Mon, May 28, 2012, 3:21 PM EDT - U.S. Markets closed for Memorial Day

It's never been safer to fly; deaths at record low

The past 10 years have been the safest in American aviation history; deaths are at record low

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NEW YORK (AP) -- Boarding an airplane has never been safer.

The past 10 years have been the best in the country's aviation history with 153 fatalities. That's two deaths for every 100 million passengers on commercial flights, according to an Associated Press analysis of government accident data.

The improvement is remarkable. Just a decade earlier, at the time the safest, passengers were 10 times as likely to die when flying on an American plane. The risk of death was even greater during the start of the jet age, with 1,696 people dying — 133 out of every 100 million passengers — from 1962 to 1971. The figures exclude acts of terrorism.

Sitting in a pressurized, aluminum tube seven miles above the ground may never seem like the most-natural thing. But consider this: You are more likely to die driving to the airport than flying across the country. There are more than 30,000 motor-vehicle deaths each year, a mortality rate eight times greater than that in planes.

"I wouldn't say air crashes of passenger airliners are a thing of the past. They're simply a whole lot more rare than they used to be," says Todd Curtis, a former safety engineer with Boeing and director of the Airsafe.com Foundation.

The improvements came even as the industry went through a miserable financial period, losing $54.5 billion in the past decade. Just to stay afloat, airlines eliminated meals and added fees for checked luggage.

But safety remained a priority. No advertisement of tropical beaches can supplant the image of charred metal scattered across a field.

There are still some corners of the world where flying is risky. Russia, the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Somalia have particularly high rates of deadly crashes. Russia had several fatal crashes in the past year, including one that killed several prominent hockey players. Africa only accounts for 3 percent of world air traffic but had 14 percent of fatal crashes.

Still, 2011 was a good year to fly. It had the second-fewest number of fatalities worldwide, according to the Flight Safety Foundation, with 507 people dying in crashes. Seven out of 28 planes in fatal crashes were on airlines already prohibited from flying into European Union because of known safety problems. (There were fewer fatalities in 2004 — 323 — but there were also fewer people flying then.)

There are a number of reasons for the improvements.

— The industry has learned from the past. New planes and engines are designed with prior mistakes in mind. Investigations of accidents have led to changes in procedures to ensure the same missteps don't occur again.

— Better sharing of information. New databases allow pilots, airlines, plane manufactures and regulators to track incidents and near misses. Computers pick up subtle trends. For instance, a particular runway might have a higher rate of aborted landings when there is fog. Regulators noticing this could improve lighting and add more time between landings.

— Safety audits by outside firms. The International Air Transport Association, an industry trade group, started an audit program in 2003. Airlines prove to the industry and each other that they have proper maintenance and safety procedures. It's also a way for airlines to seek lower insurance premiums, which have also dropped over the past 10 years.

— An experienced workforce. Air traffic controllers, pilots and maintenance crews — particularly in North America and Europe — have been on the job for decades. Their experience is crucial when split-second decisions are made and for instilling a culture of safety in younger employees. Former US Airways Capt. Chesley "Sully" Sullenberger — who spent three decades as an airline pilot — was praised for his skill after safely ditching a plane in the Hudson River in 2009. Both engines died because of a bird strike but all 155 passengers and crew survived.

— Luck. Safety experts discount the effect of chance. However, it takes just one big accident — especially now with mega-jets such as the Airbus A380, which is able to carry up to 853 passengers — to ruin an otherwise good period for safety.

"Was Chesley Sullenberger lucky or skillful?" says Perry Flint, a spokesman with the International Air Transport Association. "It was luck that it was daylight, but how many geese do you know that are flying south in the pitch black of two in the morning? So it was also luck that he hit them. Bad luck."

The most recent fatal U.S. crash was Colgan Air Flight 3407, a regional flight operating under the name Continental Connection. The 2009 crash killed all 49 people on board and a man in the house the plane hit.

In fact, all fatal crashes in the U.S. in the past decade occurred on regional airlines, which are separate companies flying smaller planes under brands such as United Express, American Eagle and Delta Connection. The most recent deadly crash involving a larger airline was American Airlines Flight 587 in 2001. It crashed moments after taking off from New York, killing 265.

There have been some near misses.

