Employed primarily by professional currency traders, the concept behind the carry trade is easy to understand. In a carry trade, the trader borrows or sells a low interest rate currency, such as the Japanese yen or U.S. dollar, and uses the proceeds to buy a high interest rate equivalent, such as the New Zealand dollar.
Exchange traded funds allow regular investors to employ a similar strategy, which has proven advantageous this year as interest rates remain low in the U.S. and Japan.
“Given the divergent economic tendencies among dollar-bloc currencies, carry trades that are long Australian or New Zealand currency and short U.S. or Canadian dollars still offer risk-eager investors opportunities for arbitraging yields. A long Australian or New Zealand trade, combined with a short U.S. position established at the end of last year, for instance, would have garnered risk-keen investors 6.7% and 7.1%, respectively,” said S&P Capital IQ in a new research note.
The research firm highlighted the PowerShares DB G10 Currency Harvest Fund (DBV) as one avenue for investors looking to put on a carry trade without directly tapping the forex spot market.
DBV has lost $93.4 million in assets this year, but those sales of the ETF have been ill-timed. Ill-time because, among other factors, DBV is long the Australian and New Zealand dollar. Although Australia’s interest rates have come down over the past several years, the country has some of the highest rates in the developed world.
Add to that New Zealand raised rates earlier this year and more of the same is expected from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. The Aussie and the kiwi have helped DBV gain more than 4% this year. [New Zealand ETFs Soars After Rate Hike]
“Apart from the carry trade opportunities offered by dollar-bloc currencies, the 1.6% and 3.2% spot year-to-date returns of U.K. pounds in relation to the U.S. dollar and the euro, respectively, clearly reflect the policy achievements that have laid the groundwork for the improvement in U.K. economic conditions under the adroit stewardship of Prime Minister David Cameron and Chancellor George Osborne,” added S&P Capital IQ.
Amid expectations the Bank of England could raise rates before year-end, the CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust (FXB) is up 3.1% this year and closed Monday at its highest levels since the fourth quarter of 2008. [Sterling Soars on Rate Hike Hints]
The db X-Trackers MSCI Europe Hedged Equity Fund (DBEU) is an equity-based ETF though it offers own carry trade properties by hedging exposure of fluctuations between the U.S. dollar and several European currencies, including the pound, euro and Nordic currencies.
- interest rate
- New Zealand