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Vanguard Global ex-US Real Estate ETF Message Board

zebra887 9 posts  |  Last Activity: Jun 29, 2014 2:23 AM Member since: Feb 27, 2000
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  • zebra887 zebra887 Jun 29, 2014 2:23 AM Flag

    I suspect there is going to be a sell off in the metals through next week, and potentially of oil, if declining commodity trends, generally, are not offset by Iraq considerations. $43.35 could be seen if oil breaks $105 and gold and silver go into full scale retreat which the commitment of traders report strongly suggest they will.

    Looking for about a $2.50 correction....similar to others seen in the not too distant past.

  • Reply to

    New high new players CNQ 44.80

    by carolyn_novice Jun 20, 2014 12:58 PM
    zebra887 zebra887 Jun 20, 2014 8:25 PM Flag

    Big move in the after hours...wonder if it was on volume....Trend is strong; I think you'll see the $47.50 high end of the range hit and exceeded sooner than the next three months.

    Sentiment: Buy

  • zebra887 zebra887 May 19, 2014 11:55 AM Flag

    Valid point about higher taxes though I am not sure your numbers below prove that the tax is now 40% on incremental income going forward. Based on taxes paid in the last quarter the rate would be 42.7%. I think we'll find out when accounting stabilizes following the change that its its around 25%...If you find out from the horse's mouth something different please let us know....of course after you sell your shares.

    Sentiment: Hold

  • zebra887 zebra887 May 13, 2014 10:30 PM Flag

    good presentation, showing massive increase in free cash flow going forward....good for dividends and buy backs....thanks for posting the availability of the presentation.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

  • or dividend seekers piling in for the payout.....I suspect we'll see a post dividend day pullback to the gap left today above $10.40....hope so at least...This item has been performing very well this year, quite the opposite from last year when miners were tanking and the distribution was cut...Higher miner and oil company stock prices ought to bring back the distribution which will fuel further increases in GGN price...

  • Reply to

    21.50

    by sharpie3444 May 7, 2014 3:09 PM
    zebra887 zebra887 May 7, 2014 6:53 PM Flag

    Good analysis, enjoy your posts...finding them of value.

  • Estimate now is for earnings of 9 cent per share in the first quarter and 41 cents for the year. I quickly did the calculation and the year end PE would be 25 if the price were just over $10 for AG's stock...If year end earnings looked likely to jump 50% due to a similar increase in the price of silver (maybe something a little less) and investors became so carried away with the prospects for silver miners, given a higher price of silver (say something approaching $30, again,) such that they were willing to afford AG a 30PE on say 60 cents of earnings, AG's share price would be $18.

    Seemingly it is going to take something pretty earth shaking to get JPMorgan's boot off the neck of the silver price, however. First problem is establishing that there is any shortage of silver. Why isn't the silver ETF SLV raided for silver the way that GLD is...I would be grand to hear one of the bullish perma bulls answer that question.

    I believe it is entirely possible that with the US government in control of these markets that they may stay depressed for YEARS to come....Sprott, Embry, and others could be in their graves before a 50% rally in Silver occurs and is sustained...key word "sustained"...

  • Reply to

    PDH Xdiv today

    by reading_tee_leaves May 1, 2014 9:55 AM
    zebra887 zebra887 May 1, 2014 4:01 PM Flag

    Quite the shake out for going x-dividend...almost twice the dividend amount .... Was the rise to $14 just dividend chasers who are now bailing...? Added shares at $12.65 which I notice are under water...oh well...

    Sentiment: Buy

  • Reply to

    Dividend Questions

    by hulcal Apr 7, 2014 3:39 PM
    zebra887 zebra887 Apr 12, 2014 10:22 PM Flag

    My impression is that there is a 15% withholding on dividends but that amount is a credit on your US return...No need to file Canadian tax return...I am not a tax expert, only speaking from my own experience. Thinking on adding on this pull back..

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