ROFLMAO. You're funny. What a kook. Go hop on one of your other IDs and ride the train of insider selling. You can't even keep all your aliases straight. You crack me up.
Pvance / Censored / Jetmanbash / Arthur1 -- get all your aliases ready. There are bound to be options exercised & those stocks sold before the end of the year.
GET YOUR HYPE-BASHING READY!!!
Prove your ignorance by pretending that insiders are selling...
Wrong. There is only one person who is such a pathetic loser who hangs out on a board where they don't even own any shares of the stock long or short; but only hangs out to pester others out of bitterness and hatred.
Arthur/Censored/Pvance, why do you keep changing IDs? Does Yahoo really keep disabling them?
Anyway. I don't "blindly believe" anything. If you start searching for HoFH diagnosed patients, you quickly realize the number is far more than that errant probabilistic model in Wiki that you keep holding on to. For that matter, why do YOU blindly adhere to the 1-in-a-million number that has already been proven false - and is based on way outdated studies dating back to 1972?
The key question you need to ask is, how many patients (that were diagnosed by their doctors, with nothing to do with AEGR) - does AEGR have in their patient registry database? That number is already over 8,000 with 3,000 in the USA. That is how they KNOW there are more than 300 in the USA. It is simple math to aggregate diagnosed cases worldwide, adding them up around the world to arrive at the 15,000 number.
How long will it take to sign them up? That is the key question, several years to be sure. Maybe 2016 they will cross the 10,000 patient number? Maybe 2017 but that is the time frame.
Why should they tell you how many patients they have? All you are going to do is attack the number, whatever it is, so you can simply attack air in the meantime. That is a no-win game with a moron like you. Any number they give, you will try to discredit. If they don't give a number, then that frustrates you even more and you attack that.
As far as not being able to pay, you've beat that horse to death. People have insurance. Your same beloved Wikipedia - that you reference the 1-in-a-million stat, also states that 87% of the U.S. has health care insurance. So either you believe Wiki - in which case you need to believe both stats, or you don't, and you discredit both. Stop pretending one way and then going another.
In the end, it doesn't matter how many patients there truly are. The only thing that matters is how much money comes in. That is the end-all metric.
All by the numbers:
Calculating 15,000 patients worldwide and $300,000 per year per patient:
Yields $4.5B/year in revenues. Then take the revenue and divide by shares outstanding.
Divide $4.5B by 28M shares and we get a revenue per share of $160.00/share then multiply that by a PE ratio of similar companies to get valuation.
We can recognize the minimal cost impact of about $100M/year but that doesn't materially affect earnings:
at a PE of 10 = $1,600.00/share
at a PE of 20 = $3,150.00/share
at a PE of 40 = $6,300.00/share
So we can easily see that today's share prices are SO incredibly cheap.
We can ignore Jetmanbash /Arthur /AdamWang /Censored / man with a thousand aliases (most of them disabled) as the inconsequential terrorist that he is. He is the guy trying to paint the ugly picture akin to the guy telling you that a human being is worth only 63-cents in terms of chemicals. Smart people can more effectively argue that a human is worth more than $1B in terms of spare parts. Want to auction off a kidney? Spleen? Heart?
It's all in how you look at it.
Every single day is creating value for shareholders while helping patients.
You follow the same mantra of so many extremist groups that try to tell other people what to think. Your deepest fear is people who can think independently for themselves. You are a poor excuse for a human. Now get back to your Muslim terrorist camp.
Not at all. Though that appears to be what you are trying to do.
So, just a simple answer and you are done with the whole issue.
Then again, you already answered it under your other alias, so no big deal.
You have no position whatsoever in AEGR and are simply here out of jealously, bitterness, and hatred.
He still can't answer a simple question.
He is both embarrassed and afraid. LOL - and he wants to tell OTHER people what they should do with THEIR money. What a joker.
Really? You claim to know what I do and don't want? That is your problem jetbasher. You think you know what everybody else is thinking & doing. That proved to be your downfall.
If they don't think the way you do, they must be crooked.
You'd have made an interesting dictator. People like you run the KKK & Muslim terror groups around the world.
Arthur, your logic is flawed as usual. International sales have not yet started, per IR. Talking to IR, they said that international growth especially will be in large clumps as the Nations health care approves the treatment. So in one day they could double the number of patients, then be steady for a month, then another large block come in.
You also ignore the patient pipeline completely. If last quarter they had 215 patients on therapy out of 300 total who applied, and this quarter they had 250 out of 750 who have applied, it would explain he whole situation.
The past doesn't equal the future.
It did bounce, but the stock is struggling right now to be sure.
So what. Nobody cares. Nothing to do with AEGR.
Go run to your buddy Obama to protect you.
So, you have no position whatsoever in the stock.
You aren't long, short, option, or anything else.
But what about all the hate-filled shorts that don't even have a position in the stock. Won't they affect the share price?
No kidding. Just some other moron trying to tell OTHER people what to do with THEIR money. Like the idiots who keep complaining that the CEO actually makes money and gets paid for his efforts (and the poster is just a jealous freak).
If they are long, that makes sense. If they are short, then even if we don't agree, we understand they have a vested interest. But if they are on the sidelines, what the heck are they even doing here besides wasting time?
Do you hold shares long or are you short the stock? Or worse, do you have no position whatsoever?