NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- U.S. equity markets have extended their winning streak to four months, but low volumes and lack of a catalyst could add more volatility this week. The chart below shows Guggenheim S&P Equal Weight ETF
The indicator has recently broken out of a multi-month consolidation and looks to be pushing upward. Although contrarians will point to an overvalued market as reason for a large pullback, the strength of the rally indicates that it has the steam to continue rising. If the market does see a pullback in the next few days or weeks, due to something said by Ben Bernanke at his congressional testimony or poor economic data, the downside is limited by the strong support line below. In essence, a pullback is possible, especially due to the overbought nature of the market, but any pullback should be limited to a minor correction, not a trend reversal.
Volatility has been gradually declining as markets have experienced their four-week run. The S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures ETN
The price action has approached lows that, until earlier this year, hadn't been breached since 2011. With volatility hitting a bottom and markets falling on the side of overbought, it would not be unreasonable to see a pickup in near-term volatility, and a pullback in U.S. markets.
Waning strength in the Nasdaq gives further evidence to an equity market pullback. The pair below compares Nasdaq-100 Equal Weighted Index Fund
The pair has held steady throughout 2013, but looks to be approaching support lines. If the price action breaks support, it could trigger a selloff in the other equity markets.
The final chart is of SPDR Gold Trust
At the time of publication the author had no position in any of the stocks mentioned.
This article was written by an independent contributor, separate from TheStreet's regular news coverage.
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