Sun, Feb 26, 2012, 7:22 AM EST - U.S. Markets closed

Ford hit by commodity costs, international woes

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By Deepa Seetharaman and Ben Klayman

(Reuters) - Ford Motor Co reported a lower-than-expected fourth-quarter profit on Friday as commodity costs shot up and results from operations outside North America fell short of expectations.

The No. 2 U.S. automaker's losses in Europe nearly quadrupled during the quarter as the economy suffered amid the ongoing debt crisis. Flooding in Thailand led to a loss in Asia, and increased competition blunted profits in South America.

"We saw the external environment deteriorate, and that really affected most regions other than North America," Chief Financial Officer Lewis Booth told reporters, "and then we saw slightly greater than we expected impact of commodities, currency and also the Thai floods."

Shares of Ford, which derives the bulk of its revenue from North America, fell more than 5 percent in premarket trading.

Excluding one-time items, Ford's operating profit fell to $1.1 billion, or 20 cents per share, from nearly $1.3 billion, or 30 cents per share, a year earlier.

On that basis, analysts on average were expecting 25 cents per share, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

"It's been a tough go for Ford," said portfolio manager Gary Bradshaw of Hodges Capital Management of Dallas, which owns Ford shares. "It seems like the company continues to execute, but there are plenty of headwinds."

Besides higher commodity costs, Ford also said it missed expectations because of unfavorable exchange rates.

Profit margins in Ford's automotive business fell to 5.4 percent in 2011 from 6.1 percent in 2010. Commodity costs for the year came to $2.3 billion, up slightly from the company's $2.2 billion forecast.

NOT IMMUNE TO EUROPE

Ford's losses in Europe widened to $190 million in the fourth quarter from $51 million a year earlier. In South America, the company's pretax operating profit fell to $108 million from $281 million.

Ford posted a quarterly loss of $83 million in Asia, compared with a year-earlier profit of $23 million. The company flagged the loss in Asia earlier this month.

Booth said he expected Ford to be "modestly profitable" in Asia in 2012, but he did not provide a forecast for Europe, where he said rivals have piled on incentives to sell vehicles. Ford expects European growth will be tempered by the debt crisis and austerity measures in 2012.

Compared with Detroit rival General Motors, Ford is less exposed to Europe, Jefferies analyst Peter Nesvold said.

"Ford won't be immune to a downturn in Europe, but I think the product lineup is a little bit fresher and a little bit better, and it's a smaller piece of the overall pie," said Nesvold, who has a "buy" rating on Ford. "Europe is less of an anchor for Ford's shares than it is potentially for GM's shares."

For the fourth quarter, Ford reported net income of $13.6 billion, or $3.40 per share, buoyed by a one-time tax-related gain of $12.4 billion. Net income was $190 million, or 5 cents per share, a year earlier.

The higher net income was the result of an accounting change that Ford said reflects confidence in its long-term profit outlook. The one-time gain resulted in full-year net income of $20.2 billion, the highest since 1998.

(Reporting by Deepa Seetharaman, Ben Klayman and Bernie Woodall; Editing by Derek Caney and Lisa Von Ahn)

 

15 comments

  • Alan  •  Houston, Texas  •  29 days ago
    I have bought more on this dip
  • Jason  •  1 month 0 days ago
    Buy!!!
  • Agapita  •  Toledo, Ohio  •  29 days ago
    If my hubby and I will buy another vehicle a truck for instance and it cost us more chips i'll say next 3 years maybe coz there are others to buy anyways.
  • Agapita  •  Toledo, Ohio  •  29 days ago
    Ford Motor Company is earning a lot of profits no doubt about it.
  • CHRIS  •  Flint, Michigan  •  29 days ago
    COMPARED TO APPLE... ITS AN ORANGE.... HAHA!!
  • Bluemanfree  •  Las Cruces, New Mexico  •  29 days ago
    C'mon, inflation is under 2 percent so says govt bean counters. How can higher commodity prices be problematic to the bottom line when inflation is practically benign?
  • Gerhard  •  Dearborn, Michigan  •  29 days ago
    As to a miss, the 20 cents assumes a much much higher tax rate than analysts assumed in their 25 cent estimates. Oh well, that is how it goes sometimes. It will be interesting to see if analysts take the wood to their 2012 estimates since they likely also included the much lower rate.
  • Tony  •  Killeen, Texas  •  1 month 0 days ago
    I pushed all my chips in!!!
  • sCrL  •  1 month 0 days ago
    I agree with both of you Rudy & Jason. Ford current valuation is a strong buy signal. The move down today shows uncertainty in investors. Also some may think they will make some quick money shorting the stock which has been raging up through January. A bit of a pull back would not be surprising, even with a solid positive earning report. But to think that a positive earning report & the excitement of the dividend reinstatement are already priced in Ford share current price is far fetched. I believe Ford stock share has just begin its price ascension. It is still very undervalued. Analyst high price target is in the $22 range. I can easily see the stock test its 52-week high this year. It could even test its all time price high within a couple years. The 3 things Ford has to pay attention to: Its lineup (taken care of for this 2012 -2013), the Asian automakers coming back from a disastrous year, the Europe slow down (& possible but unlikely collapse). It is obvious with the moves that the company is making that they are prepared for tough times & can weather it better than ever. Hey, they weather the worst downfall once already. Practice makes perfect.
  • rudy  •  St Catharines, Canada  •  1 month 0 days ago
    Wrong moves today and too late for tomorrow (sigh...)
  • StanK  •  Panama City, Panama  •  29 days ago
    Analysts seem to always over estimate or underestimate. How do they keep their jobs?
  • Anonymous  •  29 days ago
    Profit fell, but still huge. With these kinds of profits Ford should be $17+ a share, not as pitifully low as it is right now. Their P/E is low.
  • Gerhard  •  Dearborn, Michigan  •  29 days ago
    Uh, those were not higher commodity costs. Ford gambled on Wall Street and lost $2.6B.

    Clearly their hedging strategy failed miserably and hopefully they will get that straightened out.
  • Andrew  •  29 days ago
    Sell!! Now that TOYOTA and HONDA have regined capacity from the March '11 Tsunami, FORD is now getting hammered in their export markets. They had the lead, but now TOYOTA and HONDA are back in the game.
  • JA  •  Atlanta, Georgia  •  29 days ago
    Here's what I take away from this: For a couple of months, many pundits have been touting Ford. And, analysts were loving it & pushing up the hype. Then 'BOOM' today gives a reality check. I still like F for the long-run, and also for the long-run, all the 'experts' have given us a great reason to SHORT their opinions & all the noise they make.
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