This seems fairly simple.. the US has decided that they will have a policy to stop oil imports...or at least reduce dramatically our dependence on outside oil. In order for that to happen oil has to be above a number that sustains the domestic US drillers...again they (US govt) will MAKE that happen. Short term OPEC has a little clout - but long term the US Govt gets what the US Govt wants. Period. High oil / little import... the rest of the world can go choke on it...all they have to do is put a limit on oil imports - or decide (read spin) that a country / region is an enemy of the state and there ya go ...boom. Easy.