S&P 500 Will Be In Trouble if it Falls Below this Support

iSPYETF

Tightrope walkers know the value of a safety net. You may never actually need the safety net, but it will save your life if you do.

Key support levels for stocks (VTI) are like safety nets for investors, as a drop below support is often 'deadly' for a portfolio.

Does your portfolio have a safety net? Key support levels for stocks are much tougher to spot than an actual safety net.

Unbeknownst to many, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) bounced from support already on Thursday.

The hourly S&P 500 chart below shows the trend lines and support/resistance levels making up the S&P 500 (SPY) safety net. Here are the most important facts:

1) Thursday’s decline filled an open chart gap at 1,672 (purple line). The September 29 Profit Radar Report pointed out this open gap and stated that: “There’s an open chart gap at 1,672.40. Chart gaps have acted as magnets and the S&P should dip to close this gap.”

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2) There is triple support just below the open chart gap.

3) On Friday the S&P 500 (VOO) closed above the black trend channel and above the green trend line. This was actually bullish, but an intraday Friday Profit Radar Report update shared this concern: "We are watching this mornings rally with a degree of suspicion. There's some risk of a gap down open on Monday."

This suspicion is still alive. However, we allow the rally to develop further as long as trade remains above support (1,660 - 1,670).

Perhaps it will close the chart gap left open by this mornings gap down open.

It's worth noting that the VIX (VXX) spiked 10% today. Option traders seem quite concerned about today's slump.

Option trader sentiment/gauges have provided some excellent buy/sell signals in 2013, so examining what option traders are doing is a worthwhile excercise. 

Here is a detailed look at what option traders are doing right now.

Here is What 'Smart Money' Option Traders are Doing Right Now

Simon Maierhofer is the publisher of the Profit Radar Report.

Follow Simon on Twitter @ iSPYETF



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