Despite the Puerto Rico debt restructuring concerns, municipal bond exchange traded funds could still advance as new issuance falls to a 13 year low.
The municipal bond market has strengthened as demand outstripped low muni sales, Bloomberg reports. In July, new supply was 16% lower for the same period year-over-year. States and cities are expected to borrow $21 billion this month, the least amount for July since 2001.
Consequently, U.S. state and city municipal bonds are up 0.3% in July after rising each of the first six months this year, a record run to start a year.
Meanwhile, bond payments to investors will outpace issuance by $6.5 billion next month, the most for August since 2001. Consequently, the strength in the munis market may persist as muni traders reinvest.
“Supply is nowhere near enough versus the cash flows,” Tim McGregor, head of munis at Northern Trust Corp., said in the article. “August supply won’t pick up in a meaningful way.”
Muni mutual funds have attracted $844 million over the past two weeks, according to Lipper data. The muni market is rallying as new issuance slows and higher tax bills outweigh financial concerns in Puerto Rico. The municipal bond market faltered over June after the U.S. commonwealth allowed public corporations to cut their debt through negotiations. [Passive Muni ETFs Shed Puerto Rico Exposure]
The Puerto Rico law “hit our market, but it was pretty isolated in terms of fund flows,” Mark Sommer, a manager at Fidelity Investments, said in the article. “The market has built up resilience over the last several years to the difficulties faced by some of these high-profile credits.”
Investment-grade-focused muni bond ETFs, like MUB and TFI do not have positions in Puerto Rico debt. However, high-yield muni bond ETFs may include exposure to the territory. For instance, the Market Vectors High Yield Municipal Index ETF (HYD) has 4.3% in Puerto Rico and SPDR Nuveen S&P High Yield Municipal Bond ETF (HYMB) has 5.2%. Year-to-date, HYD is up 9.4% and HYMB is up 11.8%. [Muni Nation: All Eyes on Puerto Rico]
iShares National AMT-Free Muni Bond ETF
For more information on the munis market, visit our municipal bonds category.
Max Chen contributed to this article.
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.