Mon, May 28, 2012, 9:52 AM EDT - U.S. Markets closed for Memorial Day

ECB cuts rate, has no bigger bond-purchase plan

European Central Bank cuts key rate, says it has no existing plan to step up bond purchases

FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) -- The European Central Bank took modest steps Thursday to help revive Europe's economy and financial system, including cutting a key interest rate. But President Mario Draghi said there is no existing plan for large-scale government bond purchases, as markets had been hoping.

The ECB cut its key interest rate by a quarter percentage point to 1 percent and announced it would extend longer-term emergency loans to banks and other measures to stimulate lending and investing.

Stocks and the euro fell heavily on Draghi's remarks, which lowered expectations that the central bank is preparing to take much more aggressive action as the eurozone economy slides toward recession because of the debt crisis.

It was the second rate cut in only five weeks for the bank, the top monetary authority for the 17 nations that use the euro. But markets are hopeful that the ECB will soon take more aggressive steps to save the euro.

European stocks and the euro were steady after the rate decision, which had been expected.

ECB President Mario Draghi has said the eurozone economy could be heading for a mild recession. The rate cut is intended to promote economic growth and business optimism that policymakers are tackling the crisis. A slowing economy would only make it harder for European governments to pay down debt.

Analysts said the rate cut would have only a modest impact, at best. "I thought they'd be more aggressive and cut by 50 basis points because the economy looks like it's heading for recession and the banking sector is facing big pressures," said Neil MacKinnon, global macro strategist at VTB Capital.

Draghi hinted in a speech last week that further bond purchases were possible if Europe's leaders can come up with a credible plan to enforce budget discipline among the 17 countries that use the euro. That is the goal of an EU summit in Brussels that begins Thursday evening.

Large-scale bond purchases would help drive down government borrowing costs, which have risen to crippling levels in Italy and Spain, Europe's third- and fourth-largest economies.

By stabilizing the finances of Europe's governments, the ECB would strengthen the continent's financial system. European commercial banks that own government bonds face potentially huge losses and, as a result, they have curtailed lending to each other, banks and consumers. That credit squeeze is felt globally.

Yet even a broad agreement to reduce debt and to have the ECB intervene aggressively wouldn't fix deeper problems in the eurozone: anemic growth and high unemployment in some countries and long-term trade deficits.

Throughout the Great Recession, the ECB never lowered its target rate below 1 percent. By comparison, the U.S. Federal Reserve's target for short-term rates is 0-0.25 percent and the Bank of England's 0.5 percent.

The ECB raised rates twice earlier this year, in April and July, under former President Jean-Claude Trichet. It cut rates at Draghi's first policy meeting Nov. 3.

Lower rates are intended to stimulate growth by making it cheaper for businesses and consumers to borrow and spend. In the third quarter, economic growth in the eurozone was a meager 0.2 percent. Many economists believe the region's economy will shrink in the fourth quarter.

Lower interest rates can also push prices and wages higher. The fear of stoking inflation was a major reason why the ECB had been cautious about lowering rates earlier this year. But many economists say that with Europe likely headed for a mild recession, and possibly worse, the greater danger on the horizon is deflation, or falling prices and wages.

The inflation rate in Europe stands at 3.0 percent. That's above the bank's stated goal of just under 2 percent. But the bank forecasts it will fall in coming months.

Even more than the fear of inflation, the main factor holding back stepped-up bond purchases by the ECB is worry that the pressure on governments to enforce budgetary discipline would then fade.

On Dec. 1, Draghi urged European leaders to agree on "a fiscal compact" that would prevent eurozone governments from piling up too much debt and punish violators.

He then said: "Other elements might follow, but the sequencing matters."

Markets seized on that to mean that the central bank was ready to get more aggressive in fighting the debt crisis.

The ECB has several options to intervene more forcefully. It could:

— Explicitly tell markets that it won't permit Italian and Spanish bond yields to rise above, say, 5 percent. The central bank would then buy bonds until the yields fall to that level.

— Ramp up its purchases without an announcement and let the markets take notice.

— Issue a more vague statement that it stands ready to support governments.

— Lend to the International Monetary Fund, which could then help expand the size of Europe's bailout fund.

Not everyone is convinced financial markets are interpreting Draghi's comments accurately. "I think the market got carried away in interpreting this as a strong hint that the ECB will step up buying" of government bonds, said Stefan Schneider, chief international economist at Deutsche Bank.

Schneider said that if Europe's leaders reach a convincing agreement in Brussels, private investors might start buying bonds on a large enough scale to drive down government borrowing costs.

Since Europe's debt crisis erupted in 2008, the ECB has let banks borrow any amount they want for set periods. It has also made limited purchases of government bonds.

The ECB's main decision-making body is a 23-member governing council, chaired by Draghi. It is made up of the top central banker from each of the 17 countries that use the euro, plus a six-member executive committee that manages the bank's business at its Frankfurt headquarters.

Two members of the ECB's executive board will be leaving at the end of the year. Both were known for their anti-inflation stances.

