Mon, May 28, 2012, 1:52 AM EDT - U.S. Markets closed for Memorial Day

Airlines forecast to buy $3.5T of new jets by 2030

Airbus says global airlines will need new planes worth $3.5 trillion between 2010 and 2030

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SINGAPORE (AP) -- Global airlines will need $3.5 trillion of new planes through 2030, with more than a third of that demand coming from Asia, Airbus's chief executive said Wednesday.

The aviation industry will require 27,800 new planes of 100-plus seating capacity between 2010 and 2030 while Asia will likely take delivery of about 9,370 of those planes worth $1.3 trillion, CEO Tom Enders said.

"Our business isn't moving to the East, it has moved to the East," Enders said during a news conference at the Singapore Airshow. "We're focused on Asia because that's where most of our growth comes from."

Airbus is wrestling longtime rival Boeing for the burgeoning Asian market. Asia provided half of Airbus's 1,600 firm orders last year. Boeing scored its biggest deal ever in November when Indonesian budget carrier Lion Air agreed to buy 230 planes for $22 billion.

Boeing said earlier this week it expects airlines will need 33,500 new planes worth $4 trillion by 2030, with Asia accounting for about 35 percent of that total.

Asia is expected to account for 33 percent of global air passengers by 2030, up from a current 28 percent, according to Airbus. Europe will likely drop to 23 percent from 27 percent and the U.S. will fall to 20 percent from 27 percent, Airbus said.

Enders reiterated that Airbus is fixing small cracks found on the wings of some of its A380s. Airbus is inspecting all 69 A380s it has delivered so far after carriers such as Singapore Airlines and Qantas reported small wing fissures in December.

Airbus delivered 22 of the super jumbos to Asian carriers last year and expects to deliver 30 more worldwide this year.

"We made a mistake and it will cost the company quite some money," Enders said, declining to specify how much money. "We understand the root causes and we'll soon have a final fix."

"This plane is absolutely safe to fly," he said.

The A320neo, which seats up to 180 passengers, has become a favorite of Asia's growing budget airline sector. Airbus delivered 546 of the planes to Asia last year.

Asian banks are also taking a bigger role in financing plane purchases, accounting for 20 percent of deliveries to the region last year, Enders said.

"If we should lose some financing capacity in Europe, I'm quite confident we can substitute that in Asia," Enders said.

Enders said Airbus isn't worried that orders may fall this year as the global economy slows because the company has an order backlog of 4,500 planes and is currently producing about 550 a year.

"We're really not concerned if we have a year or two where the order intake is considerably less than 2011," Enders said.

No large new plane orders have been announced so far at the Singapore Airshow, which runs February 14 to 19.

France-based Airbus is the world's largest aircraft manufacturer. Chicago-based Boeing is the second-largest.

 

13 comments

  • Walt  •  Reno, Nevada  •  3 months ago
    Personally I can't begin to fathom 3.5 trillion dollars... 0bama calls it petty cash..
  • lal  •  Colombo, Sri Lanka  •  3 months ago
    Alternative Fundamental to measure global economy
  • Quester1k  •  3 months ago
    You are all Id10ts. Not one of you has a clue.
  • Road Warrior  •  3 months ago
    Sweeeet.... nice job.
  • me  •  Richardson, Texas  •  3 months ago
    Wall St's continued greed and avarice has manipulated oil up to $100 a barrel. This is an enormous threat to the world’s economy! If you don't know it; listen up! Oil refineries all over the world are shutting down! Refineries in Hawaii, St Croix, Houston, Philly, Delaware, other places in the US, and Europe are shutting down! They’re shutting down for three reasons (1) The price of oil is too high. A refiner’s margins are so small at these high prices, not only can they not make money, most refineries have lost money. (Thanks speculators on Wall St!) (2) There is a glut of oil and distillates and no place left to store it. It’s been this way for a while (3 years). Some refineries are turning into oil storage facilities. They can make more money from renting tanks to banks and hedge funds than they can make by producing product. (3) Due to the European oil embargo on Iran, Iran is selling oil at a heavily discounted rate to Asian refineries who will sell refined products to us cheaper than American refineries. Bottom line; WE ARE SO SCREWED!!! If we aren’t drawn in to a war with Iran that affects the Strait of Hormuz , the bottleneck that much of the worlds oil has to pass through, then we’ll be affected by the refineries shutting down. Eventually, as our economies improve there will be terrible shortages of product. It takes time for refineries to come back on line. Expect shortages to skyrocket oil and distillates to the sky. Repeal the Commodities Modernization Act of 2000 and the Financial Modernization Act of 1999 and get speculators out of the Commodities markets!!!
    • Quester1k 3 months ago
      What are you on about your #$%$ Comment on the story not your frigging misguided rhetoric.
    • Rascal Dog 3 months ago
      There is only so much oil under the ground. Once all of that is has been drilled, pumped, refined and burnt, we will no longer need oil refineries.
      The USA has long had a surplus of oil refineries. We import oil, refine it and export the products (gasoline, jet fuel, heating oil, etc.). The US is an increasing exporter of products, not an importer.
      Think carefully: Would a shortage of refinery capacity increase crude oil prices? Refineries buy crude oil and sell products. Too little oil being bought by too few refineries would cause crude oil price to fall, not rise.
  • Magdala  •  Orléans, France  •  3 months ago
    This is where America's airlines can do the country a lot of good by buying exclusively from Boeing or other American aircraft markets for commuter planes. Besides Airbus scares me because they are finding cracks in their new planes. That's all we need is for the wings or tail to fall off in-flight.
  • paul  •  Fairfield, Montana  •  3 months ago
    Big deal, that's almost 20 years from now. At the rate criminal Bernanke and friends are going, a tomato will be $20 by then...
  • Jonas Jacob  •  3 months ago
    Wow, 3 Trillion in 18 years, thats 20 billion a year, now way on earth can Airlines afford that, here comes some equity raisings or new bond issues.
  • Wolfgangjr  •  Raleigh, North Carolina  •  3 months ago
    Trillion, say it, as the word rolls off your tongue. The media makes it sound like the word trillion comes from the five and dime store.
  • D  •  3 months ago
    Anybody play Aerobiz back in the day? It always made me laugh when it only took three months to deliver planes.
  • Dennis M  •  Little Rock, Arkansas  •  3 months ago
    WHAT A BUNCH OF PROPAGANDA. HECK, THEY DON'T KNOW WHAT WILL HAPPEN 3 MONTHS FROM NOW, MUCH LESS IN 2030. OBAMA #$%$ TEAM IN ACTION!
  • GC  •  Reno, Nevada  •  3 months ago
    More propaganda to push up the value of their stock
  • Mel  •  3 months ago
    in 20 years one plane will cost that bla bla bla
    • Wolfgangjr 3 months ago
      Go ahead and say it, "trillion". I'm not going to worry about 2020, thru 2030. I've got enough on my plate getting through 2012.
 
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