To receive Ilya's analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE
- EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support: 1.3800-31 (former resistance), 1.3744 (channel bottom)
- Resistance: 1.3892-1.3911 (Dec 27 high, 38.2% Fib exp.), 1.4045 (50% Fib exp.)
The Euro may be starting to send early signals of a reversal lower against the US Dollar. Prices put in a Shooting Star candlestick below resistance in the 1.3892-1.3911 area, marked by the December 27 high and the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion. The barrier is further reinforced by a rising channel top. Support is in the 1.3800-31 region, a former double top, with a slide back through that eyeing the channel bottom at 1.3744. Alternatively a break above resistance targets the 50% Fib at 1.4045.
Our long-term fundamental outlook favors the downside but a Shooting Star is not a concrete-enough signal to enter short. We will wait for confirmation on a daily close below the channel bottom to initiate the trade.
Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com