Mon, May 28, 2012, 12:20 PM EDT - U.S. Markets closed for Memorial Day

Homebuilders see stable housing market ahead

Wait and see: Homebuilders show measured optimism over prospects for housing pickup in 2012

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LOS ANGELES (AP) -- The CEOs of some of the nation's biggest homebuilding companies said Thursday that they feel the housing market has stabilized.

But they were careful not to be overly optimistic even with the spring home-selling season coming up. A year ago many housing experts forecast housing would begin recovering in 2011, only to see it play out as the worst year for new home sales on records going back a half-century.

Executives at PulteGroup Inc., MDC Holdings Inc., M/I Homes Inc. and Beazer Homes USA Inc. weighed in on the housing market after their companies reported financial results for October to December.

In that period, sales of new homes rose nationally as builders slashed prices to compete with sales of previously occupied homes, including many that had been foreclosed.

Beazer's and M/I's sales and new orders rose sharply in the quarter, while trends were mixed for PulteGroup and MDC Holdings.

Only PulteGroup ended the quarter with a smaller backlog of homes under contract than a year earlier, and its backlog fell less than 2 percent. Backlog is an indicator of potential home deliveries and revenue for homebuilders.

So the increases bode well for the spring. But executives were cagey about forecasts.

PulteGroup President and CEO Richard Dugas said it's still too early to get a read on whether spring will be a boon or a bust — though he was pleased with business activity in January and said sales representatives in the field were positive.

"There are reasons to be optimistic about medium and long-term demand, but it will be interesting to see how 2012 develops," Dugas said in a conference call with Wall Street analysts.

At MDC Holdings, where new home orders jumped 30 percent in January, Chairman and CEO Larry Mizel said positive signs lead him to conclude the industry has stabilized and may begin to recover this year. That's may — not will.

At Atlanta's Beazer Homes, customer traffic has been on the rise, reflecting what its president and CEO, Allan Merrill, sees as "significant pent-up demand for new homes forming in many of our markets."

Merrill noted during a conference call that, even as mortgage interest rates remain near record lows, that demand hasn't translated into sales. Still, Beazer expects to close more homes in fiscal 2012 than it did last year.

Uncertainty over the economy, high unemployment and concerns that home prices have yet to hit bottom are keeping many prospective homebuyers on the sidelines. Builders also are struggling to compete with cheap foreclosures.

Here's how the individual companies fared in the October-to-December quarter:

— PulteGroup, based in Bloomfield Hills, Mich., earned $13.8 million, or 4 cents a share, compared with a loss of $165.4 million, or 44 cents a share, in the same period a year earlier. Analysts expected adjusted earnings of 7 cents per share, according to FactSet.

Revenue increased 6 percent to $1.26 billion from $1.19 billion, beating Wall Street's $1.13 billion.

Pulte shares ended regular trading down 8 cents to $7.75.

— Denver-based MDC Holdings' loss narrowed to $18.8 million, or 40 cents a share, compared with a loss of about $30 million, or 65 cents a share, a year earlier. The latest results included charges of $20.2 million related to paying off debt and $2.7 million from asset write downs.

Analysts were expecting, on average, a loss of 50 cents a share on $257.6 million in revenue. MDC Holdings' revenue fell 5 percent to $247.4 million.

MDC shares gained $1.99, or 9.8 percent, to $22.40 in regular trading.

— Atlanta's Beazer reported net income of $739,000, or a penny a share, compared with a loss of $48.8 million, or 66 cents a share, a year earlier. The latest results included a tax gain of $35.7 million and a one-time charge of $3.5 million. Revenue surged 73 percent to $188.5 million.

Analysts expected a loss of 36 cents on $207.8 million in revenue, according to FactSet.

Beazer shares added 8 cents, or 2.5 percent, to $3.25 during the regular session.

— M/I Homes, based in Columbus, Ohio, lost $3 million, or 16 cents a share, compared with a loss of $11.1 million, or 60 cents a share, a year earlier. The latest results included $4.5 million in charges related to asset write downs.

Revenue climbed to $176.8 million from $165 million a year earlier.

Shares ended regular trading up 16 cents to $12.81.