In April, a Southwest Airlines aircraft had a rapid loss of cabin pressure after part of the fuselage ruptured, leaving a five-foot-long hole in the ceiling. There were no serious injuries.

The prior year, a Southwest jet came within 200 feet of colliding with a small Cessna at a California airport. In December 2009, an American Airlines jet landing in the rain in Jamaica was unable to stop on the runway, crashing through an airport fence, crossing a street, finally stopping on a beach. And in December 2005, a Southwest jet skidded off a Chicago runway. No passengers died, but a 9-year-old boy riding in a passing car was killed.

A poor economy might also have improved safety.

Bill Voss, president of the Flight Safety Foundation, says that during a boom period, airlines tend to quickly grow. That, he says, can mean weaker standards for safety and for pilots.

"We tend to see people being pushed forward perhaps a little too early, before they're ready," Voss says. "There's not as much time for captains to create new captains by tapping a guy on the shoulder and telling him when he's out of line."

___

Freed reported from Minneapolis.

___

Scott Mayerowitz can be reached at http://twitter.com/GlobeTrotScott.

 
  • Cakes  •  Roseville, Michigan  •  4 months ago
    The article talks about close calls, yet fails to mention Captain Sully landing in the Hudson. Unbelievable.
  • Boar  •  Reno, Nevada  •  4 months ago
    LOL!!! It's never been ALOT OF THINGS before, to fly!
    Its never been more of a pain in the _____ to fly! Its never taken longer to get from your car to the gate and onto the plane before now!
    Its never been more expensive inside airports for anything/everything from bottled water, to paying for luggage to a simple cup of coffee (if you can find one) and forget a beer or (OMG), a MIXED DRINK! LOL!
    Airports are the epitomy of a captured, no, STRANGLED market for consumers! Parking costs, to shuttle costs, to luggage.....don't do this, don't do that.....then of course there is the TSA groping session to top it all off!

    I use to fly at least one round trip per week......FOR YEARS!
    When TSA started their porno screening/view capability as well as their groping policy, it just made it real easy for me to stop flying altogether! I have not flown in the last two years and if I can help it, I will never fly again!

