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California Pending Home Sales Decline in November, but Year-to-Year Sales Post Higher for Seventh Straight Month, C.A.R. Reports

LOS ANGELES--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Pending home sales in California fell in November but were up from the previous year for the seventh consecutive month. Additionally, distressed home sales dropped in November from both the previous month and year, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (C.A.R.) reported today.

Pending home sales:

California pending home sales fell 9.1 percent in November but were up from a year ago, according to C.A.R.’s Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI)*. The index was 109.8 in November, based on contracts signed in that month, down from October’s index of a revised 120.9. However, the index was up 11 percent from November 2010, marking the seventh consecutive month that pending sales rose from the previous year. Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, providing information on the future direction of the market.

“The strong year-over-year growth in pending sales observed in the last several months suggests we should see an increase in December’s closed sales over the same month last year,” said C.A.R. President LeFrancis Arnold.

Distressed housing market data:

  • At 55.1 percent, equity sales made up more than half of home sales in November, up from 53.9 percent in October and 54.4 percent in November 2010.
  • The total share of all distressed property types sold statewide fell to 44.9 percent in November, down from October’s 46.1 percent and 45.6 percent in November 2010.
  • Of the distressed properties sold statewide in November, 21 percent were short sales, up slightly from the previous month’s share of 20.7 percent and up from last November’s share of 19 percent.
  • At 23.5 percent, the share of REO sales was down from October’s 24.9 percent, and down from the 26.2 percent reported in November 2010.

Multimedia:

  • View a chart of closed housing sales by sales type.
  • View a chart of pending sales compared with closed sales.
  • View a chart of the historical trend in the share of equity sales compared with distressed sales.
  • View a chart of housing supply for REOs, short sales, and equity sales.
                             

Share of Distressed Sales to Total Sales

(Single-family)

 
Type of Sale          

Nov.

2010

         

Oct.

2011

         

Nov.

2011

REOs           26.2 %           24.9 %           23.5 %
Short Sales           19.0 %           20.7 %           21.0 %
Other Distressed Sales (Not Specified)           0.4 %           0.5 %           0.4 %
Total Distressed Sales           45.6 %           46.1 %           44.9 %
 
 
                             

Single-family Distressed Home Sales by Select Counties

(Percent of total sales)

 
County          

Nov.

2010

         

Oct.

2011

         

Nov.

2011

Amador           56 %           46 %           44 %
Butte           42 %           43 %           36 %
Humboldt           27 %           28 %           28 %
Kern           70 %           67 %           60 %
Lake           74 %           78 %           58 %
Los Angeles           46 %           48 %           46 %
Madera           56 %           89 %           88 %
Marin           26 %           26 %           30 %
Mendocino           55 %           49 %           52 %
Merced           65 %           58 %           64 %
Monterey           62 %           61 %           59 %
Napa           56 %           46 %           53 %
Orange           35 %           36 %           36 %
Riverside           67 %           63 %           61 %
Sacramento           65 %           64 %           63 %
San Benito           72 %           72 %           65 %
San Bernardino           65 %           65 %           64 %
San Diego           26 %           28 %           27 %
San Luis Obispo           46 %           46 %           44 %
San Mateo           21 %           23 %           28 %
Santa Clara           34 %           34 %           32 %
Santa Cruz           46 %           40 %           46 %
Siskiyou           39 %           37 %           33 %
Solano           75 %           72 %           72 %
Sonoma           50 %           51 %           51 %
Tehama           50 %           49 %           54 %
California           46 %           46 %           45 %
 
 

*Note: C.A.R.’s pending sales information is generated from a survey of more than 70 associations of REALTORS® and MLSs throughout the state. Pending home sales are forward-looking indicators of future home sales activity, offering solid information on future changes in the direction of the market. A sale is listed as pending after a seller has accepted a sales contract on a property. The majority of pending home sales usually becomes closed sales transactions one to two months later. The year 2008 was used as the benchmark for the Pending Homes Sales Index. An index of 100 is equal to the average level of contract activity during 2008.

Leading the way...® in California real estate for more than 100 years, the CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® (www.car.org) is one of the largest state trade organizations in the United States, with 155,000 members dedicated to the advancement of professionalism in real estate. C.A.R. is headquartered in Los Angeles.

Contact:
CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS ®
Lotus Lou, (213) 739-8304
lotusl@car.org

 

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