Chinese manufacturing data this week showed moderate expansion on all fronts of the Chinese economy. Although the growth is not considered robust, it is a good sign for global growth for the rest of 2013.
The first chart below is of CurrencyShares Australian Dollar Trust
Similarly, the Reserve Bank of Australia shied away from implying imminent rate cuts, as the board stated it needs to see more economic data to make a more informed decision. Selling pressure in the yen as fear over a Syrian strike from Western powers has also buoyed the Aussie/yen currency cross.
If fears subside over the Middle East and economic growth expectations improve, the Aussie dollar could rally into the new year.
The next chart is of iShares China Large-Cap
Economic data in both the manufacturing and services industries proved stronger than expected, which pushed the index shown below to the high points of its range.
China is moving toward a more consumer-driven economy while being less investment oriented, and its policymakers are backing that move. If the economic data continue to improve, then Chinese equities can rally to yearly highs over the next few months.
The last chart is of iPath DJ-UBS Copper TR Sub-Idx ETN
As seen in the chart below, copper has run into strong overhead resistance in recent weeks. The stronger U.S. dollar, the fear of U.S. monetary tightening and the war in Syria have all led to weaker copper prices.
If both the Aussie dollar and Chinese equities break higher and show increased strength over the next few weeks, copper should follow suit and move above overhead resistance.
At the time of publication the author had no position in any of the stocks mentioned.
This article is commentary by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.
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