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Corn prices plunge on higher supply forecast

Corn plunges on higher supply; wheat, beans also fall; other commodity prices mostly higher

The price of corn plunged Thursday after the government said corn supplies were higher than traders expected. Investors had bid the price up, expecting tighter supplies because of weather damage to crops.

Corn for March delivery fell 40 cents, or 6.1 percent, to $6.115 per bushel. The price has fallen 24 percent from June, when concerns about a potential shortage sent the price to a record $7.99.

The Agriculture Department said farmers produced 12.358 billion bushels of corn last year, slightly higher than its estimate a month ago. It predicted supplies will drop 2 million bushels to 846 million bushels by the end of this year's harvest. Analysts said traders had expected that number to be closer to 750 million bushels.

The U.S. Agriculture Department forecast would still leave both domestic and global supplies at fairly tight levels by summer's end.

The global corn supply forecast was little changed at 128.14 million metric tons. The agency said losses in Argentina due to dry weather should be offset by increased production in the United States, parts of Europe and Russia compared with a year ago.

"Everything in this report was bearish — yes, short-term maybe, but long-term, I'm still very bullish," said John Sanow, an analyst with Telvent DTN. "Demand remains very strong."

Wheat and soybean prices also fell, partly because of the drop in the price of corn. March wheat fell 36 cents, or 5.6 percent, to finish at $6.05 per bushel, while soybeans ended down 20.5 cents, or 1.7 percent, at $11.825 per bushel.

In other trading, metals prices were mostly higher after strong bond auctions in Spain and Italy. Investors were more optimistic about improving demand, particularly if Europe can gain control over its financial crisis.

Gold for February delivery rose $8.10 to finish at $1,647.70 an ounce. In March contracts, silver increased 23.4 cents to end at $30.124 per ounce, copper rose 10.3 cents to $3.649 per pound, and palladium fell $4.40 to $641.25 per ounce. April platinum settled up $2.40 at $1,500.10 an ounce.

Benchmark oil fell $1.77 to finish at $99.10 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Heating oil dropped 1.05 cents to $3.0541 per gallon, gasoline futures fell 3.2 cents to $2.7313 per gallon, and natural gas decreased 6.6 cents to $2.737 per 1,000 cubic feet.

Orange juice futures continued to plummet. They rose to their highest since 2007 earlier this week after the Food and Drug Administration said it was testing shipments for a fungicide that had been found in low levels in orange juice. Investors have taken profits since then. Orange juice for March delivery fell 10 cents, or 5.3 percent, to $1.781 per pound.

 