 

72 comments

  • Where's Waldo  •  Beech Grove, Indiana  •  2 months ago
    There are 6 million houses in or about to be forclosed upon. There is no way the new homes can compete with them on price. What a load of crap.
    • sane 2 months ago
      It seems like you know more than all the home builders combined. You may consider a consulting career.
    • Rex Kramer 2 months ago
      Are you talking about the same home builders who did not see the crash coming?
    • Will 2 months ago
      True....but many people, who can afford them, don't want a used home. Some people still want to pick a spot, and build a new home there. We are not all in the same boat.
  • anonymous  •  2 months ago
    More propoganda for Americans to chew on!
  • USINDEBTEDNESS  •  2 months ago
    Homebuilders are only reflecting upon the slowdown of new foreclosures which is entirely due to the government blocking new foreclosures in 2011. These are still coming onto the market and will lead to a weaker housing market.
  • MICHAEL  •  Augusta, Georgia  •  2 months ago
    Case schiller report a couple of weeks ago showed prices dropping another 4%. These guys are used car salesman telling you that this house was only driven to church on sundays by a little old lady. Peeing on my leg and tell me its raining.
  • michael  •  2 months ago
    Exact same story from a year ago and 2011 was worst year on record.
  • ROBERT  •  Arden, North Carolina  •  2 months ago
    the market is stable nothing is selling.
  • sane1  •  Chatsworth, California  •  2 months ago
    stabilizing = flatlining
  • Phyla nodiflora  •  Walnut Creek, California  •  2 months ago
    In our county the largest builder (private company) has gone from houses sold only after they were finished to sold as soon as they were finished, houses sold before finished. Still it is at half the prices of 2006-2007, and the building is double what it was in 2010 but a tiny fraction of what it was in 2006. There is still no market for used homes as long as the price of new ones stays at half the price of a few years ago. All depends on location.
  • Whamo  •  2 months ago
    Does anyone believe this crap?
    • anonymous 2 months ago
      Hey Whamo, you gotta know by now how many clueless Americans there are? Look at who's in the WH!
  • S E  •  Phoenix, Arizona  •  2 months ago
    We are running out of houses! Right...take a look at zillow.
  • Excelsior  •  2 months ago
    Five years ago they were worried that the housing bubble was going to collapse under the weight of liar loans. So this is not saying much.
  • Shake n Bake  •  2 months ago
    Where are they building new homes? Also beware of buying a newly constructed home, the have builders have to compete on price so..low bidder wins. Recessions are when some of the most shoddy construction occurs.
  • fififi  •  2 months ago
    The largest builder in our area just sold off hundreds of homes at absolute auction. The values ranged from $159,000 to $349,000. I know someone who bought one of the most expensive for $84,000. What does that say?
  • joe  •  2 months ago
    Why is a story from six weeks ago showing up on the front page of yahoo finacne today? More propaganda.
  • backrow  •  Waukesha, Wisconsin  •  2 months ago
    At what point will these people learn that talking up a market or a sector only goes so far. There comes a time when you actually have to repair the problems.
  • Jeff  •  Milwaukee, Wisconsin  •  2 months ago
    More pump and dump for their stocks, of course they have to be positive in this lack of bank lending market. People are holding onto what they have and aren't going to take another hit on the downside. The only sufferers are the construction workers with no jobs, higher inflation, and no credit being freed up due to Obama regulation affecting the customers that can actually afford to buy these homes. It's a dead market until Government gets out of the way from screwing everything up. People that have owned their homes, made all their payments on time and built huge equity can't even get a loan under all the restrictions.
  • NoslavetoKings  •  2 months ago
    The unicorn choked on a lollipop while chasing a rainbow in the sunshine -
  • geoff  •  Santa Clara, California  •  2 months ago
    Home builders aren't particularly credible, but I suppose no longer catastrophically bad counts as "improved". Anecdotally, on the other hand, I see quite a bit of apartment construction in Silicon Valley these days, especially in North San Jose. I wonder want the national numbers look like for apartment construction.
  • Stock Wizard-Sir Roger  •  2 months ago
    Homebuilders see stable housing market in 2012? Homebuilders show measured optimism?? There are still over 5,000,000 homes in foreclosure. Large corporations are still laying off employees by the thousands. The poor economy is causing small businesses to close their doors. The media is now closing their eyes to what is happening in Europe. Did their problems go away? NO! Are we reducing our debt? NO! With higher taxes and prices on the horizon our money will buy less. Our living standard will be lowered as a result. AP should stop tooting their horn for Obama by printing these rediculous stories.
  • asdf  •  San Jose, California  •  2 months ago
    This story should be read along with the other story here on yahoo finance about the coming glut on the market caused by baby boomers wanting to sell and move.
 
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