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    The economic crisis that began in 2007 was the direct result of a crash in the housing market. Banks approved home loans for unqualified borrowers. When these borrowers were unable to keep up payments, the banks lost billions, leading the U.S. economy and financial system to the brink of collapse.

    There is optimism that the worst of the financial crisis is in the past. Employment numbers are improving, stocks are gaining ground, and American consumers are beginning to feel more optimistic about the future. Many economists predict 2012 will be the year the economy turns around and permanently ends the Great Recession.

    [See Are We Entering a Jobless Recovery?]

    But does the closing chapter of the Great Recession also signal an end to the housing slump? Since the housing bubble burst, homeowners have seen the value of their house depreciate at record levels. Potential buyers find it hard to secure a home loan. For many, owning a home, once a stalwart of the American economy and a key asset in building wealth, lost its allure.

    According to housing experts, a number of factors this year have the potential to turn the housing market around and help it to find its bottom. But even if this does occur and housing prices stabilize, these experts warn that it could be years before housing prices start to rise again.

    Obama's plan helpful, but not a cure-all. President Barack Obama recently unveiled a plan that would allow homeowners who have been paying their mortgage on time to refinance loans owned by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Administration, or a private bank in an effort to reduce monthly payments. He also proposed to allow Fannie and Freddie to sell foreclosed homes to individuals or businesses that plan to rent them out.

    "The president's plan regarding the refinancing of underwater mortgages is a great idea," says Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association for Realtors. "Giving them low rates should not be controversial. The homeowner position would be much healthier and it provides an opportunity to build up equity faster."

    [See 6 Strategies for Dealing With an Underwater Mortgage.]

    Obama's plan also addresses the problem created by mass foreclosures over the last five years. Until this backlog of homes is cleared, housing prices will remain depressed as buyers can get a home at a bargain-basement price. Because of this, there is little demand for new homes and few are being built. Allowing businesses and real estate investors to purchase and rent the problems helps to lessen supply of old, cheap homes.

    "It's going to be the same case until you deal with the foreclosure problem," says David Min, associate director for financial markets policy at the Center for American Progress. "If you're trying to sell a house, you need to have more buyers and no flood of inventory."

    The primary problem with Obama's plan, however, is political. Republicans have already vowed to oppose it, making its chances for passage slim.

    Other signs point positive, but long-term recovery elusive. Even if the plan doesn't pass, there are signs that the housing market could be on the mend. According to Stan Humphries, chief economist at Zillow Real Estate Research, 2012 will be a "transitional year" buoyed by positive economic trends that will push the housing market closer to its bottom.

    "The real reason for the rebound is market fundamentals. It's going to be a very strong year for new and existing home sales, but also housing starts. The decent growth of the broader economy and progress in terms of job growth is also a positive. We think we're going to stay well above [adding] 100,000 jobs each month. It will make people feel better about the economy."

    He says this would also make it easier for consumers to get a home loan. "Lending standards will ease a bit in 2012 because lenders are responsive to what the broader economy is doing, as well as what's happening with home values," he says.

    [See 4 Ways to Trim Your Housing Costs Now.]

    But Humphries, who characterized his view toward the housing market as "cautiously optimistic," warned that even if the housing market does bottom out in 2012, prices are likely to stay relatively flat for two to four years to come.

    "Once we hit bottom it will be a long rocky affair, lasting two to four years," he says. "Price appreciation will be fairly tepid. I don't expect to get back to a normal market for a few years. We're approaching a bottom but the bottom could last a long time."

    Min at the Center for American Progress also warns that the dramatic price appreciation that occurred before the bubble burst is not coming back.

    "The housing finance system is in a generational change. You'll never go back to the double-digit annual appreciations," he says. "But it's not unthinkable that we can go back to the 80s and 90s when housing was a good, solid investment. We can return to that, and that's the goal of a lot of the policymakers."

    Twitter: @davidcfrancis



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    9 comments

    • Yahoo user  •  3 months ago
      David Francis failed to tell us that it was the Democrats who lowered lending standards in 1996, in order for poor people and minorities to buy homes.
    • .  •  Irvine, California  •  3 months ago
      HERES THE REAL PROBLEM..................THE 50 ATTORNEYS GENERAL,,PLUS SHEILA BEIR CEO OF THE FDIC SAYTHE BANKS DO NOT OWN THE HOME LOANS..
      BANKS THREW 70 MILLLION HOME LOANS IN THE MERS LOAN POOL---AND THEN SOLD INVESTMENTS IN THE POOL---REMOVEING OWNERSHIP OF THE LOANS ---THEY HAVE NO YET STARTED THE LEGAL PROCEEDINGS---BUT THEY ARE GOING TO PROCEED------------I WOULD NOT BUY A BANK FORECLOSED PROPERTY AT THIS POINT...........YOU PROBABLY WILL HAVE TO GIVE BACK THE HOME TO THE ILLEGALLY FORECLOSED ON ORIGINAL BUYER.
    • John M  •  3 months ago
      Bank of America helped ruin the housing market by lying, cheating and defrauding people out of their homes. When the fraud lawsuits are finished in court the Feds will close down this evil bank. Prison time for some employees.
    • Beads Underfoot  •  3 months ago
      The GOP has successfully destroyed a huge chunk of the middle class by reducing their pay, pensions and benefits. That action caused the economy and housing to tank as no one can afford a home over $100,000 because wealth is still coalescing to the top. Thanks GOP, you do not work for me or We the People
    • johhnny come lately  •  3 months ago
      yea. right show me a property that has sold since last summer???????????????????????????????? and

      just repale the frank dod act and you will see how fast housing comes back!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

      the only revovey is in the minds of team ohma fooling themselfs into beliving that in a few months they won't be standing on the unemployment line!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    • ZIEH LEINE!  •  3 months ago
      The equity in your home has gone to pay for the folly that was W's Iraq. Only, it hasn't really paided for Scheisse, the bill for that folly will still be arriving for years.
      • Elizabeth 3 months ago
        No, the equity in your home has gone to pay for the folly of Barney Frank and Chris Dodd - dumbocrats - the real criminals behind the housing diaster. If you want to continue your childish rant about W's war how about the three obummer started without congressional approval. Oh he's a dumbocrat - I guess in your small mind that's OK - Who needs a constitution anyway - Not the DUMBOCRATS that for sure.
    • .  •  Irvine, California  •  3 months ago
      ALL 70 MILLION LOANS MAY WIND UP BEING FREE TO THE ORIGINAL BUYERS OF THE HOMES ---NOT THE BANKS.
    • .  •  Irvine, California  •  3 months ago
      OH AND BY THE WAY....UTAH ALREADY ISSUES RIGHT TO POSESS TITLES TO THE BUYER THAT ARE NONFORECLOSEABLE ON THESE MERS LOANS
    • .  •  Irvine, California  •  3 months ago
      THE LOANS MAY WIND UP BEING FREE TO THE BUYERS.

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