    I don't need to pay to be abused I get enough of that via taxes!
    • Don 4 months ago
      Thank you. Your noble gesture to stay away from airports will make for faster boarding, less congestion and safer flying for the rest of us.
    • Boar 4 months ago
      Um..........sure, okay, whatever you say! LOL! Ya sure got me on that one!
    • Dilligaf 6 4 months ago
      @Don--- I bet you request FOUR fingers when you go for prostate exams.
  • Pete Divine  •  Delray Beach, Florida  •  4 months ago
    It's great to fly. You get free pat downs of your privates, or you can get radiation treatments for free. Don't worry it's good for you, just ask big sister and her TSA minions.
  • A Yahoo! User  •  4 months ago
    look on youtube to see how they used to treat everyone like kings in the 60's and early 70's.... since then we've become fatter and the seats have become smaller and less comfortable..............
    • B 4 months ago
      sucks to be riding in coach
    • A Yahoo! User 4 months ago
      It used to not suck. But art imitates life and too many people have been contributing and supporting this 30 year old pyramid. We're taking it down. This is just the beginning...........
    • CharlMty 4 months ago
      Well what do you expect if it is cheaper to fly now than in the 60's, 70's. Fly First Class which would be the equivalent.
  • Telestai  •  4 months ago
    It may indeed be safer to fly, but it is now CONSIDERABLY less comfortable, affordable, and convenient for passengers. And it is now considerably MORE stressful, expensive, needlessly complicated, and downright humiliating even BEFORE one gets aboard one’s packed-in-a-phone-booth, charge-for-everything-except-breathing flight.
    • anonymous 4 months ago
      I'm not a big complainer but the comfort level is beyond. You come off twisted like a pretzel.
    • George Bush 4 months ago
      You can try to fly Southwest Airlines. At least they don'tcharge for your bags (50 lbs or less).
  • A Yahoo! User  •  4 months ago
    no smoking in the airport or airplane... so what do you do after they fondle you? eat jellybeans????/
    • PeterR 4 months ago
      No choice but to fire up an e-cigarette - not quite the same thing, but neither is the fondling the same as the real thing either so ...
    • Adreamer Shines 4 months ago
      Nope, sorry. Jellybeans are too gel-like and your favorite kiddie porn downloader oh um TSA agent disapproves...unless you let him molest your child maybe.
    • A Yahoo! User 4 months ago
      does an e-cigarette burn out the motherboard?
  • Mello Fello  •  Tampa, Florida  •  4 months ago
    Sad as it is, after 50 a good fondling is all you can legally get.
    • Dana 4 months ago
      Are you a pervert?
    • Mello Fello 4 months ago
      Well no but I'm willing to learn
  • WilhemenaCooker  •  Intercourse, Pennsylvania  •  4 months ago
    haven't flown for nearly five years - the last cattle-car experience was enough for me
  • annie  •  Chicago, Illinois  •  4 months ago
    I don't fly anymore unless it's over 1000 mile trip. It is such a horrific all day nightmare to move from point to point. Very few direct flights anymore. The security is a joke. The invasions of privacy and assaults to passengers' bodies are so intrusive. We need the Israeli Air Force and Army here to teach our idiot government agencies that we are 20 years behind the need to PROFILE flyers, not poke and prod at our elderly, infirm, and infants.
  • old guy  •  Baltimore, Maryland  •  4 months ago
    "It's never been safer to fly..", might be true, don't know, haven't been keeping track.What I do know that it's never been more inconvenient to fly. Between the long-lines to get through the autocratic TSA controlled access-gates, the episodic airline schedules, and the increasingly cramped on-board accommodations (seats too small, isles too narrow, fresh-air too hard to come by) flying on a commercial airline has become much less an adventure than a burden that is borne.Buses, rail-roads, ships (and CARS!) are becoming much more palatable.I take no pleasure in flying anymore, too #$%$ many hassles, too few pleasures.JMOMike
  • Butch  •  4 months ago
    3 reasons not to fly, claustrophobia from the newer flying sardine cans, TSA gestapo tactics administered by ex-donut shop workers and airline workers who think they're doing you a favor.
  • Quick  •  4 months ago
    And God help you if you are stuck on the tarmac for hours with overflowing toilets, dehydration, little or no A/C, and choking on jet fumes.
  • niceguy7times  •  Wichita, Kansas  •  4 months ago
    Knock on Wood.
  • Q  •  Greensboro, North Carolina  •  4 months ago
    I work at O'Hare and can tell you the TSA is irrelevant to safety when they grope you for every 4 ounces of liquids. The commercial deliveries walk in skids of 2-Liters that are shrinked wrapped. They do, but rarely open the shrink wrap. Think about 66.ozs. disguised in that. All they need is one guy back at the Dr. Pepper warehouse and one guy on the inside at many of concessions beyond the security checkpoints. I would rather have the CIA monitor international phone calls than believe in the TSA joke.
  • RayRay  •  Tampa, Florida  •  4 months ago
    Right, but you have to be fondled in order to fly. I'll pass!
  • patriot001  •  Lakemont, New York  •  4 months ago
    Sorry, I don't care how safe it is if the TSA is going to fondle my "Junk". I will avoid all unnecessary air travel until these idiotic "safety" measures are halted. Does Israel use harmful radiation or pat-downs, despite being the nation arguable most likely to be attacked? Answer: No. So why does the U.S.? Think about it, Sheeple.
  • Q  •  Greensboro, North Carolina  •  4 months ago
    Also Doppler radar with color bars started to become widely used 10-12 years ago. Before that a pilot would say "I'm a good pilot I can make it through that", now they take one look at the doppler radar and say "I'm not going near that!" And there is less circling around major airports because they don't take off going to O'Hare until after they are cleared for landing for flights of 2 hours or less. Another procedure that keeps them out of the storm.
  • Boar  •  Reno, Nevada  •  4 months ago
    Grade schools in Florida call the police and accuse kids of sexual harrassment for less than the TSA does to everyone, including kids.
  • f  •  4 months ago
    considering that less people are flying than ever before , this article is nothing buy spin on a half truth , of course deaths are down , 1/3rd less people are flying ,, DOH!
  • Peter G  •  Chicago, Illinois  •  4 months ago
    It has always been safe to fly. Its the crashing that kills you.
 
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