Mon, May 28, 2012, 3:54 PM EDT - U.S. Markets closed for Memorial Day

Moody's downgrade has little market impact

Moody's downgrade has little market impact as Greek bailout hopes remain

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LONDON (AP) -- Another mass downgrade of the creditworthiness of European countries had little market impact Tuesday as investors continued to predict that Greece would soon get its hands on vital bailout cash to avoid a ruinous bankruptcy.

Late Monday, Moody's slapped credit downgrades on six European Union countries, including Italy and Spain, and warned that top-rated Britain, France and Austria could see their ratings cut. As well as blaming the increasingly weak economic outlook in Europe, the agency cautioned over the uncertainly over the reform process in the 17-nation eurozone

"Not quite the St. Valentine's Day Massacre, more of a drive-by shooting," said Gary Jenkins, managing director at Swordfish Research.

Analysts said that the impact was fairly negligible given that Moody's was just echoing decisions made last month by its rivals Standard & Poor's and Fitch — the borrowing rates of those countries affected by Moody's pronouncements were trading within normal ranges.

Government debt ratings can play a major role in countries' borrowing costs because a lower rating often means countries pay higher interest rates on their bonds to attract investors — it's not always the case though; the United States has actually seen its borrowing rates fall since Standard & Poor's stripped it of its triple A rating last August.

The reaction in stock markets was muted to say the least. Stocks were actually trading higher as investors remained confident that Greece would get its second bailout despite signs that the eurozone countries, led by Germany, aren't quite ready to back the release of funds to the cash-strapped euro country.

"They are trying to take a hard line but if they do not continue to lend to Greece then all the money lent/invested so far gets written off, which would be a PR disaster, let alone what would happen in Greece," said Swordfish's Jenkins.

In Europe, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was up 0.2 percent to 5,915 while Germany's DAX rose 0.6 percent to 6,779. The CAC-40 in France was 0.4 percent higher at 3,396.

The euro was also well-supported, trading 0.3 percent higher at $1.3205.

Wall Street was poised for a solid opening with both Dow futures and the broader Standard & Poor's 500 futures up 0.1 percent.

The markets will continue to focus on developments on Greece and in particular Wednesday's meeting of euro finance ministers in Brussels, where an agreement in principle to give Greece the money is at least is expected.

"Don't be surprised if there is a last-minute glitch," said Neil MacKinnon, global macro strategist at VTB Capital.

On Sunday, Greece's parliament approved sharp cuts in civil service jobs, welfare and the minimum wage, required by international leaders for a euro130 billion ($171 billion) bailout that the country needs to avoid defaulting on its debt next month.

Earlier in Asia, Japan's Nikkei 225 index rose 0.6 percent to 9,052.07, its highest close since Sept. 1. The gains came as the Bank of Japan, following a policy meeting, announced it would buy more government bonds while keeping short-term interest rates near zero to boost the economy.

The U.S. dollar rose to a three-week high against the yen after the central bank's announcement, helping Japan's exporters, whose earnings have been trampled by a strong home currency. Toyota Motor Corp. jumped by 1.8 percent and Suzuki Motor Corp. was 1.5 percent higher. Canon Inc. gained 1.5 percent.

Elsewhere, Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 0.2 percent to 20,917.83 and South Korea's Kospi was 0.2 percent lower at 2,002.64. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 lost 1 percent to 4,242.80.

Mainland Chinese shares edged lower with the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index down 0.3 percent at 2,351.86. The Shenzhen Composite Index was virtually unchanged at 912.31.

Oil prices pushed further above the $100 a barrel mark as equities advanced —benchmark oil for March delivery was up 45 cents at $101.36 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.

___

Pamela Sampson in Bangkok contributed to this report.

