100% return of $63 per contract. I
    replaced this with the sale of put options on SDRL. I sold the Jan 15, 2016 $20 strike at $135 per contract or $1.35 per share. The stock is trading at $32.74. The theoretical value of this option is $0.167 per share. I try to build a safety net into each trade. Just thought I would pass this on so you can see that longer term put options can make you just as much money as trying to time and trade short term options and having to be tied to the computer; worrying about the position..

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    CALL OPTIONS

    by xquestor Apr 17, 2014 1:05 PM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 17, 2014 2:34 PM Flag

    daejna;
    This jump in MU all centers on the SNDK earnings and in particular the statement about sales of SSD. The same business MU is in. The only problem is that MU did not high-lite this as a source of strong growth. So it leaves this question to ponder. Why the jump?

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    XQ

    by daejna Apr 17, 2014 12:56 PM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 17, 2014 2:08 PM Flag

    Yahoo must have a problem again. My above post never moved the thread up.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    XQ

    by daejna Apr 17, 2014 12:56 PM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 17, 2014 1:49 PM Flag

    jerry;
    It can change; but there is no way to tell as the online services only calculate MOP before the open. The MM's can also use this to sell forward call options and neutralizes any loss along with buying back any forward put options sold at higher prices.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    CALL OPTIONS

    by xquestor Apr 17, 2014 1:05 PM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 17, 2014 1:44 PM Flag

    This is so crazy! Who would have thought SNDK news would cause MU to jump, even after all the negative comments in the media about MU. But, as I have said before: news and comments can affect the price of the stock. At this point I am not sure where we will end up. This is the very reason I either buy stock on drops or sell the put long term put options on stocks.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • xquestor by xquestor Apr 17, 2014 1:05 PM Flag

    Check out the massive numbers of call options being sold in forward months. The only problem is that they are being centered around the $23 area + /-.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    Pre Market

    by f40forever Apr 17, 2014 8:12 AM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 17, 2014 10:18 AM Flag

    f40;
    What is happening? It looks like the SNDK earnings has propelled that stock to a higher open and also pulled MU along. SNDK rallied and leveled out and MU rallied and then dropped and rallied back up. MU seems to be stuck at the $23.50 level on the 1 min chart. This is either shorts covering and or new buyers trying to buy technology at a cheaper price from SNDK. OP is still stuck at $22 and I find it hard to believe that the MM's will not try to bring it back down as we still have the rest of the day. A drop below $23.11 could trigger a pullback to a much lower level. The put options that expire today have large drops in price. We could see the stock price reversse latter today to make the call options prices drop.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    A Strong Tailwind coming that may boost MU

    by demerson09 Apr 16, 2014 6:46 PM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 17, 2014 1:26 AM Flag

    advance;

    If you consider the fact that SNDK reported that their SS drive sales were up then that could be considered a negative for MU. MU might recheck $22.70; bt then I believe we will head to $21.93. JMHO

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

  • Reply to

    DEATH DROP

    by xquestor Apr 16, 2014 12:38 PM
    xquestor xquestor Apr 16, 2014 11:42 PM Flag

    element;

    Looks like it played out after hours.

    XQ

    Sentiment: Hold

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