The Market's Unheeded Flashing Signals

RELATED QUOTES

SymbolPriceChange
FXE132.73
CAT84.55
KMB99.44
KO40.93
FCX29.52

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Sometimes I feel that I am the only guy looking at stuff, because the moves are so breathtaking, I think no one should be talking about anything else.

I am talking about the gigantic breakout moves in copper and the euro today. These are big billboards saying "Buy China" and "Buy international companies with big European businesses," and I think not everyone is seeing it right.

First, 40% of copper is used by China. You can't get this lift unless something is really happening there, something meaning a lot more than what we have currently heard about.

Second, so many of our companies are using $123 on the CurrencyShares Euro Trust FXE as the benchmark for the quarter that if this keeps up, we are going to have revisions upward for Procter & Gamble PG and Kimberly-Clark KMB and Coca-Cola KO and Johnson & Johnson JNJ , and they aren't moving up enough right now on that good news.

Sure, Caterpillar CAT and Freeport-McMoRan FCX are roaring. I like that. The coal plays have traction. But these are breakout moves that are game-changers. So much of what has stalled this market had to do with a breakdown of both of these.

What if we get a breakout?

I think there are plenty of stocks as diverse as United Technologies UTX and 3M MMM to Alcoa AA and Boeing BA that don't reflect either move.

Nah, the people I talk to? Everyone hates this market today as much as they hated it before.

Like it doesn't matter. Like nothing matters.

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