Lower Crop Inventories Lift Grain ETFs

ETF Trends

Soft commodities and related agriculture exchange traded funds continued their rally Monday on lower U.S. inventories, with corn supply at its lowest since 1995.

U.S. corn supplies are diminishing at their fastest in 17 years and the lower prices have fueled demand from livestock producers beyond government projections, reports Jeff Wilson for Bloomberg.

On the supply side, the U.S. Department of Agriculture revealed that corn inventories on Dec. 1 were 8.03 billion bushels, or 17% lower year-over-year, compared to the average analyst expectation of 8.219 billion, Bloomberg reports. Wheat reserves on May 31 will be 716 million bushels, or 5% lower from December estimates, compared to the average analyst estimates of 741 million. Soybean inventories were 1.966 billion bushels, less than analyst projections and the lowest level since 2003.

Corn futures were up 2.0% Monday, wheat was 2.0% higher and soybean increased 2.6%.

USDA data revealed that lower quarterly corn stockpiles could translate to a further drop in inventories to 602 million bushels, the lowest since 1996, before the 2013 harvest.

“A sharp increase in demand and tightening grain stockpiles mean the January USDA reports were supportive for corn prices,” Luke Mathews, a strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said in the article.

As of Jan. 1, around 55% of the nine-state Midwest region – the area where most of the country’s crop is grown – saw moderate to exceptional drought, compared to 13% year-over-year. Analysts estimated that only 89.6% of the crop that was planted could be harvested.

  • Powershares DB Agriculture Fund (DBA) : corn is 11.8%, wheat is 5.6% and soybeans is 12.3%
  • iPath Grains ETN (JJG)
  • Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN)
  • Teucrium Wheat Fund (WEAT)
  • Teucrium Soybean Fund (SOYB)
  • Teucrium Agricultural Fund (TAGS) : TAGS is an ETF-of-ETFs, which holds other Teucrium agriculture ETFs, including CORN 25%, WEAT 25% and SOYB 25%.

Teucrium Corn Fund

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For more information on the commodities, visit our commodity ETFs category.

Max Chen contributed to this article.

The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.

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