 

14 comments

  • Uncle Dave  •  Herndon, Virginia  •  3 months ago
    Just another Presidential cycle in the stock market. Forth year of the presidents term is usually the best year for the stock markets. Why, because all the politicians want to get reelected. They will not do anything except spend money and postpone any painful decisions until next year which happens to be the worst year in the stock market. Kicking the can down the road will come due next year and no matter who is elected they will be forced to make tax increases and spending cuts which will slow the economy. Stock market earnings growth will slow and stock market will be in for a downturn, surprise, surprise.
  • dragonbuddy  •  Hicksville, New York  •  3 months ago
    A nuclear war won't take down the stock market. Ben Benanke removed all fear from buying stocks that it is laughable. That isn't the fed's job. It is to support the dollar, not trash it for his buddies
  • david  •  Seattle, Washington  •  3 months ago
    Because no one takes the ratings agencies seriously any longer. It's widely known that the agencies were a big factor in the economic meltdown of 2008 and that they are nothing more than stooges for the banks.
  • Future  •  Dallas, Texas  •  3 months ago
    Ben Bernanke is exposed Hitler style leadership of printing money to pay the bills does not work. History is the proof. End is undesireable.
  • Future  •  Dallas, Texas  •  3 months ago
    Fed supply easy money to banks and banks buy the stocks so Rating agencies does not matter. Ben Bernanke is running a Ponze scheme. Ben is another Hitler want to print money. This will lead to ultimate collapse.
  • L  •  Tucson, Arizona  •  3 months ago
    Thought the Moodys already downgraded these countries. How many times can they do it? How about Kiribati? Its almost predictable, the market is up and along comes Moodys to knock it down. What are their short positions I wonder.
  • anonymous  •  3 months ago
    One thing I notice in ALL these articles is how they state how disastrous it would be if Greece defaulted on their debt. Can someone out there in the know tell me exactly what would happen? Seems it would be similar to a company filing Chaper 11 and reorganizing, which most of the time is a good thing for a company to do, why is it not a good thing for a country to do? Anyone with an IQ over 25 knows these loans will never be paid back as Greece's economy is retracting daily, so why postpone the inevitable? This reminds me of what GM and Chrysler did in taking money from American taxpayers knowing all along that they could never pay it back or make a profit without filing bankruptcy and changing their business model. I guess the only true reason is banks across the world would take an obvious hit on their investments in Greek debt, but this is going to happen anyway, right? One thing I do know, loaning them more money is beyond absurd!
  • gollywogazoo  •  3 months ago
    US ratings agencies' influence on financial markets continues to wane. They lost credibility long ago...& ironically they seem the only ones not in the know. Or to put it another way, blissfully unaware.
  • Common Sense  •  Jackson, Mississippi  •  3 months ago
    If I were a busted bank, I too would take the near 0% money and invest it all in crappy 5-6% government loans. With a little luck they will make enough money the next 3 years to stay solvent while responsible investors strive to stay near even.
  • T.C.  •  3 months ago
    Argentina & Iceland among others have defaulted. They seem to be surviving.
  • Future  •  Dallas, Texas  •  3 months ago
    When Volker rule apply to banks they cannot use borrowed money from Fed to invest in stock market. This is the reason wall street banks and brokerage agencies are crying. Time to bail out, stock price will fall 90 percent.
  • Mark  •  3 months ago
    The question is.... How are these funds going to get out of the crap they bought. If there is another flash crash, the SEC should shut this Ponzi scheme down for good.
  • Bill W  •  Buffalo, New York  •  3 months ago
    The rating agencies built traps on one side, and on the side, the lined up trucks waiting for market to dive and load themselves with cash...the trick worked a few times. But finally people figured it out, and stopped jumping into the trap....
  • Nicholas Barcley  •  3 months ago
    Ratings agencies are garbage with zero credability and I doubt they will ever get it back...honestly they should be abolished and any monies they have go to paying off the Natl debt wich they were instrumental in expanding along with helping the housing crash causing trillions in losses. They are criminal at best and #$%$ sucking parisites at worst. They should be PROSECUTED
 
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