NZD/USD Technical Analysis –Trying to Carve Out a Top

Ilya Spivak
May 15, 2014

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Talking Points:

  • NZD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.8607 (23.6% Fib ret.), 0.8500-13 (38.2% Fib ret., Oct 22 close)
  • Resistance: 0.8745 (Apr 10 high), 0.8800

The New Zealand may be setting a double top against its US namesake after prices put in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern below resistance at 0.8745, the April 10 high. Near-term support is at 0.8607, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A daily close below this barrier exposes the 0.8500-13 area, marked by the 38.2% level and the October 22 close. Alternatively, a turn and daily close above 0.8745 aims for the 0.88 figure.

Prices are too close to relevant support to justify a short position from a risk/reward perspective. We will remain on the sidelines for now, waiting for a more actionable trade setup to present itself.

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NZD/USD Technical Analysis –Trying to Carve Out a Top
NZD/USD Technical Analysis –Trying to Carve Out a Top

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

--- Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com


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