Gloomy Outlook for Halliburton


Shares of Halliburton Company (HAL) are currently trading close to its 52-week low of $27.21. The oilfield services behemoth has seen its share price fall approximately 22% since the beginning of March this year, as investors have been selling the stock for its weak fundamentals and tepid outlook. A recent warning issued by the company about its second quarter profitability has added to this bearishness.

Houston, Texas-based Halliburton is one of the largest oilfield service providers in the world, offering a variety of equipment, maintenance and engineering and construction services to the energy, industrial and government sectors. The company operates under two main segments: Completion and Production, and Drilling and Evaluation.

Halliburton recently cautioned investors that a higher-than-expected spike in the cost for guar gums – a key constituent of the company’s market-leading ‘hydraulic fracturing’ procedure – will adversely impact its second quarter results. 

Guar gum, a bean grown mostly in India, apart from being a dairy products thickener is also a main ingredient of the hydraulic fracturing (or fracking) process, which is used to extract natural gas by blasting underground rock formations with a mixture of water, sand and chemicals.

As per Halliburton, demand for guar gum has gone through the roof in North America following the growing use of hydraulic fracturing in the extraction of oil and natural gas liquids from shale. This has led to concerns about the commodity’s potential shortage later in 2012, thereby driving up guar gum prices more rapidly than previously thought.

The rising costs, according to the company, have affected its second quarter profitability in North America more than expected. The world's second-largest oilfield services firm after Schlumberger Ltd. (SLB) now sees margins in the region to be down by 300 basis points more than the previous forecast of a 200–250 basis points squeeze, implying a 500–550 point drop from the first-quarter levels.

Additionally, the North American land rig count, which has experienced strong upward momentum over the last twelve months, may plateau in the near future as growth in highly-productive horizontal drilling has led to a natural gas supply overhang and relatively weak natural gas prices in the U.S. market. This is likely to be only partially offset by the continued growth of oil- and liquids-rich reservoirs. A slowdown in U.S. land drilling will adversely impact Halliburton’s business.

Lastly, we expect Halliburton shares to remain soft until it fully works its way through claims related to the Deepwater Horizon incident. We are also concerned by the slow and geographically uneven recovery in Halliburton’s international markets.

Given these concerns, we expect Halliburton to perform below its peers and industry levels in the coming months. As such, we see little reason for investors to own the stock. Our bearish investment thesis is supported by a Zacks #4 Rank (short-term Sell rating).

Partially offsetting these negatives are the company’s leading position in the global oilfield services market, its broad and technologically-complex product/service offerings, and its robust financial profile.

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