Affymetrix, ZAIS Financial and Capstead Mortgage highlighted as Zacks Bull and Bear of the Day

Zacks

For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – June 25, 2014– Zacks Equity Research highlights Affymetrix (AFFX-Free Report) as the Bull of the Day and ZAIS Financial Corp. (ZFC-Free Report)  as the Bear of the Day. In addition, Zacks Equity Research provides analysis on Capstead Mortgage Corp (CMO-Free Report).
 
Here is a synopsis of all three stocks:

Bull of the Day:

Headquartered in Santa Clara, California, Affymetrix (AFFX-Free Report) is a leading provider of microarray-based products and services to the global research community. The company utilizes its DNA chip technology in areas of gene expression, analysis, and clinical application to help treat infectious diseases, cancer, and other ailments.
 
Affymetrix has 1,100 employees globally and has a sales and distribution network across U.S., Latin America, Europe and Asia.
 
The company has two reportable operating segments: Affymetrix Core (71.6% of revenues in Q1 2014) and eBioscience (28.4%).
 
Solid First Quarter Results 
 
AFFX reported its Q1 results on May 1. Total revenue for the quarter was $83 million, up 6.4% from the same period last year, with strength in Genetic Analysis, eBio business units, and modest improvement in Expression business.
 
According to the management the business strengthened in both North America and Europe but results were mixed in APAC—with excellent growth in China, while Japan remained challenging.
 
Adjusted earnings for the quarter were $1.9 million or $0.03 per share, compared to a loss of $0.9 million or $0.01 a share in Q1 2013 and ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by a penny.
 
Reported net loss was $10.5 million or $0.14 per share compared with a net loss of $15.4 million or $0.22 per share in the first quarter of 2013.
 
Positive Earnings Estimates Revisions 
 
After better than expected results, analysts have revised their earnings estimates for the company in the past few weeks.
 
Zacks Consensus Estimates for the current year and the next year now stand at $0.16 per share and $0.20 per share respectively, up from $0.10 per share and $0.13 per share, 60 days ago.
 
The Bottom Line
 
Affymetrix recently reported profits for the first time since the first quarter of 2011. The company's restructuring plan to focus on high growth markets appears to be finally paying off as evident from the bottom- line growth in the reported quarter.

Bear of the Day:

Incorporated in Maryland in 2011, ZAIS Financial Corp. (ZFC-Free Report) is a Mortgage REIT that invests in a diversified portfolio of residential mortgage assets, other real estate-related securities and financial assets. 
 
The company invests in non-Agency RMBS as well as Agency RMBS. They are externally managed and advised by ZAIS REIT Management.
 
ZFC completed its IPO in February 2013, raising $119 million. As of the end of the previous quarter, it had total investment portfolio of $659 million with 63% asset allocation and 67% equity allocation to residential mortgage loans. Current leverage ratio for ZFC is 2.90x.
 
Disappointing First Quarter Results 
 
ZFC reported core earnings of $1.5 million or $0.17 per share for Q1 2014.  The results were significantly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.39 per share. In the last four quarters, the company has managed to meet estimates only once and has missed in the three quarters with a negative quarterly surprise of 35.9%.
 
Interest income for the quarter was $9.5 million compared with $3.4 million for Q1 2013. The increase in interest income was mainly due to the deployment of capital raised in the IPO and issuance of 8% Notes. This was partially offset by a decrease in the average RMBS portfolio balance.
 
Interest expense for the quarter was $3.9 million compared with $0.5 million for the same quarter of 2013. The increase in interest expense was due to an increase in borrowings.
 
Downward Revisions
 
Due to disappointing results, quarterly and annual estimates have been revised sharply downwards in the past few weeks by analysts.
 
Zacks Consensus Estimates for the current and next year now stand at $1.42 per share and $1.82 per share, from $1.75 per share and $1.93 per share, 60 days ago.
 
Declining estimates sent ZFC back to Zacks Rank # 5 (Strong Sell) last month.
 
The Bottom Line
 
Since its public debut, the stock has traded below its IPO price of $21.25.  A juicy dividend yield of 9.6% may tempt some investors to buy the stock but they should remember that the stock has been consistently and significantly underperforming the broader market and the chances of a turnaround are rather low.
 
Further, the interest rates are likely to start inching up sometime soon and will negatively impact the company’s earnings.
 
Mortgage industry is currently ranked163 out of 265 (Bottom 31%) among Zacks industries.
 
Better Play in the Industry?
 
Investors could look at Capstead Mortgage Corp (CMO-Free Report)a Zacks #1 (Strong Buy) stock. CMO manages a portfolio of adjustable-rate mortgage (:ARM), issued and guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae.
 
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About the Bull and Bear of the Day
 
Every day, the analysts at Zacks Equity Research select two stocks that are likely to outperform (Bull) or underperform (Bear) the markets over the next 3-6 months.
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