41 comments

  • BKG1949  •  Montoursville, Pennsylvania  •  1 month 10 days ago
    How can this be true? We've been told by business types that ethynol production was causing shortages and price hikes for corn.
  • billiam  •  Southfield, Michigan  •  1 month 10 days ago
    And if only we could use all our corn as food instead of trying to take alot of the crop producing an economically unfeasible source of fuel...
  • ahdskjgfabcjkajhfklash  •  Elmhurst, Illinois  •  1 month 8 days ago
    Next month prices will soar on supply concerns, the game never ends
  • claudeb  •  Corpus Christi, Texas  •  1 month 8 days ago
    EEEEEEEhhhhhaaaaaaaa.... Cheaper "Moonshine!"
  • Patrick  •  1 month 10 days ago
    OMG, QE3 is on its way. Corn prices are dropping despite bad global weather conditions. earthquake, typhoon, flooding & drought in places where crops are devastated. By pushing down some elements of cost, Bernake will justify low inflation in support of QE3 and taxpayers get screwed BIG time. Election for OBAMA is going to be really EXPENSIVE for you, so WISH & WISH HARD for an INDEPENDENT to throw a SPANNER into the CORRUPT system. RON PAUL should run as independent against MITT Rommey...
  • B  •  Columbia, Missouri  •  1 month 9 days ago
    Corn costs people a lot more than they think - the subsidies and price supports are obscene. Crop insurance costs to the taxpayer have increased from 2 to 6 billion per year since 2000 because corn is planted on riskier land (to the northandwest). Producers cant lose because they can buy insurance to guarantee 85% of the profit they expecvted at the beginning of the season. The government pays 60% of the cost of insurance premiums and insurance companies can shift the riskiest claims to the government to pay if the crop is damagerd. This in times of economic crisis.
  • zxcvzxcv  •  1 month 9 days ago
    so either grocery prices will drop or wall st will pocket the difference...hmmm
  • claudeb  •  Corpus Christi, Texas  •  1 month 8 days ago
    Well, DON'T expect a can of corn to go down in price at your local foodstore!!!!
  • Believe_Me  •  Ashburn, Virginia  •  1 month 7 days ago
    Everybody and their brother was growing corn this past year since our ethanol push took place a few years ago. Now, the subsidies for the ethanol program have been cut. Also, Wall Street analysts make for terrible weathermen and farmers. No kidding they were wrong in their forecast. That was just to get the price up before the subsidies were pulled so they could make their last windfall before being first to dump their holdings. Sorry sheep. Supply will eventually match demand. Give it a year and a half.
  • Hacks  •  Cincinnati, Ohio  •  1 month 10 days ago
    The ethonal price is based on the price of gasoline because its 10% of the finished product. Gas = $3.50 a gallon then ethonal is worth $3.50 a gallon. the only thing the price of corn has to do with it is how much profit the ethonal company's will make.
  • Billpayer  •  1 month 6 days ago
    Natural Gas is the new 800 lb. Elephant coming to be our future energy, Better make Plans
  • Billpayer  •  1 month 7 days ago
    To even out the Playing Field, Why not make all the Commodity Buyers, have to take control of recently bought items pay for, and hold them for 48 hrs.
  • jerry  •  Indianapolis, Indiana  •  1 month 7 days ago
    Govt. dropped $4 billion subsidies to Corn but when the GOP was ask to drop $6 billion to Oil they No! Middle America has to redistribute their tax dollars to the 1%. Liability to taxpayers.
  • Hacks  •  Cincinnati, Ohio  •  1 month 10 days ago
    Remember people of America the farmer is the only buisness that buys everything at retail and sells everything for wholesale.
  • FreedomHawk  •  Carol Stream, Illinois  •  1 month 7 days ago
    What??? We need inflation! Obama should burn all the corn and slaughter all the livestock! Then he should get Ben Bernanke to start printing massive amounts of money. Then he needs to lower interest rates to near ZERO percent. Oh, steps 2 and 3 have already been done. Step 1 is just around the corner with these Fools running things...
  • Lauren  •  1 month 8 days ago
    THIS and THAT....IN and OUT...LEFT and RIGHT...but guess what...Prices only go UP and never come DOWN...doesn't matter if there is higher supply or not...Can you spell O.I.L.?
  • Richard  •  Manila, Philippines  •  1 month 10 days ago
    Stop using corn for fuel and encrease the usage of natural gas which is now below $3. Corn, food and meat prices will drop considerably.
  • ahdskjgfabcjkajhfklash  •  Elmhurst, Illinois  •  1 month 8 days ago
    Bottom line buy MOS, POT CF, AGU
  • Matthew Schilling  •  Corning, New York  •  1 month 7 days ago
    330 million people x 2,000 calories per day = 660 billion calories needed per day. A bushel of corn provides approx 90,000 calories. So, we in the U.S. need 7.33 million bushels each and every day. That's about 2.7 billion bushels for a full year. This report says we have only a third of that amount set aside.
    Now, obviously, we don't only get our calories from corn. For instance, we get a lot from meat, don't we? Well, it takes about 3 pounds of corn (as animal feed) to produce 1 pound of meat. So, the calories in meat aren't helping; they're making our 'national pantry' situation worse. (NOTE: I am NOT a vegetarian).
    We are one very bad growing year away from serious hunger in America. Yet, America is the Saudi Arabia of food. So if we go hungry, then, tens of thousands of people around the world will starve to death.
    Since we cannot eat coal or drink petroleum, I say it is not only inhumane to burn ONE THIRD of this year's corn crop in gas tanks as ethanol, I think it is border-line suicidal.
  • Middleman  •  White Marsh, Maryland  •  1 month 7 days ago
    Great, a corn bubble, so that makes what, popcorn?
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