 

29 comments

  • Raffles Wilson  •  5 months ago
    I just wish this is the best thing that they can do... I'm sick of red and falling markets...
  • Money  •  5 months ago
    The Euro is toast. We could see .02 move down today.
  • William Long  •  5 months ago
    Is it time to investigate the stock market investments of these Europeans "Leaders?" who have with regularity moved the markets up and down over the past months by opening their mouths to create a hope...then fear...then hope....then fear and on and on. Sort of what went on with our own "Leaders?" and the US debt crisis...hmmm..wondering about this whole thing. The only difference thusfar is that we have been left with nothing but fear...not much hope.
  • Money  •  5 months ago
    Just wait until we see the report that every Euro nation bought the US Dollar.
  • P  •  5 months ago
    A 1% reserve requirement means the banks do not have your money! If you have $10,000 they are only required to have $100 of it! You are a fool if you don't pull your money out of the banks, they are bankrupt!!!!!
  • David  •  5 months ago
    Euro should be deflated as prescribed by Roubini.
  • srb  •  5 months ago
    Isn't there a Pokemon quote to go with this action?
  • RickB  •  5 months ago
    what did you expect from these vampires? The Rothschild family has been sucking the blood of the people for over 200 years...they don't give a shit...they have underground lairs prepared for when the system collapses..
  • Faked Man  •  5 months ago
    For Pete's sake, just default already and get it over with. Then we can start the healing process.
  • David  •  5 months ago
    No more hope-bubbles, there is no plan for solving big debt.
  • Emilia  •  5 months ago
    I have the solution for people dieing with AIDs and CANCER. -Massive injections of drugs everyday.. Don't worry I am a Doctor. AIDS, CANCER, LIVER FAILURE, BLEEDING LUNGS???... its all okay! I will intervene with injections and prop your body so you will get back on track!.. TRUST ME I just had a Medical Summit with the top International Medical Experts. We found the solution. I know you feel and look like your half dead.. but's its just a soft patch. You will be fine because we humans are resilient and our medical staff is strong! I have an unlimited supply of drugs that I can give you and it will solve your problems.
    • Thomas 5 months ago
      What an asshole you are
  • Money  •  5 months ago
    Go ahead ECB and cut cut cut and devalue the Euro.
  • David  •  5 months ago
    EU economics is going down. US market trends should be off-hook with EU markets'.
  • P  •  5 months ago
    1% reserves, This is really BAD NEWS. Europe is bankrupt! The rich are also bankrupt they just don't know it yet becasue they haven't tried to get all their money out of the banks yet.
  • Andre Aurel  •  5 months ago
    Yesterday's juicy bull steak was just a lure today is the extermination
  • M.  •  5 months ago
    Some demands to turn the country around.

    1. Immediately stop the production of ethanol from corn. And you wonder why food prices are high?? Farmers lobbyist love Congress.

    2. Ban the trading of oil/commodities and go to a simple supply and demand pricing. But no,, you want hedge funds telling you what you are going to pay for a gallon of gas don't you... Let me explain something to you about the price of gas and how it effects middle income and low income Americans disposable income. These are the people who's spending drives the economy. The average American drives ten thousand miles a year... At an average of twenty two miles per gallon that is four hundred and fifty four gallons a year you will purchase. The difference between $1.50 a gallon and $3.50 a gallon comes to $75 a month. That is a lot of money they would of had to put back into the economy. Now add the price of food that has gone up because of these ridiculous pump prices and you take another $100 dollars a month increase out of an average Americans pocket and we have not got to the municipalities who are going broke because of the fuel prices to run the school buses,, police and Fire equipment and so on. If you think Oil companies or the Banks give a shit about the economy you sir are an IDIOT. Yes, we have the best politicians Money can buy, and don't you ever forget it.

    3. Term limits, vote all incumbents out. The days of party loyalty are over, as well as career politicians. Serve your term and you are out. But no,, you are so brain washed you actually believe your party will fix everything don't you... Pull your head out of your........

    4. One flat tax for all, including corporations. If you are at poverty level income or below, you pay no tax.

    5. Immediately stop the wars and bring all troops home. But no,, war is big business to many people will get laid off. Screw who gets killed we need our job....

    Copy and paste this and send it on. Lets take the county back from the corporations/politicians.
    • Yahoo 5 months ago
      Good points above. Only issue I might have is number 4. Everyone pays taxes except maybe the elderly who are poverty level. It may be a very small amount of taxes to pay if you are poverty level, but you still pay something. It keeps their dignity in place as they do contribute. And if they are, at the same time, using gov services like food stamps, they need to contribute in some way. In fact if they are healthy they need to work even if it is cleaning the parks or some other helpful work for the community that suppprts them with items like food stamps. I am as sick of free loaders as I am polictians.
    • Larry 5 months ago
      Finally, other people are seeing the real problems.
  • P  •  5 months ago
    Can somone explain to me how a bank can forclose on someone when the bank only has 1% of their depositors money? The banks are more bankrupt then the people they forclose on thanks to leveraged debt and fractional reserve banking!
  • John S  •  5 months ago
    The global banksters are on a tightrope here, and have been since '08. That's a long time and it's pretty tough on their toes. One wind gust and....
  • K A  •  5 months ago
    S I flucking said earlier today, I've put flucking heavy money on the flucking Dow drop at least 95 points today. It is getting close now, please support me, I'll win big money today! Thanks!
  • RickB  •  5 months ago
    they know what to do...they don't care...for fcks sake this is the entity that facilitated all this debt...now do something about it you frkin scoundrels!!..i mean could Grease and Italy have all this debt with the central bank making it possible? ANSWER: NO
 
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