Sun, Feb 26, 2012, 9:36 AM EST - U.S. Markets closed

Milk futures: Better than gold

The commodity which enjoyed the biggest gain in price last year can be answered with a simple question: Got milk?

That's because milk, not gold, oil, or any of the more popular futures contracts, enjoyed about a 35.7% rise in price in 2011 to close at 18.77 cents per pound.

That compares to an 11.7% rise in the price of gold and a 10% rise in crude oil prices. It also blows away the more modest gains of the higher profile food futures, like pork bellies, corn and coffee.

But before you rush out to the nearest grocery store to buy every drop of milk in an effort to build your retirement nest egg, a clarification: Milk futures are not for the type of milk consumers bring home in gallon jugs. They're for a class of milk that is typically powdered or condensed and used in production of other products such as cheese. That class of milk makes up just more than half of the 195 billion pounds of milk produced in the United States annually.

The price of liquid milk bought by consumers has so far been spared these price shocks. Still, the Consumer Price Index shows a 9.8% rise in liquid milk prices over the 12 months ending in November.

One of the main factors driving the rise in milk futures on commodity markets is a rise in export demand.

Investors fleeing gold

Because of its perishable nature, liquid milk is not widely exported. But the Census Bureau reports that condensed or powered milk exports surged 26% in the first 10 months of 2011, the latest figures available, to $1.3 billion.

"We still use most of our production for domestic commercial needs, but the driver of the market is really the export market," said David Lehman, managing director of commodity research at CME.

Countries in Asia and South America had some of the biggest increases in U.S. milk imports.

But while the rising prices have been good news for dairy farmers and other producers, it hasn't been the windfall that outsiders might expect, said Jim Tillison, senior vice president of marketing and economics for the National Milk Producers Federation, a trade group.

"Feed costs are up as well so it's not a record breaking year, but it's better than the past couple of years," he said.

View this article on CNNMoney



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82 comments

  • Stanley C  •  Sioux Lookout, Canada  •  1 month 21 days ago
    Udder nonsense.
  • Blueboy  •  Halifax, Canada  •  1 month 21 days ago
    A few days ago we were told milk caused prostate problems.??????????????
  • MARKUS  •  1 month 21 days ago
    food shouldn't be on the stock-market and gambled with. thats why prices go up without the producers getting any more money for their work and product.
  • Anonymous  •  Vancouver, Canada  •  1 month 21 days ago
    Milk goes bad... so, to get fresh milk without inflation, the only solution is to have a milk cow farm in your backyard.

    (Green peace will protest in front of your house because cows make green house gases and PETA will burn your house for enslaving cows.)
  • neen  •  1 month 21 days ago
    I guess people from China feel that it is better to import from the US because they don't put melamine in their powdered milk but expect the Chinese to start getting larger with all the growth hormone they will now be consuming! Should be an interesting experiment...who knows maybe the melamine was stunting their growth. Time will tell... Asian's typically have low prostate cancer rates too but now that they are importing powdered milk it will be interesting to see if they now will have higher rates of prostate cancer. Maybe they will conclude it isn't the milk but the growth hormone.
  • edjoy74  •  Ottawa, Canada  •  1 month 21 days ago
    What this is really saying are commodities in the stocks and the price of milk which will be hyperinflated like all food, water, oil, etc. will be. People try to stock up on non perishable goods even canned goods and don't keep them long, just keep them in your basement on shelves and rotate them using up old stock. Save on toilet paper, paper towels, etc. We are going into the greatest economic depression since the 1930's and this is no fairy tale. There is no way on earth that the US and other countries can get out of this financial mess and can look like Wymar Germany did back when. The value of the money will go down by at least 40% and the housing is going to go down by 90% here in Canada. Don't throw anything away and recycle.
  • kwd  •  Sackville, Canada  •  1 month 21 days ago
    Investors fleeing gold ? Are you kidding me ? I'll buy gold ; it is real money not a fiat currency. Isn't the US federal debt 16 Trilllion and growing ? Gold and silver !
  • Frio  •  Sault Ste Marie, Canada  •  1 month 21 days ago
    I'm waiting to see how somebody comes up with a method to put a price on all the fat reserves in the USA and then they can start trading that on the commodity exchange.
  • Zeberman  •  1 month 20 days ago
    ROTFL....this is a stupid story comparing milk to gold. Its not apples to apples!!
  • john r  •  1 month 20 days ago
    stupid article...
  • ihaveseenem  •  Windsor, Canada  •  1 month 21 days ago
    The price of Dairy products in Ontario is a travesty. We stopped eating yogourt, we stopped drinking buttermilk, and we have virtually cut back over 80% of our consumption of Dairy products. Shame on the Canadian Milk Marketing Board.These Boards need to be eliminated. They are why meat and produce and anything they stick their giant noses in are so costly!!
  • Chuck  •  Toronto, Canada  •  1 month 21 days ago
    Raw milk should be legal to buy/sell in Ontario
  • zoie  •  New Westminster, Canada  •  1 month 21 days ago
    What a confused and complicated system of things we humans have created.
    It comes back and bites us hard at times.
  • Peter Toronto  •  Toronto, Canada  •  1 month 21 days ago
    one word :INFLATION !
  • Rabid Dog  •  1 month 22 days ago
    9.8% rise in liquid milk? Reporter has not been to a market lately!
  • A Yahoo! User  •  Romeoville, Illinois  •  1 month 22 days ago
    Americans applaud globalism.
    Now pay for it.
  • Cut government salaries  •  Charlotte, North Carolina  •  1 month 21 days ago
    Bracko Obumer says there is no inflation past 3 years. My gallon of milk has went from $2.89 per gallon to well over $4 per gallon in that time. Gas has doubled. Taxes are way up. Hope you stupid mornic lib tards love the change he has brought. Even the ammo I am buying storing up for the coming revolution has doubled in price. I can still see and fight so be prepared.
  • OpenMind  •  Kelowna, Canada  •  1 month 21 days ago
    So why is this other article TODAY stating that the government is "stuck" with a billion dollars worth of powdered milk??? This why north america dumps food "excesses" and then boosts prices(costs to consumers) ... meanwhile there is a billion dollar glut of powdered milk sitting in GOVERNMENT warehouses so that the rich can play monopoly with futures! Google it!
  • lindylu07  •  Greater Sudbury, Canada  •  1 month 20 days ago
    in EEC we have wine lakes, cheese mountains, this is all because the commodity brokers can make billions and the average person has to find more money to eat. This should not be allowed but it has been going on for centuries the only people to get rich are the commodity brokers. Now it is milk here what else?
  • Gus V  •  Toronto, Canada  •  1 month 20 days ago
    that is called INFLATION, all cost of food is going UP, as long as the USA keeping on printing money which it will, its going to get worse, your money will continue to lose purchasing power. Gold and silver are manipulated down to make the US dollar look good, I bought gold in 2003 Im up over 400%, nobody is talking about that.
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